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MNF Showdown Build – Week 16 – DraftKings and FanDuel NFL

A-League Soccer – Melbourne City at Newcastle Jets – Showdown DFS

Welcome all, to the first ever edition of A-League soccer coverage! Never in my wildest dreams did I envision us covering this, but due to the lack of activity in an otherwise bleak and shutdown sports world, we are forced to explore the depths of what other less Coronavirus-infected countries have to offer. Desperate times call for desperate measures, and here at DPA, we are on a quest to provide an edge in DFS in whatever way we can! Now why should you trust us on an otherwise uninformed quest such as Australian League soccer? Well for one, we understand the rules. Soccer rules from league to league are consistent as far as DFS scoring is concerned, and after having played and taken down tournaments in both Women’s World Cup and Copa America, I can say that I have experience and success with this sport. To further earn your confidence, I split 1st place in the biggest Australian League DraftKings tournament just this past Thursday night, dividing the 1st ($10,000) and 2nd ($3,000) place prize with another DK contestant for nearly $7,000 in total winnings – all rosters considered.

Was I surprised when I woke up? Absolutely.

The player pool I had in the CCM vs. MC game was pretty standard, but what set the lineup apart was my choice of Captain, as I had taken an underpriced striker from the heavy underdog as my selection in the above roster, which in turn, freed me to pay up for studs throughout the rest of the lineup. I was repaid with two goals from striker Jordan Murray on my way to the takedown, and that essentially sealed the deal. If you take anything from this, it should be that if you want to go big in the showdown format for a chance at the takedown, you will need to take calculated risks. Getting the best point/$ play as your captain is a decent strategy, and one that we will focus in on today as we have a limited amount of possibilities to sort through. Lastly, if you plan on playing this slate, you will need to make sure you can stay awake or at least set an alarm for the starting lineups to be released (these won’t be available until around 3:30AM on each team’s twitter). If you won’t be awake during this time early Monday morning, I would strongly advise against playing this slate. So without any further ado, let’s breakdown these two teams, and try to get a grip for what Projected XI’s will look like in advance of tonight’s 4:30AM kickoff.

Melbourne City (+130) at Newcastle Jets (+210)

Over / Under: 3 Goals

Melbourne City

2nd in Australian League table, 3W-1D-1L in their last five matches

MC is 2-0 against Newcastle out-scoring them 6-0 in both games played since December 2019.

*Starting XI from 3/20 against Central Coast Mariners

Analysis: Melbourne is a top team in this league, and therefore get the edge in my book as a prime target for offensive firepower in Monday morning’s Showdown. This game boasts a decent total (3 Goals), and I think we can expect Melbourne to win this one handedly, and quite possibly even shut out Newcastle. In their last two meetings against the Jets, City rolled to 4-0 and 2-0 victories, with the Melbourne City keeper notching a very valuable shutout in the process in each game. The MC attack is led by Jamie Maclaren, Adrian Luna, Craig Noone and Markel Susaeta, most of which have been valuable pieces in recent showdown slates, and should be considered here as well. Jamie Maclaren ($7,800) is egregiously priced for his goal scoring touch on a favored squad, and has tickled the twine 4 times in his last two outings while leading the A-league with 18 goals. From a GPP perspective, Maclaren is a piece that I will be building around at a reduced price tag comparatively speaking, as he has played a full 90 minutes in 6 of his last 7 outings. Adrian Luna ($8,600) is overpriced in my opinion, seeing has he has found the scoresheet only once in his last four outings, yet is priced higher than more productive players like Maclaren and Susaeta. Speaking of the latter, Markel Susaeta ($7,000) has emerged as a valuable piece on the right side for the visiting Melbourne City side. Not only can he make an impact on the scoresheet (1G 1A in his last game), but he can accumulate by way of peripheral statistics such as crosses (8 in his last two games), and shots assisted (4 in his last two games). At just $7,000, you could certainly do worse at that price. Last but not least of the Melbourne City attack is none other than Craig Noone ($10,200). While Noone is a hot and likely popular commodity, the value on this slate should allow us to get to him, and there is likely no player with a safer floor available on Monday (sans Newcastle’s Petratos who is right there with him). Noone has scored 18+ DKP in 3 of his last 4 outings, and gets the job done by way of peripherals and scoring chances with frequency. Now that we’ve covered the MC attack, let’s discuss some of the defensive options that can serve as accumulators. On defense, we want to target perimeter defenders that can push the ball forward, and also cross the ball and promote scoring chances. Melbourne City’s Nathaniel Atkinson ($6,000) and Scott Jamieson ($5,000) both constitute that role, and have a greater chance of yielding fantasy goodness than either replacement Melbourne City center back. All things being considered, give me the savings on Jamieson, as he is averaging a full 1.5 DKP per game more than Atkinson at this juncture of the season, despite solid recent play from Atkinson 13 DK PPG over his last two games. Last but not least, City Goalkeeper Tom Glover ($5,800) is worth a shout here, as he shut out this same Newcastle squad 4-0 in the season opener. With that said, he probably doesn’t have the upside to warrant Captain consideration if not multi-entering, so I would probably prefer him in the FLEX spot in most cases.

Make sure to stay tuned to the confirmed XI’s closer to kickoff (about 3:30AM EST on each team’s twitter) to ensure that your players are starting.

Core Plays: Craig Noone, Jamie Maclaren, Markel Susaeta, Scott Jamieson, Tom Glover

GPP Plays: Adrian Luna, Nathaniel Atkinson

Honorable Mention: Florin Berenguer

Newcastle Jets

9th in Australian League table, 2W-2D-1L in last five matches

Newcastle is 0-2 against MC, being out-scored 0-6 in both matches in which these teams have met since December 2019

*Starting XI from 3/20 against Brisbane Roar

Analysis: The odds are saying that this game could be closer than it should appear on paper, so there are some pieces from Newcastle that we should consider. Beginning with the attack, the top player on this Newcastle Jets side is Dimitrios Petratos ($11,000). Petratos possesses an equally consistent floor to that of Craig Noone, and is a virtual lock to accrue double digit fantasy points. The question you’ll need to consider is: will it be in the low 10’s or in the low 20’s, because a mediocre outing could crush your lineup at his massive price tag. With that said, I’m leaning towards having more exposure than less to the Newcastle winger as he has had no less than 9 crosses in 8 of his last 9 games, and seems likely to be the beneficiary of fantasy points if Newcastle can get on the board. Roy O’Donovan ($9,400) serves at the point of attack for this Newcastle side, and while goal dependent, he is probably the most likely Newcastle member to find the back of the net on Monday. I’ll sprinkle him in my tournament exposure knowing full well that he could also bust easily. Matthew Millar ($8,000) plays a bit far back for his price tag, but has also displayed upside with two 20 DKP+ performances in his last 5 starts. He has an outside shot at landing on the winning lineup tonight, and should be treated as such. On the opposite side of Millar is “defender” Bobby Burns ($6,400) who is really a midfielder at a defenders price. Burns has the ability to generate scoring chances, and once crossed the ball 21 times in a game earlier this year against Central Coast Mariners. Burns will be a core piece for me tonight at his price tag. Last but not least (if he starts) is the Panamanian sensation, Abdiel Arroyo ($6,800). I could definitely get behind Arroyo if he gets the nod, as he has the ability to take a lot of shots when given the opportunity.

Make sure to stay tuned to the confirmed XI’s closer to kickoff (about 3:30AM EST on each team’s twitter) to ensure that your players are starting.

Core Plays: Dimitrios Petratos, Bobby Burns

GPP Plays: Roy O’Donovan, Matthew Millar

Honorable Mention: Abdiel Arroyo (if he starts)

Thank you for tuning into DPA Premium’s coverage of Australian League Soccer. For more detailed analysis, please join us on our free 14 day trial of DPA Premium for access to up to the minute information on our slack network. If you haven’t yet done so already, make sure to follow our twitter accounts at @dailyplayaction and @AlexKrallDFS where you can find the most updated player news and analysis on several major sports, and the DPA YouTube Channel for loads of free DFS content! 

UFC Fight Night 170 – 3.14.2020 – Staff Predictions, Picks and Analysis (Free)

Hello Daily Play Action! Welcome to our collaborative coverage of UFC Fight Night 170. As a result of the virus shutting down nearly all major sports, we wanted to keep our audience fed with the quality content they deserve. We do not claim to be fully seasoned experts, but all have been avid fight fans for quite a while now. Our analysis on cards will include a pick for every fight from DPA Analysts Anthony Marro, Nicholas Marro and GB. Write-ups will provide consideration for FanDuel and DraftKings lineups as well as predictions for how all fights will play out.

As coverage continues, we will keep our records up to date. Be sure to check out our reasoning though as records will not reflect confidence, we will be picking all fights regardless of if we are betting on them. If you are in search of a good website to tail any of our picks, I highly recommend using Bovada for their user-friendly format and awesome deposit bonuses!

Fight odds are as listed via Bovada and last updated 12:00 PM EST 3-14-2020

*Fight Notes and Predictions are in the order they are scheduled to take place

Preliminary Card- Starts 3pm EST

Veronica Macedo -155 (DK $9100) vs Bea Malecki +125 (DK $7100)

  • Anthony: We begin the card here at bantamweight for a fight between the young Veronica Macedo and Bea Malecki who is 3-0 in the UFC. Macedo’s DraftKings price makes sense given her striking ability but I do not think she is going to have what it takes to survive three rounds with an opponent this much bigger than her. This feels like the wrong weight for her to try to make a name for herself in and I love the value on this underdog. I will be betting on this fight but would fade both on DraftKings. Bea Malecki by Round Two KO
  • Nick: Macedo might be the more talented and technical fighter, but Malecki’s size is going to be tough to overcome here. I like Malecki as the underdog. Bea Malecki by Decision
  • GB: Fairly lackluster fight all in all. Macedo is on a 3-fight losing streak so hopefully she comes out looking to win or her UFC career could be in jeopardy. Can’t see this finishing on either side but Macedo should get the decision. Veronica Macedo by Decision

Bruno Silva -115 (DK $8200) vs David Dvorak -115 (DK $8000)

  • Anthony: This match features Bruno Silva as a slight betting favorite in what is really a coinflip at flyweight. Both guys should be viable in your lineup as Silva will score some good points on the advance and takedown. David Dvorak enters with a much different strategy though, preferring to keep this on the feet as long as he can. He has the ability to win by submission or knockout and so I love him on DraftKings. This should be a short fight. David Dvorak by Round One KO
  • Nick: David Dvorak hasn’t really proven himself against stiff competition. His record has been heavily padded collecting Wins against mediocre Czech opponents. Still, Silva has not done enough to convince me he has any sort of edge here. This should be a close fight, but I see Dvorak scoring the win via choke. David Dvorak by Round Two Submission. Risky, but high upside play for DFS.
  • GB: Dvorak has won 13 straight, whereas Silva is a grinder who can finish out a fight. I suspect Dvorak gets him early and finishes him in the second round by punches. David Dvorak by Round Two KO

Mayra Bueno Silva -155 (DK $8500) vs Maryna Moroz +125 (DK $7700)

  • Anthony: This is the first fight that I think goes to decision on the card but that still is no guarantee. Flyweight Maryna Moroz is getting disrespected by oddsmakers and DraftKings pricing alike, but I still do not think that warrants enough value for a look. She is 4-3 in the UFC but is very vulnerable in the clinch. Bueno Silva could find herself in the position for an early submission, but I think instead she will keep control and score a lot of advances on the mat. Mayra Bueno Silva by Decision
  • Nick: The move to American Top Team has really helped elevate Moroz. I see that momentum continuing here against an untested and seemingly overhyped Mayra Bueno Silva. It’ll go the distance, but I like the value on Moroz as an underdog. Maryna Moroz by Decision. She’s a decent value play on DK.
  • GB: Silva hasn’t fought since 2018, so I expect a lot of ring rust for her against a formidable opponent in Moroz. I expect this to go to a decision and it should be a snooze fest as neither fighter is special. Maryna Moroz by Decision

Enrique Barzola -200 (DK $8700) vs Rani Yahya +160 (DK $7500)

  • Anthony: This feels like one of the bigger traps on the card. Enrique Barzola has been very productive but drops to bantamweight here for a bout with Rani Yahya. The reason I am a bit worried is because if Yahya can get Barzola onto the ground he could very well dominate this fight. A sneaky reversal could mess up this play as well as Barzola also does not mind settling things on the mat. I will not bet this one. Yahya seems like good salary relief if you think he can win, but I do not. Enrique Barzola by Decision
  • Nick: Barzola drops down a weight class here and he barely had to cut. Yahya has the track record, but these are two guys whose careers are headed in different directions. Barzola has benefited from his time at American Top team. A strong camp with experienced training partners will be the reason he gets over here. Enrique Barzola by Decision. He feels a bit overpriced on DK.
  • GB: Yahya is an animal when it comes to the ground and specifically submitting opponents. He’s tapped 20 opponents in his career, and I think tonight he adds 21. He will need to get this fight to the ground to make this happen. Rani Yahya by Round Three Submission

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos -135 (DK $8400, FD $16) vs Alexey Kunchenko +105 (DK $7800, FD $14)

  • Anthony: No matter how you slice it this should be an exciting fight. The pair of welterweights have impressive professional records and match up very well with one another. Alexey Kunchenko is coming of his first UFC loss to Gilbert Burns and gets another tough test here. This is a tough one to pick in terms of betting and I will be taking the favorite. However, both guys offer a ton of value on DraftKings. Zaleski dos Santos should land close to 70 significant strikes if this goes the distance. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by Decision
  • Nick: We have two fighters coming off losses in this one. Zaleski looked terrible against Li Jinglang and Kunchenko had to swallow his first loss against Maia’s opponent on this card, Gilbert Burns. It’s tough to get too excited about either of these guys, but I favor the value on Kunchenko as an underdog. Alexey Kunchenko by Third Round KO
  • GB: Zaleski has the ability to move with the best of them. His hip dexterity and speed allow him to avoid sticky situations, but I see Kunchenko getting the better side of this and ultimately winning the decision. Alexey Kunchenko by Decision

Amanda Ribas -400 (DK $9300, FD $20) vs Randa Markos +300 (DK $6900, FD $11)

  • Anthony: Amanda Ribas is the second most expensive fighter on the DraftKings card and for good reason. The young strawweight does not have to do a lot to win this fight and I think we get a pretty easy victory with her here. She has some submission talent and could end this one early if they get on the ground. However, I think standing and throwing high volume strikes is the best route to victory. Randa Markos has never won back-to-back fights in her career. Amanda Ribas by Decision
  • Nick: Markos is barely a .500 fighter with her record sitting at 10-7. Ribas is coming off to impressive Wins over Mackenzie Dern and Emily Whitmire. I expect Ribas to cruise here against the gatekeeper on her way to an easy Decision. The DFS price is ugly on both sites but she is one of the safer Ws. Amanda Ribas by Decision
  • GB: Ribas is exciting young blood in the strawweight division and I think Markos isn’t the slightest threat to her. I think Ribas wears her down and ultimately finishes her in the 3rd. Amanda Ribas by Round Three KO

Jussier Formiga -165 (DK $8800, FD $17) vs Brandon Moreno +135 (DK $7400, FD $14)

  • Anthony: The flyweight division is not too crowded now, but this is a fight between two huge contenders. Jussier Formiga is currently ranked third while Brandon Moreno sits at fifth. The victor here will likely have a title shot in their near future. Formiga is very old for this weight but still possesses the elite grappling he needs to win. I think while Moreno is never going to be an easy opponent, Formiga should have enough tools in his belt to take this fight to the mat and win on points. On DraftKings I would have Formiga in most of my builds. He should score a nice handful of advances. Jussier Formiga by Decision
  • Nick: Formiga’s last two fights were against two of the division’s Top contenders. He fell hard against Benavidez, but he’s far more proven and there’s a lot of value on him as an underdog here. Neither of these guys finish many fights. I expect it to go the distance but Formiga should find away.. There’s appeal to rostering Moreno at his price on both DK and FanDuel here, but Formiga is the better fighter. Jussier Formiga by Decision
  • GB: Moreno has too many tools on his belt to lose this fight, although Formiga is super well rounded. I believe Moreno tries to keep Formiga on his feet en route to a knockout victory at a discounted price, especially on DraftKings Brandon Moreno by First Round KO

Main Card- Starts 6pm EST

Francisco Trinaldo -165 (DK $8900, FD $18) vs John Makdessi +135 (DK $7300, FD $13)

  • Anthony: We open the main card here with a great battle at lightweight. The betting line for this contest has not moved much this week but I think there is a clear mismatch here. John Makdessi has won four decisions in a row, but I do not think he is skilled enough to win in this division. He is undersized and I doubt he will be able to wrestle with or out strike the more technically sound Trinaldo. I am not in love with either’s price on DraftKings but will be betting heavy on the favorite here. He can still get it done at 41 years of age. Francisco Trinaldo by Decision
  • Nick: Trinaldo is an aggressive fighter, and Makdessi generally likes to point guys to death. I think the styles here clash in favor of the Trinaldo. It’s unfortunate the crowd won’t be here to back him, but I think the Brazilian frustrates Makdessi early and eventually baits him into a late knockout. Francisco Trinaldo by Third Round KO. For DFS, I prefer his price on FanDuel.
  • GB: I’m torn here. Makdessi is a fun fighter to watch, and at any time I’m expecting Trinaldo to hang em up. It seems that every time Trinaldo fights it’s a war. He’s got an iron chin and Makdessi has immense KO power with great kicking ability. I see this being a very technical kickboxing match with plenty of points scored on each side. Francisco Trinaldo by Decision

Johnny Walker -145 (DK $8600, FD $17) vs Nikita Krylov +115 (DK $7600, FD $14)

  • Anthony: If you want a juicy play on DraftKings this is the fight for you. Oddsmakers say this fight will not complete a single round and I have to agree. Johnny Walker has a 4.5-inch reach advantage and should be able to beat up Krylov enough for an early win. He ranks tenth in the light heavyweight and I do not know if he has much room to climb, that is after seeing his last fight with Corey Anderson. However, as far as tonight’s match goes, he should deal a lot of damage early to Krylov. I do not think the Ukrainian will stay in the rankings for long. Johnny Walker by Round One KO
  • Nick: This is definitely one of the more exciting fights on this card. Walker took a step back in his last fight against Corey Anderson, but he made some obvious and correctable mistakes. Krylov played a defensive game against Glover Teixiera in his last fight, a strategy that hurts his chances here against a hyper-aggressive Walker. Both of these guys have knockout power. There’s no way I see this going the distance either way, but I’ll take Walker in the bounce-back with a KO late in the 1st. Johnny Walker by Round One KO. He’s one of my top DFS plays of the day at this price. I’ll have a lot of exposure on both sites.
  • GB: It seems that poor Krylov is a lamb to the slaughter in this matchup. Walker has immense power but has also shown to be a rushed fighter. That should settle as he’s also a newer member of Tristar gym. He’s in the best pay up spot of the night in my opinion for an easy knockout. Johnny Walker by Round One KO

Renato Moicano -400 (DK $9400, FD $19) vs Damir Hadžović +300 (DK $6800, FD $10)

  • Anthony: Renato Moicano is the biggest favorite on the card and should be able to win this with ease as he is far more skilled. It would be a solid win on points if Moicano wanted to just land his strikes and run a traditional Muay Thai approach. In my opinion fighting at lightweight is the best decision for Moicano down the stretch and given the clear grappling advantage I think we get a submission of Damir Hadžović once he has been hurt, most likely by rear-naked choke. Renato Moicano by Round Two Submission
  • Nick: Moicano is coming off two KO losses, but it’s tough to knock him for them considering they came against Jose Aldo and the Korean Zombie AND in a higher weight class. Moicano should be better off here without having to make a dramatic weight cut. There’s not much value on him at this price, but he should find a win. Renato Moicano by Round Three Submission. He’s expensive on DK and FanDuel, but if you get to him he has finishing potential.
  • GB: Moicano has been dominant because of his excellent Muay Thai and ground game. He will be jumping up a weight class which makes me weary, especially coming off back to back losses to Aldo and Korean Zombie. Hadzovic absolutely smothers his opponents and I think this is a great spot to get him at on DraftKings and especially FanDuel. I have a feeling that this fight goes the distance either way. I’m going with the cheaper dude, opposed with the highest on the slate in a tight scoring matchup. Damir Hadžovi by Decision

Gilbert Burns -185 (DK $9000, FD $18) vs Demian Maia +150 (DK $7200, FD $12)

  • Anthony: This is going to be an incredible co-main between two Brazilians at welterweight. This could be the final fight of Demian Maia’s career and nobody could be upset for him losing against the younger and more physically gifted Gilbert Burns. This is a very risky bet, but I anticipate Maia to rely on his grappling here as he has his entire career. Neither of these guys are great plays in your lineups as Burns is too expensive and Maia is not a lock for many points. I am confident that Maia’s grappling will win him round one and put the pressure on Burns, the heavy favorite. Demian Maia by Decision
  • Nick: Damion Maia has been fighting professionally for nearly 20 years. He’s one of the best submission artists the game has ever seen, and his Jiu-Jitsu is elite. Burns is like a younger Maia in some regards. He’s Jiu-Jitsu is also elite, but his youth is his biggest edge here and he also comes in with much better striking than Maia. This fight figures to be one of the closest on the card, but I’m going with the value on the veteran. I think the better jiu-jitsu is the difference here. Demian Maia by Decision.
  • GB: Arguably one of the best 170lbs of the decade, and gets it done, Maia has been one of my favorite fighters since entering the UFC. On the other side of the octagon will be a younger, mirror image of Maia. I expect this to end in a submission, or by UD. I give the edge to Burns because of his age but this will be one of the best fights of the night. Gilbert Burns by Round Three Submission

Kevin Lee -160 (DK $8300, FD $16) vs Charles Oliveira +130 (DK $7900, FD $15)

  • Anthony: Here is our main event. For those of you who are not aware, this fight is scheduled for five rounds in the lightweight division. The winner here should have a much clearer shot at a title soon. Kevin Lee is the favorite and will be the much heavier man after missing weight by 2.5 pounds. The chance of this fight going the distance is slim to none and I am going to put my faith in Charles Oliveira here to catch Lee in a submission. Once they are off their feet and the fight hits the mat, it should take no more than 60 seconds for us to see a finish. I would run about half of my lineups with Oliveira because this fight is not easy, but he could have the highest value on the card. Charles Oliveira by Round One Submission
  • Nick: Every other guy that has missed weight has won their fight this year (3-0). Lee has seen tougher competition than Oliveira, especially recently, and he’s shown us he can finish anyone. The “enemy territory” narrative is moot with no fans in the crowd, and I like Lee to continue to find success now that he’s back down to lightweight.  His price is nice on both DFS sites. The 6-fight win streak for Oliveira has mostly come against guys he’s been favored against. I’ll take Lee as the favorite. It’s risky, but his upside is excellent on both sites for DFS purposes. Kevin Lee by Round Two KO.
  • GB: Lee has looked flat lately although he had switched camps to Tristar in Montreal before his last bout (which he won by KO). I don’t believe he’s at a stable point yet and has only had 3 KOs in his last 23 fights. Give me Oliveria at the cheaper price on both sites. He looks to be in the best shape of his career after winning 6 in a row, all of which are finishes. Charles Oliveira by Round Two Submission

NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet – 3/11 – DraftKings & FanDuel

What's up everyone! John Huish (@notJohnHuish) and Nick Marro (@NickMarroDFS) here back again with the March 11th edition of the The NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet! In today's NBA Cheat Sheet you will find: Top plays at each position Opponent DvP Team Pace Opposing Team Pace DPA Core Cash Plays, Bargain plays, and so much more! […]

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NCAA BASKETBALL – 3.11.2020 – Best Bets for Wednesday’s College Hoops (Free)

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here happy to share my NCAA Men’s Basketball picks for the college hoops season. Last year I was able to supply over 300 picks against the spread and finish the season cashing at a rate of just about 59%. As March Madness approached and I was brought on to write for DPA, readers were treated to a 45-27-2 record of sides and totals over the final month of the season. This season, betting write-ups will posted exclusively on DPA almost every day but be sure to follow my Twitter too so you won’t miss a pick on days with abbreviated slates. If you to try out a website to bet on my picks, I highly recommend using Bovada for their user-friendly format and awesome deposit bonuses!

  • Current Season Record: 251-258-7
  • Previous Season Record: 180-127-9

Utah vs Oregon State, Over 134

  • Utah is coming off two consecutive overtime games, but their offense has been cooking regardless. It is hard to imagine this contest being a blowout as both squads want to finish their season strong. The winner will need at least 70 points to lock up this one
  • Rylan Jones is going to be out for the Utes today which does hurt our chances, but that news has also lowered the total significantly. I do not know if one college freshman is worth five points to the spread, and thus I will still be betting on the high here this afternoon
  • The Beavers looked great in their final two regular season games and their offense has finally picked up its pace. Tres Tinkle is touching the ball on just about every possession and that is exactly what Oregon State needs to win this game and advance in the PAC-12 tourney

Northwestern vs Minnesota, Over 134

  • For a team that has struggled all season it is good to see Northwestern broke the 80-point threshold in two of their past three games. They enter on a 4-1 over run while Minnesota has cashed the over in their past five. I expect them to crush this total today
  • Minnesota has consistently been improving in terms of offensive efficiency and now rank inside the Top 30 in that category. For a team with a losing record that is very impressive and clearly illustrates their defense is what is lacking. That is just what we want here
  • Daniel Oturu is making a late push for National Player of the Year and at least has to be considered in people’s top ten. He played just 22 minutes in a 105-point thrashing of Nebraska and I anticipate he will be very fresh for this contest. He could end up playing a full 40

Iowa State vs Oklahoma State, Under 140

  • Rasir Bolton is the top contributor on offense for the Cyclones and he is not expected to suit up for the game today. He scored double digits in his last six games but sat out Saturday with a concussion. This is already a team that lost Tyrese Haliburton this season
  • Both squads see a drastic uptick in points when playing at home and now neither have that luxury as tourney season has begun. Their last meeting totaled just 134 points and I think we even stay shy of that number here. Bet the under with confidence this evening
  • Oklahoma State is entering on a three-game winning streak and is a surprising favorite in this game, but for good reason. They have the far superior defense with Yor Anei at center and if they are going to win it will be by playing their style of defensive basketball

Kansas State +2 vs Texas Christian

  • It is hard to beat a team three times in a season. It is going to be a very tall task for the Horned Frogs to come into Kansas City and win this contest. Neither team is very impressive, but I strongly lean toward the more experienced and deeper Wildcat squad
  • In the very first meeting this season TCU was only able to win by two points. This game will be extremely close, and I love the semi-home team getting points here. I have seen more Horned Frog basketball than I care to admit, and I think they get handled soundly
  • One last note is that TCU is just 3-9 outright when traveling this season. It is not going to be easy for them to win in this environment in what will likely be a pro Kansas and Kansas State crowd. I simply do not believe their offense can produce well enough to win

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas, Over 147.5

  • This game is more than likely going to finish 80-70 in favor of the Razorbacks, but anything can happen in college hoops. I do think that given the health and talent of Arkansas they are the much better team. They crushed Vanderbilt by 20 point already this year
  • Vanderbilt enters tonight’s contest on a 7-3 over run while Arkansas is 9-1 to the over in their last ten. Both squads are on fire offensively and should be able to continue their production here. Each is averaging over 71 points per game and heating up at the right time
  • The key to this contest will be the play of Mason Jones. To say this kid is locked in would be an understatement as he averaged over 32 points per game over Arkansas’ last four contests. If he can sustain this incredible scoring run then we may be cashing our over at halftime

Let’s win today Playmakers! I am confident in every pick that I provide and play them myself. College basketball is unpredictable and that’s why we love it, so always bet smart!

NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet – 3/10 – DraftKings & FanDuel

What's up everyone! John Huish (@notJohnHuish) and Nick Marro (@NickMarroDFS) here back again with the March 10th edition of the The NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet! In today's NBA Cheat Sheet you will find: Top plays at each position Opponent DvP Team Pace Opposing Team Pace DPA Core Cash Plays, Bargain plays, and so much more! […]

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NCAA BASKETBALL – 3.10.2020 – Best Bets for Tuesday’s College Hoops (Free)

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here happy to share my NCAA Men’s Basketball picks for the college hoops season. Last year I was able to supply over 300 picks against the spread and finish the season cashing at a rate of just about 59%. As March Madness approached and I was brought on to write for DPA, readers were treated to a 45-27-2 record of sides and totals over the final month of the season. This season, betting write-ups will posted exclusively on DPA almost every day but be sure to follow my Twitter too so you won’t miss a pick on days with abbreviated slates. If you to try out a website to bet on my picks, I highly recommend using Bovada for their user-friendly format and awesome deposit bonuses!

  • Current Season Record: 250-256-7
  • Previous Season Record: 180-127-9

Wake Forest +2.5 vs Pittsburgh

  • The much better team in this contest is Wake Forest and they are playing with a slight home court advantage. They were also able to beat Pittsburgh by four points on the road this season. Olivier Sarr is just too big to contain at center and Brandon Childress is red hot
  • Wake Forest covered all four of their neutral court games this season. They also have won their last four games when facing the Panthers. I think Pittsburgh is a team that’s lost seven straight and should be ready to call this a season. They should not be favored
  • Pittsburgh is one of the least efficient shooting teams in the entire country. They are making just 40 percent of their shots and are one of a few teams that make under 30 percent from beyond the arc. I do not think they shoot well enough to win this afternoon

Vermont -16 vs UMBC

  • This is a huge revenge game for the Catamounts who look to finish another dream season with a March Madness appearance. UMBC was able to steal a two-point victory against them in late February but tonight’s game will look a lot more like their first meeting
  • Keep in mind this conference tournament is being played in Vermont’s home gym. Anthony Lamb has been showing out in his senior season and has a squad around him poised for a second weekend run. However, this still may be a bubble squad who needs this automatic bid to qualify
  • It is also important to note that UMBC went 10-18 from three-point range in their last meeting with Vermont when their season average from three is just 31 percent. They do not have a true guard that can make consistent buckets like they had with Darnell Rogers

North Carolina vs Virginia Tech, Under 142

  • If you look at the last meeting between these two teams you will notice they scored a total of just 120 points before playing two overtime periods. We are getting a lot of value on the low here and I think it’s very unlikely the winner will score anywhere north of 70 here
  • Virginia Tech has hit four straight unders and have been playing at a snail’s pace to close out the year. This is the highest total that they will be facing during that stretch and I anticipate it will be the easiest under as well. North Carolina is hot but not hot enough
  • Take away those overtime periods and these squads are 1-7 to the under in their last eight meetings. Usually it is a defensive battle when the programs here clash and there is no better time to lock in defensively than in their conference tourney. Lock in this under

Let’s win today Playmakers! I am confident in every pick that I provide and play them myself. College basketball is unpredictable and that’s why we love it, so always bet smart!

NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet – 3/9 – DraftKings & FanDuel

What's up everyone! John Huish (@notJohnHuish) and Nick Marro (@NickMarroDFS) here back again with the March 9th edition of the The NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet! In today's NBA Cheat Sheet you will find: Top plays at each position Opponent DvP Team Pace Opposing Team Pace DPA Core Cash Plays, Bargain plays, and so much more! […]

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NCAA BASKETBALL – 3.8.2020 – Best Bets for Sunday’s College Hoops (Free)

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here happy to share my NCAA Men’s Basketball picks for the college hoops season. Last year I was able to supply over 300 picks against the spread and finish the season cashing at a rate of just about 59%. As March Madness approached and I was brought on to write for DPA, readers were treated to a 45-27-2 record of sides and totals over the final month of the season. This season, betting write-ups will posted exclusively on DPA almost every day but be sure to follow my Twitter too so you won’t miss a pick on days with abbreviated slates. If you to try out a website to bet on my picks, I highly recommend using Bovada for their user-friendly format and awesome deposit bonuses!

  • Current Season Record: 249-253-7
  • Previous Season Record: 180-127-9

Michigan +4.5 at Maryland      

  • I gave you these teams with great future odds earlier in the year and both are looking to finish the season strong and make a deep run in March. Unfortunately, the Terps have not looked themselves as of late and I really prefer Michigan and the points in this one
  • Maryland has lost three of the last four in an ugly way, and barely squeaked out a single point victory in the one win. Playing at home on senior day should be a small boost but the Wolverines will not make it easy to secure a share of the Big Ten title. It will be close
  • Losses to Wisconsin and Ohio State really hurt Michigan but the wins to Purdue and Rutgers were just as meaningful. In my eyes this is a coinflip outright and I have to trust the team that has been just a bit more consistent. That team is the Wolverines entering today

Michigan State -6.5 vs Ohio State      

  • In addition to the above Terrapins we also have Sparty looking for a share of the Big Ten regular season title this afternoon. I think this is going to be one of those games at the Breslin Center in March where Michigan State puts on a show. They should cover easily
  • Cassius Winston is the best player on the court and will be playing his final home game this afternoon. After what seemed to be a bit less special season for the guard, he is ready to finish strong and carry this team to another second weekend. He will score at least 20 points in this one
  • Ohio State has not won a Quadrant I home game since February 4th and I think they are just a bit too stagnant on offense to compete with the Spartans here. Especially with Kyle Young sidelined again they just lack the weapons needed to keep pace with Michigan State

Illinois -3 vs Iowa         

  • We finish our Big Ten trifecta in Champaign where an erratic Illini squad looks to finish their season strong. Iowa did beat them in the first meeting but here today I expect more involvement from Kofi Cockburn up front to shut down the dangerous Luka Garza
  • Ryan Kriener and Cordell Pemsl could either start or sit but I do not think either will play at 100 percent this evening. Illinois is already elite as scoring inside the paint so I think a healthy dose of action inside will be enough for them here. I have them winning 76-70
  • Iowa has an offense that has dropped about six fewer points while on the road this season. If they are not able to catch fire from outside this physical game could get out of hand very fast. I am confident in this pick and will be backing the Illini very heavy here

Let’s win today Playmakers! I am confident in every pick that I provide and play them myself. College basketball is unpredictable and that’s why we love it, so always bet smart!

From Green to Checkered – NASCAR DFS Picks- Phoenix Raceway

Nascar returns Sunday afternoon for the first of two races this year at Phoenix’s ISM raceway. This one has a little added importance being that the championship will be decided later this year when they return to Phoenix in November. This is the final race of 3 during the West Coast trip. These are new car setups however, so there are some unknowns. The cars here are supposed to be built more to enhance a driver’s ability. This package will be used 14 times this year for short tracks and road courses. It features a 750hp limit. This is the 4th race since the repave, so stats from the last 2 years races carry a little weight. Let’s take a look at some of my favorite plays, starting with dominator options. (drivers who can lead a lot of laps).

DOMINATORS: 

Chase Elliot. 9600 DK, 11000 FD. starts 1st. He was quickest in first practice (other then Byron who was on a qualifying run.) Hes led over 160 laps here since 2017. Has a tendency to not finish that great here at the end of races. But, laps led bonus negates this at times. Worth a play in both gpp and cash

Kevin Harvick. 11,300 DK, 12,500 FD. starts 2nd. At one time Harvick was amazing here. He has 9 wins in his career here. He’s the king of saving his tires and tires are king here now, so he very well could go back to dominant form. He was right at 10th in speed in both practices so he will need to be better on those tires to hold everyone off. I like this play but if I’m playing one lineup I’d take Chase slightly over Harvick.

Denny Hamlin. 10,200 DK, 13,000 FD. starts 3rd. Hes very aggressive here. Won this race last fall, I could see him dominating here so I have to mention him. Doesn’t have the greatest practice times though so be cautious. Don’t go too heavy with exposure. Good gamble though.

Kyle Busch. 12,000 DK, 14,000 FD. starts 10th. Wins a whole lot here. Just play him or pray he does poorly if you don’t have some exposure.

Brad Keslowski. 10,400 DK, 11,500 FD starts 14th. He had the fastest 25 and 30 lap runs in practice. Ge could be a great play in stage 2 if this car holds true.

PLACE DIFFERENTIAL PLAYS: (start lower then they should finish)

Tyler Reddick. 6900 DK, 6700 FD. starts 29th. Showed much better practice times. I expect a top 20 finish. Good for cash and gpp but a little more gpp with some risk involved.

Austin Dillon. 7500 DK, 7600 FD. starts 30th. Not the best speed. Honestly shouldn’t be worse then 23rd. Dont expect much more then 20th.

Ty Dillon. 6200 DK, 5500 FD. starts 25th. Based on his history here I think he battles to get into the Top-20. Practice times support that. Probably the cheapest guy I feel comfortable playing.

Ross Chastain. 7000 DK, 7400 FD. starts 24th. The dirtiest driver in the sport, so at some point someone is going to have enough of his dirty tactics to pass people and take him out. But he is probably a top-20 car speed wise. Probably bumps and pushes people out of his way to get all he can.

NOTE: I’m not a big fan of punting this week so I don’t have any very cheap plays that I like. Maybe Ryan Preece5400DK 5000FD But if 4-5 guys are moving into the Top-20 then some people have to fall back. He is a candidate for that. You don’t want to punt too deep here because the leader will lap slower cars pretty quickly. You might be able to use Bubba Wallace6000DK 5000FD he starts 27th. Maybe he can move up a few and can hit value, but I don’t really trust it.

MID-TIER/CASH STYLE PLAY:

Jimmie Johnson. 9000 DK, 10,000 FD. starts 21st. I don’t expect him to fall much, so I like him for cash. Not as great for gpp, but usable.

Clint Bowyer. 7900 DK, 8400 FD. starts 18th. I think in the long run he could move up near Top-10. Really solid cash play.

Joey Logano. 10,700 DK, 11,200 FD. starts 13th. I cant forget him here. Hes a top 5 car. Just outside that at worst.

Martin Truex Jr. 11,600 DK, 13,500 FD starts 12th. Goes to the back to start the race for engine change. Still a good play. Just has to overcome that and pass teams not as good as him. He will be back up front relatively fast.

William Byron 8300 DK, 9500 FD. starts 17th. Dominated an xfinity race here to win that championship. He was fastest in 1st practice, just slightly, it was a qualifying run however. He still shows good speed an starting 17th theres some room to pick up place differential points. I would have exposure if playing multiple lines.

This is a week to make a more balanced line. Punts wont have a ton of value. Your only shot with punts is that theres several wrecks. Only 12 cars have wrecked out here over the last 4 races, and 4 of them were in the same wreck last year. 2 races only 1 car wrecked out. So hoping for several wrecks is risky.

NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet – 3/7 – DraftKings & FanDuel

What's up everyone! John Huish (@notJohnHuish) and Nick Marro (@NickMarroDFS) here back again with the March 7th edition of the The NBA Playbook Cheat Sheet! In today's NBA Cheat Sheet you will find: Top plays at each position Opponent DvP Team Pace Opposing Team Pace DPA Core Cash Plays, Bargain plays, and so much more! […]

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