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NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet – 11/12 – DraftKings & FanDuel

What's up everyone! John Huish (@notJohnHuish) and Nick Marro (@NickMarroDFS) here back again with the November 12th edition of the The NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet! In today's NBA Cheat Sheet you will find: Top plays at each position Opponent DvP Team Pace Opposing Team Pace DPA Core Cash Plays, Bargain plays, and so much more! […]

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The Sixth Man – November 12 Main Slate – NBA DFS

Hello and welcome back to another edition of The Sixth Man. Tonight we have a nice slate size but are harder pressed to find value under 5K as DraftKings and FanDuel have been great with aggressively pricing backups and injury reserve players. But we must look beyond what it’s cheap and chalky to hopefully establish some great value on an otherwise barren slate. Let’s dive in!

Steven Adams (DK$5100 | FD$6100)
A wise man recently told me that you should be using your center spot as you would pitchers in MLB; fade the chalk and go for the upside in GPP. Tonight I embody this statement while leaning on Steven Adams over the likes of Embiid or Drummond. Indiana is terrible at rebounding the ball, something that Adams does quit well and now even better with the departure of Russel Westbrook. In his last 4 games against Sabonis (because Turner is out again) Adams averaged 20/11/1 which is more than enough to warrent spending down in one of the higher priced positions to allow you to get in studs elsewhere. Adams should be able to muscle his way down low and rack up enough points in rebounds to make value tonight.

Cory Joseph (DK$3700 | FD$3700)
CoJo, Kid Canada, once noted (by me) as the rightful heir to the Raptors PG duties, should now be one of the highest owned plays on the board tonight with De’Aaron Fox set to sit out with an ankle sprain. He’s averaged 17.6 FPPG in his last 91, most of which have come from a bench role and under 20 minutes of action per game so it should be refreshing to see CoJo get a full run tonight and hopefully continue the trend and exceed his averages in the game with with the highest total of the night at 223. Look for Joseph to have moderate scoring while having low end stat filling tonight.

Kris Dunn (DK$3900 | FD$4400)
Generally in this situation I would lean on the individual who gets more minutes, which would be Colby White. White however has been quite inconsistent to start the year which is to be expected of a rookie, but offers very little outside of scoring. This is why I am choosing to roll Kris Dunn tonight because even if he has an off shooting night, or less minutes, he’s able to do more with or without the basketball. He’s averaging 2SPG and can dish the rock, and rebound. All positives for me in the event he can’t get it going with raw points, which he rarely does. A bit more of a GPP play than palatable in cash, but I will have him in a few lineups tonight.

Other Considerations (in no particular order):
Anfernee Simon
Mike Scott
Darius Garland
Coby White
Garrett Temple
Bogdan Bogdanovic

The Daily Faceoff- November 12th Main Slate – NHL DFS

We are sitting at about the 20 game mark for most teams going into tonight’s games. It seems there is a predictably unpredictable theme. A lot of the power teams from last year remain on top. Like the Bruins, Capitals, and Blues. There have been some surprise teams as well. Such as the Islanders, Oilers, and Flames. All this has made for an interesting start to the season that has all DFSers on their toes. Let’s look at a few match-ups to target for tonight.

One of the games to watch out for will be the Ducks vs. the Red Wings. With the projected goalies being Jimmy Howard for Detroit and John Gibson for Anaheim there is an edge for Anaheim in that department. Anaheim is chockfull of GPP line options with the best option being Line 2 consisting of Rickard Rakell-Adam Henrique-Jakob Silfverberg. With Detroit their bread and butter line is LIne 1 with Tyler Bertuzzi-Dylan Larkin-Anthony Mantha. A sneaky play in GPP is their Line 2 which has the newest Red Wing, red-hot Robby Fabbri. I would go a little more heavily with Anaheim players in this match-up due to the major difference in net.

The second match-up of note is the Florida Panthers vs. the Boston Bruins. These are two of the top scoring teams in the league. Florida has been white hot of late averaging close to 4 goals per game the last 6 games. No slouches themselves. The Bruins have been equally as succesful and productive. Boston has also averaged close to 4 goals per game the past 6 games. Boston holds a slight edge in this match-up with Rask having performed way better than Sergei Bobrovsky this season. Another nice feature of this matchup is that you can almost play the Top 3 lines on both teams. The best option being BOS Line with Pastrnak-Bergeron-Marchand. A close second would be FLA Line with Huberdeau-Barkov-Dadonov. So there you have a brief snapshot of tonight’s match-ups. Let’s get to the recommendations!

Preferred Stacks

Cash Contests

EDM Line 1: Draisaitl | McDavid | Kassian | Nurse

DraftKings: $25,100 (50% of Salary) | FanDuel: $26,400 (48% of Salary)

Well, We finally saw what we have all been waiting for on Sunday when the Oilers routed the Ducks 6-2. The Big Three flexed their muscles more than we have seen in a while. McDavid got himself a hat trick in the contest. That brings him up to 30 points in 19 games and 5 goals and 3 assists in the last 6 games. It’s hard to believe that he has had lulls in production this season with numbers like that. Not to be outdone Leon Draisaitl had 4 assists in the Oilers victory which brought his season totals to 34 points in 19 games and 4 goals and 5 assists in his last 6 games. Zack Kassian is clearly the third wheel in this line but his contributions thus far have been impressive. On Sunday Kassian had a goal and 2 assists to join in the scoring frenzy. With “only” 13 points in 19 games Kassian is off to his best start in his career and is worth starting with this line or a cheap one-off. While Oscar Klefbom is clearly the most productive offensive defenseman on the Oilers it is Darnell Nurse that gets top defensive pairing to team up with this formidable trio. Nurse has played respectably with 2 goals and 6 assists in 19 games but if you just want to play the offensive forwards and use one-off on defense you might do just as well. On Tuesday night  the Oilers play a Sharks team that likes to give up goals with a 3.44 GAA on the year. Look for this line to continue their hot streak.

Honorable mention: BOS Line 1 (Pastrnak-Bergeron-Marchand-Chara); FLA Line 1 (Huberdeau-Barkov-Dadonov-Ekblad); MTL Line 1 (Drouin-Danault-Gallagher-Weber)

GPP Contests

MIN Line 1: Zucker | Staal | Zuccarello | Spurgeon

DraftKings: $17,600 (35% of Salary) | FanDuel: $22,900 (42% of Salary)

Minnesota hasn’t turned many heads this season. At 6-10-1 the Wild have gotten off to a dismal start. There has been a light at the end of the tunnel of late though. The play of their Line 1 has come to life and provided them with scoring and hope. The top scorer and catalyst for this line is centerman Eric Staal. Staal has 3 goals and 5 assists in his last 6 games to bring his season totals to 14 points in 17 games. Jason Zucker has kept pace with Staal lately. Zucker has 2 goals and 3 assists in his last 6 games to bring his season total to 11 points in 17 games. Zuccarello got off to a late start this season but has made up for it lately. Zuke has 3 goals and 3 assists in his last 6 games to bring his season totals up to 7 points in 13 games. Jared Spurgeon has lived in the shadows of Ryan Suter and Matt Dumba the last few seasons but he has emerged as the key contributor from the blue line for the Wild this season. Spurgeon has 5 assists in his last 6 games to bring his season totals to 10 points in 17 games. On Tuesday night the Wild play the lowly LA Kings. The Kings have far and away the worst GAA in the league at 3.76. Look for the Wild to capitalize on this weakness.

Honorable Mention: NYR Line 1 (Panarin-Strome-Fast-Trouba); PIT Line 2 (Simon-Malkin-Rust-Schultz); VAN Line 2 (Baertschi-Horvat-Miller-Hughes); SJ Line 2 (Meier-Hertl-Goodrow-Karlsson)

Bargain Bin

ANA | C | Sam Steel | DraftKings: $3,000 | FanDuel: $4,500

The 21-year old, first round pick in 2016, Steel is making a name for himself in his second NHL season. Steel knows how to score as evidenced when he scored 131 points for the Regina Pats in one season in the WHL. He also had 41 points in 54 games last year with the Ducks AHL affiliate. This year Steel has floated around lines. He is currently centering the Ducks Line 3 with fellow youngsters Max Comtois and Troy Terry. Steel is also playing wing on the Ducks second power play unit. He has 4 assists in his last 5 games and 7 points in 14 games this season. On Tuesday night the Ducks have a favorable match-up going up against a Red Wings team that can be scored on with abundance. Take Steel on the cheap as a one-off or with his Line 3 as a deep sleeper GPP line.

Honorable Mention: Filip Chytil, NYR; Joel Eriksson Ek, MIN; Luke Kunin, MIN; Vladislav Kamenev, COL

DET | W | Robby Fabbri | DraftKings: $3,700 | FanDuel: $3,500

If you visit our NHL channel on the Slack app you will know that I have been singing the praises of Detroit for the past week for getting Fabbri for a pittance. Fabbri was the first round pick of the Blues in 2014 after a strong OHL career with Guelph that was highlighted by his 87 point season right before getting drafted. Fabbri’s career got off to a solid start with 37 points in 72 games in his rookie season. Since that rookie season he hasn’t been able to stay healthy highlighted by missing all of the 2017-2018 campaign. Fast forward to this year, Fabbri started off the season with the Blues and was getting minimal playing time. So, In a blessing for Fabbri he was traded to the Red Wings for Jacob De La Rose. It’s only been two games since the trade but he has given immediate returns with 2 goals and 1 assist in 2 games. For the price you can’t beat taking him currently

Honorable Mention: Andreas Athanasiou, DET; Joonas Donskoi, COL; Bryan Rust, PIT; Andre Burakovsky, COL; Danton Heinen, BOS; Jared McCann, PIT; Matt Nieto, COL

WPG | D | Neal Pionk | DraftKings: $4,800 | FanDuel: $4,400

Opportunity knocked for Pionk this season. With the departure of Jacob Trouba , going to the team Pionk came from, and the absence of Dustin Byfuglien. Pionk has had every opportunity to make a name for himself this year and he hasn’t disappointed so far. Pionk has 3 assists in his last 4 games and 2 goals and 9 assists on the season. Pionk is also manning the second power play unit. On Tuesday night Pionk will go up against a team that is beset by injuries which should provide more of an opportunity than typically against the Avalanche.

Honorable Mention: Quinn Hughes, VAN; Mattias Ekholm, NAS; Alex Goligoski, ARI; Jakob Chycrun, ARI; Filip Hronek, DET; 

Netminders

Cash Contests

EDM | G | Mike Smith | DraftKings:$7,400 | FanDuel: $8,200

Mike Smith has gotten off to his best start in several years. Smith is 5-4-1 with a 2.22 GAA and a .926 save percentage. On Tuesday night Smith plays a Sharks team that has played better of late but has struggled overall. And the Oilers have played really up to their dynamic offensive capabilities of late so Smith should get plenty of support.

Honorable Mention: John Gibson, ANA; Tuuka Rask, BOS; Jordan Binnington, STL

GPP Contests

MTL | G | Carey Price | DraftKings: $8,500 | FanDuel: $8,600

A tad on the high side for GPP but the reason is that Price hasn’t had a conventionally strong season. So, he’s not as much of a slam dunk pick as he has been in the past. That being said his numbers are solid with a 2.71 GAA and a .917 save percentage. Price, also, has the benefit of playing behind a team that scores goals to support him. Montreal plays Columbus on Tuesday night. Columbus has the third worst goal differential in the league at -18 so Price is a pretty strong play albeit slightly overpriced.

Honorable Mention: Darcy Kuemper, ARI; Conor Hellebuyck, WPG; Pekka Rinne, NAS

Thank you very much for taking the time to catch up on your NHL DFS with Daily Play Action. Premium members, please take note that a Slack Q+A follow up for tonight’s NHL Main Slate will take place at 6:00PM until lock. If you are are not yet a member of DPA Premium, feel free to head over to our sign up page at dailyplayaction.com and start your FREE Two Week Trial where you will receive all of our VIP content, including access to our user Slack network! Don’t forget to follow us on twitter at @dailyplayaction and my personal twitter @HeldigKartofl75 where you can find the most updated info and analysis on all of the league’s DFS developments

 

NCAA BASKETBALL – 11.12.2019 – Best Bets for Tuesday’s College Hoops (Free)

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here, back to share my NCAA Men’s Basketball picks for the entire college season. Last year I was happy to supply over 300 picks against the spread and finish the season cashing at a rate of just about 59%. As March Madness approached and I was brought on to write for DPA, readers were treated to a 45-27-2 record of sides and totals over the final month of the season. This season, betting write-ups will posted exclusively on DPA almost every day but be sure to follow my Twitter too so you won’t miss a pick on days with abbreviated slates.

  • Current Season ATS Record: 7-12-1
  • Current Season Totals Record: 3-6-0
  • Previous Season ATS Record: 180-127-9

Creighton vs Michigan, Under 154

  • Michigan has one of the best defenses in the country and while Creighton is very capable on offense, I do not think they are going to look their usual selves. Michigan has a very distinct size advantage and should be able to limit Creighton’s possession which is important given their offensive tempo
  • Creighton also had quite an impressive defensive performance in their opener against Kennesaw State. Christian Bishop plays most of the game at center and at 6’7 he is still a force in the paint. He was able to put up three blocks in their game last Tuesday
  • This is just too juicy of a number not to jump on. I think this final is going to be closer to something like 70-65 and even that may be generous. This Michigan offense is far worse than the one last season and I think the public is going to take a while to realize that

Liberty -18.5 vs South Carolina State 

  • Liberty is going to be undefeated coming into late December and I think they should dominate tonight against a real awful team in South Carolina State. The Flames are very balanced and can manage on both sides of the ball, forcing long possessions and making their shots
  • I believe head coach Ritchie McKay is a little disappointed in his team even after two wins to start the season. Tonight, they should explode on offense and keep on raining shots until the final buzzer. They were held under 70 in their first two, but I think they top that tonight
  • It takes teams an average of just 13.4 seconds to score against this Bulldogs defense and I think that is a major key in this one. Liberty had just one day between games but should have no trouble dictating pace and penetrating when need be against such a porous defense

Miami -3 at Central Florida

  • You can argue which is the better team, but I think Miami is the one that comes out with the victory tonight. The loss to Louisville to start the season was a rough one but this Miami team is extremely scary with the basketball and should be able to grind out wins all year long
  • Johnny Dawkins now leads a team without his son at point guard and 7’6 Tacko Fall at center. They still have an outside chance at finishing in the top half of the AAC but without the talent from last season they will not be so lucky when facing power five conferences
  • Really the only time this Miami team turns the ball over is on steals and while UCF collected five against Prairie View A&M they are not a team that threatens the Hurricanes. With the ability to finish possessions and close out games I really think Miami wins this battle for the panhandle

Tennessee -11.5 vs Murray State

  • Just as people are still living in the past with Michigan, people seem to be ignoring the fact that Ja Morant is no longer on the court for Murray State. This team is drastically different without the second pick in the NBA Draft and while Tennessee lost minutes their team is still better composed
  • Last season Tennessee finished third in the country in offensive efficiency. This season they are losing points to the NBA but they did not lose too much rebounding, size or experience. Jordan Bowden and Lamonte Turner should be able to feast in this matchup
  • I personally think the grind of the SEC is going to get to Tennessee late this season but for now they need to dominate lesser competition and should be able to do so tonight. Last season Murray State was a Tier B opponent according to KenPom but this season they stand little to no chance against strong competition

Oklahoma -2 vs Oregon State

  • This is a semi-home game for Oregon State as these teams meet at the Moda Center, home to the Portland Trail Blazers. However, since Lon Kruger took over the Sooners are 30-22 in these semi-away or neutral court games. I expect them to excel again on the national stage
  • Oregon State has one nice win under its belt at home against Iowa State, but this Oklahoma team is a huge jump in talent from the Cyclones. I think they will handle Iowa State both times they play this season and will handle Oregon State tonight with ease
  • This spread feels a bit silly to me and I plan on taking full advantage. Oregon State has the offense to hang with Oklahoma but their defense is severely lacking. Not to mention the defense of the Sooners is likely the best they’ve had since a Sweet Sixteen run in the 2015 season

Seahawks at 49ers – NFL Week 10 Showdown Slate – DraftKings DFS

After a very successful main slate, we have just one more game to grind out Week 10. Alex Krall (@AlexKrallDFS) has done some digging to bring you all viable options on tonight's showdown between the Seahawks and 49ers. Since there is so much variance to the showdowns, all players listed can be considered as FLEX […]

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NFL Week 10 Monday Night Showdown – Winner Pool – FanDuel DFS

Hello and welcome, to the Week 10 MNF Winner Pool! Tonight we have a Monday Night Football showdown match-up between the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks! Vegas has San Francisco as a solid home favorite at -6, and we have an over/under of 47. This is a dangerous game for San Francisco. They […]

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NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet – 11/11 – DraftKings & FanDuel

What's up everyone! John Huish (@notJohnHuish) and Nick Marro (@NickMarroDFS) here back again with the November 11th edition of the The NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet! In today's NBA Cheat Sheet you will find: Top plays at each position Opponent DvP Team Pace Opposing Team Pace DPA Core Cash Plays, Bargain plays, and so much more! […]

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NCAA BASKETBALL – 11.11.2019 – Best Bets for Monday’s College Hoops (Free)

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here, back to share my NCAA Men’s Basketball picks for the entire college season. Last year I was happy to supply over 300 picks against the spread and finish the season cashing at a rate of just about 59%. As March Madness approached and I was brought on to write for DPA, readers were treated to a 45-27-2 record of sides and totals over the final month of the season. This season, betting write-ups will posted exclusively on DPA almost every day but be sure to follow my Twitter too so you won’t miss a pick on days with abbreviated slates.

  • Current Season ATS Record: 7-10-1
  • Current Season Totals Record: 2-6-0
  • Previous Season ATS Record: 180-127-9

Elon vs Georgia Tech, Under 140.5

  • The only reason this line is so high is because of the 81 points that Georgia Tech allowed on Tuesday. However, that number is because NC State absolutely caught fire and forced an overtime period. Elon will not be close to Georgia Tech at any point in this game
  • That first game also set an unrealistic expectation of the Georgia Tech offense who made exactly half of their shots. In addition to their offense likely struggling tonight their defense will bounce back and prove they belong in the Top 50 of defensive efficiency, where I believe they will finish the year
  • Elon topped 90 in their first two games this season but it means almost nothing coming into this one. The reason they did so well is due to facing competition outside of Division I and attempting over 70 shots in both contests. Georgia Tech should absolutely smother them

Texas A&M -14.5 vs Louisiana Monroe

  • Louisiana Monroe is coming off two unimpressive wins to start the season. Their defense is abysmal, and I think even though they have size and experience they will not be able to overcome the squad that Buzz Williams has assembled at College Station
  • The teams in this contest play very slow basketball and I usually try to spot games where there is a large discrepancy in talent and teams will have very few possessions. This makes me feel like no matter how many shots fall for ULM they won’t have the opportunities to mount a comeback
  • Savion Flagg looked excellent for Texas A&M and I think their entire offense should keep things going tonight. Shooting 69 percent inside the arc is not quite sustainable but I think they can at least continue to get solid looks and play smart basketball for another 40 minutes

Iowa -9 vs DePaul

  • Iowa looked very good to start the season and now will get back Cordell Pemsl from suspension to add to their offensive approach. I think DePaul is the better team defensively, but this is a battle of strengths and I think Iowa’s offense will prove to be too much
  • When it comes to average height Iowa as a team has about an inch on the competition and should have no problem scoring in the paint and crashing the defensive glass. They also have the much deeper bench and should be able to control this game from start to finish
  • Iowa is often very good in November when facing competition outside of the Big Ten. Already DePaul has three wins and is going to be a tough out all season, but today the better team is going to win and that is by the Hawkeyes. This spread should not be much at all to cover

Let’s win today Playmakers! I am confident in every pick that I provide and play them myself. College basketball is unpredictable and that’s why we love it, so always bet smart!

NFL Week 10 Sunday Night Showdown – Winner Pool – FanDuel DFS

Hello and welcome, to the Week 10 SNF Winner Pool! Tonight we have a Sunday Night Football showdown matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and the Minnesota Vikings. Vegas has Dallas as a slight favorite at -3, and we have an over/under of 48. I do fully expect this game to go against the popular expectation […]

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NCAA BASKETBALL – 11.10.2019 – Best Bets for Sunday’s College Hoops (Free)

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here, back to share my NCAA Men’s Basketball picks for the entire college season. Last year I was happy to supply over 300 picks against the spread and finish the season cashing at a rate of just about 59%. As March Madness approached and I was brought on to write for DPA, readers were treated to a 45-27-2 record of sides and totals over the final month of the season. This season, betting write-ups will posted exclusively on DPA almost every day but be sure to follow my Twitter too so you won’t miss a pick on days with abbreviated slates.

  • Current Season ATS Record: 5-9-1
  • Current Season Totals Record: 2-5-0
  • Previous Season ATS Record: 180-127-9

Florida -5.5 vs Florida State

  • Florida State lost to Pittsburgh and are only getting single digits against Florida? This line makes no sense to me when Florida is a Final Four contender and their defense should be able to contain Florida State all afternoon. FSU has the size but not much else
  • Kerry Blackshear Jr. is obviously the biggest factor in this game after exploding for 20 points and 10 rebounds on Tuesday. He also dropped 17 on this Florida State team in the 2019 ACC Tournament. Expect more of the same from this superstar in what should be his only game he plays in this rivalry
  • Trent Forrest is still the biggest threat on Florida State but he is really going to be the only player Leonard Hamilton can rely on for offense. While defensively these teams are about even the difference in their offenses will likely prove to be the deciding factor in this one

Toledo -2 at Marshall

  • The loss against Valparaiso was a very bad look for Toledo and I think this line would very different if they would have survived. However, I think this team is absolutely going to bounce back in their second road game here against a team of roughly equal competition
  • Last season Toledo had a one-point victory here in Huntington. While this Rockets team is not much different from the one last season Marshall has gotten significantly worse, primarily on the offensive side of the ball. They will struggle to put up 70 today
  • Since Tod Kowalczyk took over as head coach at Toledo they have an average margin of victory of ten points on the road. I just do not feel confident that Marshall can make their outside shots fall and keep this game close for a full forty minutes

Winthrop vs Fresno State, Under 147.5

  • The Big South is probably my favorite of the lower conferences to watch each season. I am dialed in to Winthrop this year and gave you them -3 on Thursday, now I am taking the under. Hartford is not a great team but Winthrop holding them to just 57 was extremely impressive
  • Fresno State has a defense ranked in the Top 100 in terms of efficiency and with their size advantage I expect Winthrop to struggle a lot more tonight. Fresno’s ability to force outside shots and long possessions while defending will result in a low scoring game. Oregon went 1-13 from beyond the arc against them
  • Guys like Orlando Robinson and Assane Diouf are going to be able to control the paint for Fresno State and out-rebound Winthrop I think considerably. The Eagles have fight so I do not want to touch this spread, but all signs point to Fresno State if you’re looking for a bonus pick

Virginia -24.5 vs James Madison

  • Virginia is an absolute machine when it comes to defense and playing smart basketball. Syracuse is a tournament team that was held to just 34 points in 40 minutes. Now Virginia gets to come home to 14,000 fans, unveil a new banner and host poor James Madison
  • The Dukes played fast paced against Charlotte on Wednesday but now will meet a brick wall in Virginia who grinds out some of the longest possessions in the country. Size and experience are not too far apart, but talent is what separates these two programs
  • A spread this big should not scare you even for the defensive brand of basketball Tony Bennett coaches. Since his hiring the Cavaliers are 170-112 against the spread and should continue to dominate all early season against mediocre competition. This team is still a huge threat out of the ACC

Let’s win today Playmakers! I am confident in every pick that I provide and play them myself. College basketball is unpredictable and that’s why we love it, so always bet smart!

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