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March Madness – 3.24.2019 – Best Bets for Sunday’s March Madness Slate

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here back to share my Men’s NCAABB picks with you today and every day this March! On the season I have floated around 59% ATS on over 300 picks, and feel I know these teams well enough to provide consistent winners. My write-ups and any O/U action will be posted exclusively here on DPA! Be sure to follow me on Twitter and feel free to ask me any questions you may have during the tournament!

  • Daily Play Action ATS Record: 24-16-1
  • Daily Play Action O/U Record: 11-6-0
  • Season ATS Record: 175-124-8

Central Florida +13.5 vs Duke

  • Maybe it is unrealistic for me to be considering this upset, but I really do think at the very least this game is going to come down to the wire. Duke is the worst team in the tournament at shooting the three, and Central Florida has the size and talent to force a lot of outside shots.
  • The match-up that everyone will be watching is Tacko Fall and Zion Williamson. They are ranked first and second in the country in both effective field goal percentage and in weight, with Fall having the edge in both categories. The senior has the best chance of anyone in the tournament to contain Zion
  • Central Florida has lost by more than thirteen just twice this season and are 8-2 against the spread in their past ten games. Duke on the other hand is 3-7. Only three games in that stretch had a bigger spread than today’s line and Duke went 1-2 against the spread in them
  • Central Florida is not the kind of team to get rattled when they’re down and they figure to slow down the tempo to a pace they are comfortable with. I think it may be reckless to bet the money-line but I do believe they have a shot to win this game outright, as crazy an upset it’d be

Texas Tech -4 vs Buffalo

  • Texas Tech is 8-2 against the spread in their past ten games and are coming off a 25 point victory on Friday against Northern Kentucky. It is shaping up to be an ugly tournament for the Big 12, but I think this team will be their last one standing when all is said and done
  • Jarrett Culver was incredible dropping 29 points in the first round and I think he will replicate that performance if not improve upon it. Opponents love going inside against Buffalo and that will be no different today
  • This is the best defense that Buffalo will be facing all season. They are used to dropping an easy 80 every time they play, but I do not think they get close to that number today. Buffalo has a good defense too but there is no shot they can hold Texas Tech to the 3-22 from three they were able to hold Arizona State to
  • Out of the 27 wins that Texas Tech had this season, just two were by fewer than four points. I think that odds-makers are giving too much credit to the underdog here and keeping this line low as the public have been hammering Buffalo. I think in this spot Texas Tech is an easy winner

Virginia Tech -9 vs Liberty

  • Virginia Tech in the first round was a very easy cover against a very mediocre Saint Louis team. They were a thirteen seed and now Virginia Tech gets another easy draw against a twelve. Liberty is a far superior team to Saint Louis but the outcome will not be much different
  • Justin Robinson was eased back into the lineup playing 28 minutes in his first game since January. The senior guard is the best player on the court in this game and I expect him to return to a near full workload once again. Liberty will not be able to contain both him and Kerry Blackshear
  • For a power five team Virginia Tech is rather small but they still have the height advantage in this tilt. That was not an issue for Liberty in the first round against Mississippi State but I think in this game the advantage will help improve the already potent Virginia Tech defense
  • These teams do just about everything the same but the more experienced Virginia Tech executes at a higher level. They run a zone look a majority of the time and I think they will have no issues limiting scoring. This should be a double digit win for the Hokies

California Irvine vs Oregon, Over 124

  • This is shaping up to be a defensive battle on paper but the team that wins is going to be the one that can score early and often. It is essentially a race to 70 points and with a spread of just five that lends itself to an easy over bet. I expect we will see a lot of fast break points
  • In their past six games UC Irvine is 4-2 O/U in favor of the over and averaging 82.7 points per game. For the team known for defense in the Big West that is impressive, especially considering that is ten more points than they averaged on the season. The offense is finally clicking
  • And speaking of clicking at the right time, Oregon has Payton Pritchard who has topped eighteen points in each of their past four games, including back to back performances against the elite defenses of Washington and Wisconsin. Freshman Louis King has been hot too
  • At this low of a total, it is an easy choice to play the over. Both of these teams are very defense oriented but they know how to put their foot on the gas when the game script calls for it. Both also start slow on occasion, so the other play I will be watching is the second half over

I play every game I post so you should not be afraid to tail, but never go too heavy on any one game. Keep in mind the tournament is a marathon not a sprint, so manage your bankroll appropriately. That being said scared money is lost money! Let’s win today Playmakers!

March Madness – 3.23.2019 – Best Bets for Saturday’s March Madness Slate

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here back to share my Men’s NCAABB picks with you today and every day this March! On the season I have floated around 59% ATS on over 300 picks, and feel I know these teams well enough to provide consistent winners. My write-ups and any O/U action will be posted exclusively here on DPA! Be sure to follow me on Twitter and feel free to ask me any questions you may have during the tournament!

  • Daily Play Action ATS Record: 22-16-0
  • Daily Play Action O/U Record: 10-6-0
  • Season ATS Record: 173-124-7

Wofford +6 vs Kentucky

  • Kentucky decided to put PJ Washington in a cast instead of going with a walking boot. Playing the long game may of been a mistake here by Coach Calipari as Kentucky may not be able to make it past this first weekend without his star forward. This Woffod team is legit
  • Wofford is 9-1 against the spread in their last ten games with the only spread they failed to cover was as a 23 point favorite. Meanwhile, Kentucky is 4-6 against the spread and their last ten and there is a question of if they will be able to defend against a squad like Wofford
  • One major thing I like to look for is size advantage when mid-majors face the blue bloods. In this game it really is not going to be an issue for the rather undersized Wofford as they just got stomped Seton Hall who is actually bigger than Kentucky. In this game, size doesn’t matter
  • If they are down by twenty points I am never gonna count out Wofford. They shoot the three better than anyone else in the country at an incredible 41.8 percent from beyond the arc. With Washington out for Kentucky I say Wofford does not only cover but wins this game

Gonzaga vs Baylor, Over 148

  • Gonzaga is obviously one of the most potent offenses in the country and with Killian Tillie starting to get locked in once again I think this team will top at least 80 the rest of their tournament run. They have the best field goal percentage and scoring total in all of Division I
  • Baylor has a decent offense too ranked in the Top 25 of offensive efficiency. They are 7-2 O/U in favor of the over in their past nine games and put up 78 against the tough zone defense of Syracuse
  • Gonzaga only holds the ball for an average of 14.5 seconds on offensive possessions. They really push the ball and this will be some of the toughest competition they have faced since the start of conference play. I expect the Zags to put up at least 60 shots
  • Baylor went over the total in their first round game by seventeen points as their shots were falling all game against Syracuse. I think this will be a double digit cover but not quite as smooth as the contest on Thursday. Expect about 155 or more in this high scoring contest

Michigan State -10 vs Minnesota

  • Here we have a Big Ten match-up in the Round of 32 and Michigan State really cruised all season, eventually winning the championship game. In their only meeting this season Michigan State covered the 13.5 point spread defeating Minnesota 79-55
  • Minnesota was one of the worst three point shooting teams in the country but miraculously made eleven three pointers in their first tournament game against Louisville. I think the luck will run out here especially as Michigan State who does excellent contesting shots
  • Michigan State has been one of the best teams when it comes to covering going 24-11 against the spread this season. They have an average margin of victory of 13.2 points and I expect them to win by at least that much, if not by even more this evening
  • The ability to score against man defense is no problem at all for Michigan State. Matt McQuaid should be able to get wide open looks and Cassius Winston as always can score from anywhere on the court. I expect higher assist numbers today than Michigan State averages

Auburn -2 vs Kansas

  • Auburn had an awful collapse against New Mexico State and even though it appeared Bruce Pearl really lost the reigns I think he is one of few coaches that can actually draw motivation from that near defeat. If Auburn gets ahead no way they will be taking their foot of the gas
  • Kansas is a different team away from home this season going 8-10 against the spread in games outside of The Phog. They went undefeated at home and will be back in Kansas City if they make it to next weekend. I think Auburn will prevent them from doing so
  • The thing I love about this Auburn team is their ability to shoot the three. Bruce Pearl really trusts his guys and his guards can take over the game at just about any moment. They are more experienced too starting four upperclassmen against Kansas’ one, Dedric Lawson
  • The one concern I have in this game is boards as Kansas does well bringing down rebounds and Auburn has a bit of trouble. They were out-rebounded in their first round game but I believe that must of been their focus in practice, and now it will be closer to 50/50

I play every game I post so you should not be afraid to tail, but never go too heavy on any one game. Keep in mind the tournament is a marathon not a sprint, so manage your bankroll appropriately. That being said scared money is lost money! Let’s win today Playmakers!

March Madness – 3.22.2019 – Best Bets for Friday’s March Madness Slate

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here back to share my Men’s NCAABB picks with you today and every day, as tournament time approaches. This season I have floated around 59% ATS on over 250 picks, and feel I know these teams well enough to provide consistent winners. My write-ups and any O/U action will be posted exclusively here on DPA! Be sure to follow me on Twitter and feel free to ask me any questions you may have during the tournament!

  • Daily Play Action ATS Record: 18-16-0
  • Daily Play Action O/U Record: 10-6-0
  • Season ATS Record: 169-124-7

California Irvine +4.5 vs Kansas State

  • I really like UC Irvine to win this game outright as it seems like Dean Wade will not be available for Kansas State. Not only will they be without their top player but they are also traveling much further than the Irvine team who has dominated the Big West this season
  • UC Irvine went 8-1-1 against the spread in their past ten games. Their 30-5 record is the best in program history and this team can compete with just about anyone. With Dean Wade out they will even have the size advantage over Kansas State
  • This team is experienced starting all upperclassmen. They have really gelled this season and are now scoring at a much more consistent rate. Defense however is this team’s forte as they hold opponents to the worst two point percentage of any team in the country
  • This is the lowest total of all games today. Regardless of if UC Irvine can hold on and win the 4.5 points they are getting can be huge with a posted total so low. I do not think either team is going to break sixty points today so I love the underdog in this spot

Houston -12 vs Georgia State

  • Georgia State deserves all the credit in the world for their excellent season but I do not think they can compete with Houston. The only Quadrant 1 win they had was Alabama but take that with a grain of salt as the Tide fell to Nofolk State out of the MEAC on Wednesday
  • Houston plays some of the most complete basketball of any team in the country. Falling to Cincinnati in the American Athletic championship stung for Kelvin Sampson’s squad and I think they will be out for redemption in the Big Dance. They can score early and often
  • The biggest weakness of Georgia State is their inability to get rebounds. They are atrocious at gathering offensive and defensive boards which is what will kill them this game. Houston is ranked nationally in the top ten in rebounding margin
  • The American Athletic stepped it up big time this season rated over the Pac-12 as the sixth strongest conference in the country. Their 31-3 record should not be taken lightly this team is legit. I expect them to handle Georgia State easily, winning by at least twenty point

Central Florida -1 vs Virginia Commonwealth

  • It appears that Marcus Evans is going to be playing for VCU today but I do not think that will be enough against this Central Florida squad. If there is a team that can play defense at the level of VCU it is their first round opponent, not to mention the whole team is more well rounded
  • Central Florida lost their last two games this season but do not let that deter you as their opponents shot excellent, posting an average 45.1 percent on field-goals. On the rest of the season Central Florida allowed an average field-goal percentage of just 39.1
  • Free throw percentage has scared a lot of the public off of Central Florida. However, in their past ten games they are 71 percent from the line. Their season number has yet to improve much but just because very few teams have had more free throw attempts than them
  • VCU is far less experienced and struggles to be efficient on offense, often finding themselves in long scoring droughts. I think that with their top four scorers locked in today this will be a very easy victory for Central Florida

Virginia Tech -10 vs Saint Louis

  • Not only does Virginia Tech rank in the Top 25 for both offensive and defensive efficiency but they are also getting back arguably their best player, Justin Robinson, just in time for tournament play
  • Virginia Tech lost just three games prior to Robinson’s injury. All were away games one being a single point defeat against Penn State and the other two against North Carolina and Virginia. Saint Louis had just one Quadrant 1 win all season long
  • In five of their last six games as favorites Virginia Tech has been able to cover the spread. This season they had an average margin of victory of 11.9 and are now getting back their senior guard and adding fourteen points and five assists per game
  • Saint Louis is a brutal 6-7 against the spread as the underdog this season. They struggled a lot when it came to facing good competition and even had trouble scoring consistently in the underwhelming Atlantic 10. This is an easy double digit win for Virginia Tech

I play every game I post so you should not be afraid to tail, but never go too heavy on any one game. Keep in mind the tournament is a marathon not a sprint, so manage your bankroll appropriately. That being said scared money is lost money! Let’s win today Playmakers!

DPA Triple Double – NBA Top Plays – 3.21.19 – DraftKings and FanDuel

The Daily Faceoff – 3.21.19 – DraftKings and FanDuel NHL

Sorry for the infrequent articles, essays and exams are beginning to take their toll! Nevertheless, we have a massive 12-game slate to cover tonight, so let’s take a look at who we should be targeting!

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Tonight’s Stacks

FLORIDA PANTHERS 1ST LINE: HUBERDEAU | BARKOV | DADONOV

DK: $19,800 | FD: $21,100

Image result for huberdeau barkov dadonov

This line has been electric over their last five games with 23 points between them. (8 Goals, 15 Assists) Both teams in this contest are seeking to avoid a slump this close to the playoffs as both teams are heavily involved in their respective conference’s Wild Card race. The marquee piece, which I recommend for any lineup, is Evgenii Dadonov, with three goals and two assists in his last three games. Dadonov averages around 20 minutes of ice time per game and sees time along with his linemates on Florida’s top power-play unit.

ST. LOUIS BLUES 3RD LINE: SCHWARTZ | SUNDQVIST | PERRON

DK: $13,200 | FD: $15,000

Image result for schwartz perron

He’s baaaack. This is the first time I’ve been able recommend David Perron since his return from injury, which dates back to before the all-star break. Perron carried a point streak prior to his injury, and in the two games since his return, he’s found a way to hit the ground running. Perron is now on a 16 game point streak! Not to mention his linemate (and beneficiary) Jaden Schwartz, who has posted three goals and one assist in their 7-2 win over the Edmonton Oilers.

Honorable Mentions: VGK1, CGY2, STL1 (Single Game Stacks: PHI2 vs CHI2)

Bargain Bin

Image result for tampa bay lightning logo wikiAnthony Cirelli (DK: $3,900 | FD: $4,200)

Despite having claimed the Presidents’ Trophy, Bolts’ forward Anthony Cirelli has not taken his foot off the gas with four points in his last three games. Cirelli will look to embark upon a four-game point streak as his team will participate in the second part of a back-to-back against the Hurricanes in their home arena in Raleigh, after winning 5-4 in a barn burner against the Caps on Wednesday night.

Image result for dallas stars logoRoope Hintz (DK: $4,300 | FD: $4,400)

Hintz has been spectacular in his top-six role for the Dallas Stars. Roope has four goals and an assist in his last five games, not to mention he’s been averaging 17 minutes a game and plays on Dallas’ top power play unit alongside Benn, Radulov and Seguin. It appears as though Hintz has been upgraded to the Stars top line alongside Seguin and Radulov for tonight’s matchup against the Aves.

Image result for philadelphia flyers logo wikiJames Van Riemsdyk (DK: $5,600 | FD: $6,400)

James has really found his own with the Flyers this season. Especially as of late where he has scored five goals and an assist in his last four games, including a hat trick against his former team, the Toronto Maple Leafs. James has been averaging around 20 minutes of ice time per game and appears on the Flyers top power-play unit. There is an O/U of 7.0 in this one against the Blackhawks, so there should be ample opportunities for JVR to tickle the twine.

Image result for ottawa senators logoMax Verroneau (DK: $3,400 | FD: $3,000)

The youngster has really impressed in his first three games for the already eliminated Ottawa Senators. Over his first three NHL contests, he has already recorded a goal, an assist, nine shots and two blocked shots. Not bad, especially on a team that really doesn’t have much left to fight for but pride. Ottawa is supposed to get thumped tonight but they were supposed to get thumped yesterday and Verroneau still managed to score. Verroneau plays on Ottawa’s top line alongside fellow rookie Brady Tkachuk, and can be had for essentially minimum price on both sites.

Honorable Mentions: Palat, Williams, Nyquist, Kuraly, DeBrusk

PP vs PK Matchup

Image result for san jose sharks logoSJS PP vs LAK PK    Image result for los angeles kings logo

San Jose has the 6th best Power Play in the league, and Los Angeles has the 3rd worst Penalty Kill in the league this season.

Honorable Mentions: CGY PP (10th) vs OTT PK (22th)

Stud D-Men

Image result for chicago blackhawks logoErik Gustafsson (DK: $5,600 | FD: $5,800)

Gusty has three points in his last four games, but on top of that he’s been piling on the shots and blocked shots with seven SOG and three blocked shots in his last game alone. Not to mention, Gustafsson logged over 27 minutes in Saturday’s 2-0 win over the Habs. That figure is not an abnormality for Gusty this season, and as mentioned before, Vegas is expecting 7.0 goals to be scored in this one.

Charlie McAvoy (DK: $4,500 | FD: $4,900)

McAvoy has a goal and two assists in his last four games, and with Torey Krug still out due to injury, the young Bruins stud has been relied upon as Boston’s top defenseman seeing somewhere between 25-27 minutes a game on average. McAvoy has also consistently been posting shots and blocked shots. If you’re looking to add some pieces of the Bruins high octane offense / power play against the Devils tonight, but don’t want to break the bank, look no further than Charlie McAvoy.

Image result for winnipeg jets logoJacob Trouba (DK: $5,700 | FD: $5,200)

Trouba has really been putting up points as of late, and has been relied upon for most of Winnipeg’s defensive duties with injuries to Josh Morrissey and Dustin Byfuglien. Jacob is averaging around 24 minutes of ice time per game, and also appears on Winnipeg’s top power-play unit alongside the likes of 1st liners Laine, Scheifele and Wheeler.

Honorable Mentions: DeMelo, Klingberg, Severson, Dunn, Butcher, Vlasic

Image result for goalie silhouetteStud Goalies


Image result for dallas stars logoBen Bishop (DK: $7,600 | FD: $9,400) -140

Despite losing the shutout streak rather early on in the Stars last game, Bishop was still a force against the hot Panthers first line, stopping 20 of 22 shots en route to a 4-2 Dallas win. Bishop’s shutout streak ended at 2 hours, 33 minutes and four seconds, but he does still have the opportunity to improve upon his six-game winning streak at home against the Colorado Avalanche.

Image result for st louis blues logoJordan Binnington (DK: $7,900 | FD: $8,500) -330

Rookie sensation Jordan Binnington has been electric thus far with an 18-4-1 record along with a 1.78 and a .930 SV%. Those are Vezina Trophy caliber numbers and it’s this kid’s first season in the pros! Binny will look to improve to three wins in his last three games tonight against the mathematically-eliminated Detroit Red Wings.

Honorable Mention: Smith (-410), Domingue (+130)

THE DPA MAIN SLATE CORE | MARCH 21ST, 2019

 

Allan provides his personal advice and insight on his favorite plays for DraftKings and FanDuel. Allan, nor any of the DailyPlayAction staff are responsible for losses accrued by DPA members. Additionally, please always remember to check starting lineups and the starting goalie prior to locking in your rosters.

March Madness – 3.21.2019 – Best Bets for Thursday’s March Madness Slate

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here back to share my Men’s NCAABB picks with you today and every day, as tournament time approaches. This season I have floated around 59% ATS on over 250 picks, and feel I know these teams well enough to provide consistent winners. My write-ups and any O/U action will be posted exclusively here on DPA! Be sure to follow me on Twitter and feel free to ask me any questions you may have during the tournament!

  • Daily Play Action ATS Record: 17-14-0
  • Daily Play Action O/U Record: 10-5-0
  • Season ATS Record: 168-122-7

Vermont vs Florida State, Under 134

  • In their past seven games both Vermont and Florida State have had games go 2-5 O/U in favor of the under. They played three games a piece in their conference tournaments and the highest total either team managed was 135 points
  • I was a bit surprised watching Florida State in their last game against Duke as they looked like a final four team, but fell apart due to a terrible shooting day going 28 percent from the floor. Shooting that poor won’t get you by Duke but will be enough against Vermont
  • Vermont is a very good team but they will struggle scoring against Florida State. They are undersized and score most of their points from inside the arc. The four big men that FSU rotates are going to smother this Vermont team, I think easily holding them under 60
  • Both of these teams primarily play man defense which will force contested shots and a lot of looks inside rather than outside the arc. Game script will also play a big roll in this contest, I expect that Florida State will be leading for most and chewing clock down

Nevada -2.5 vs Florida

  • Nevada has not been playing it’s best ball as of late but keep in mind, this is still a team that lost just four games all season. Meanwhile, Florida went 19-15 and I would agree that is not an accurate representation of this squad but still it is a team that struggles to win
  • The public is going to be targeting Florida as underdogs here after seeing Nevada fail to win the Mountain West championship. However, the best player on the court today will be Jordan Caroline who did not play in that game. Expect him to play at least 35 minutes
  • This is strength versus strength as Nevada is a Top 25 offensive team while Florida is a Top 25 defensive one. I think this one goes to the team that has the size, experience and firepower which all belong to Nevada. They should top 70 points and Florida just won’t keep pace
  • Eric Musselman coaches his team extremely well and has proven the biggest stage does not phase him. Florida is just so mediocre and are going to have to play with the speed that Nevada dictates. I expect an east win and a cover by almost ten points from this squad

Saint Mary’s +4.5 vs Villanova

  • I got Saint Mary’s winning outright but the safe bet is taking the points. This team has lost two games since the month of January and both were to championship contender Gonzaga. Not to mention being criminally under-seeded, at worst they should be a seven or even a six
  • Phil Booth for Villanova has produced in the tournament before and he alone has broken open games for Jay Wright. He has a good team around him but nowhere near the talent of Brunson and Arcidiacono that we have seen in years past. This is a game the public are all over
  • These teams are eerily similar statistically which says a lot as one plays in the Big East and the other in the up and coming West Coast Conference. Playing slower tempo, and highly efficient offensively is a common trait between the two. Each won their conference tourney
  • Bottom line the Big East is less than stellar and there is no reason this game should have a spread of more than two points. Villanova is 4-6 against the spread in their last ten games and are poised to either barely squeak out a win, or bust a lot of brackets

Old Dominion +12.5 vs Purdue

  • If you want to take a risk in your bracket pool may I suggest Old Dominion? I do not know if they will be able to overcome the sheer talent of Purdue but I am extremely confident they will cover this spread. Only two of their losses were by more than ten points this year
  • Old Dominion has a win over Syracuse on their resume already who have the greatest average height in the country. Someone like 7’3″ Matt Haarms could be a roadblock for ODU against Purdue but it is reassuring that they got by Syracuse and all 7’2″ of Paschal Chukwu
  • This is the lowest total of the day and rightfully so as Old Dominion plays outstanding defense. This season they are 13-21 O/U in favor of the under and can lock down teams for forty minutes with ease
  • Both these teams play slow and Old Dominion has the ability to keep pace with Purdue on offense. The only real worry with this team is their free throw shooting. I think this one is going to come down to the wire, it just seems crazy not to jump on this spread at double digits

I play every game I post so you should not be afraid to tail, but never go too heavy on any one game. Keep in mind the tournament is a marathon not a sprint, so manage your bankroll appropriately. That being said scared money is lost money! Let’s win today Playmakers!

DPA Power Plays – 3.20.19 FanDuel Roster Build – NHL DFS

DPA Triple Double – NBA Top Plays – 3.20.19 – DraftKings and FanDuel

DPA Power Plays – 3.19.19 DK + FD Roster Build – NHL DFS

March Madness – 3.16.2019 – Best Bets for Saturday’s NCAABB Slate

Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here back to share my Men’s NCAABB picks with you today and every day, as tournament time approaches. This season I have floated around 59% ATS on over 250 picks, and feel I know these teams well enough to provide consistent winners. This article will have my picks but you can also follow my Twitter for all bets against the spread. My write-ups and any O/U action will be posted exclusively here on DPA! Specifically today we have a lot of early games and lines not settling in until later this afternoon. Thus I may be posting some extra picks on Twitter later in the day.

  • Daily Play Action ATS Record: 17-11-0
  • Daily Play Action O/U Record: 10-4-0
  • Season ATS Record: 168-119-7

Michigan State vs Wisconsin, Over 129.5

  • I got burned by Michigan State and if you tailed you did too. Failing to cover was an abomination in that game so as much as I do love Michigan State again here the over is the smarter and safer play
  • Michigan State has topped 137 in four of their past five games and it will be their offense that dictates this game. Wisconsin is obviously a lower scoring team in general but as of late they have been knocking down their easy shots and keeping pace with all opponents
  • I personally believe that Wisconsin is still severely underrated even as the AP 19. Particularly their offense deserves far more credit than they get. Being the underdog here and still averaging 69.5 points per game directs heavily toward the over cashing here
  • Wisconsin is 32nd in three point percentage and Michigan State is 19th which are very high in the rankings considering this is a Big Ten match up. I expect both teams to be shooting a lot here, because whoever moves on would not get the chance to against Michigan

Houston -7.5 vs Memphis

  • Houston has covered seven points in nine of their past ten games against stout competition in the American Athletic. This league is going to send at least three teams to the Big Dance and Houston has absolutely dominated it all season
  • Arguably Memphis has a better offense than Houston but their scoring comes in spurts which Houston does well at containing. The defense of Houston is ranked tenth in the country and holds opponents to an average of just 61.6 points per game
  • Houston beat Memphis in their only meeting this season by thirteen points in February. Houston had fourteen steals in that game and easily covered the eight point spread. I expect a similar game today
  • A lot of people may not of witnessed Houston play this season but they are a team you will not out work. They defeated Connecticut by 39 points in their opening game but continued hustling for loose balls and contesting shots until the bitter end

Cincinnati -5 vs Wichita State

  • Gregg Marshall is a phenomenal coach who has done amazing things with his teams for the past decade. This is a huge challenge for Wichita State though to face a tournament team in their third game in as many games. I think fatigue is going to do in Wichita State today
  • In their two meeting this season Cincinnati came away with both wins, by ten and eleven points. Overall this season they posted an average margin of victory of 9.6 points
  • Markis McDuffie put up 34 points in yesterday’s game but keep in mind that was just a six point victory for Wichita State. Cincinnati’s Tre Scott has the length to contain McDuffie a lot more effectively than Temple’s JP Moorman was able to
  • The numbers say that Cincinnati has struggled in general against the spread as of late but I love this line and just based on the play I have seen from Wichita State I think this will be a simple cover this evening

Washington PK vs Oregon

  • Oregon has been red hot. They are trying to play their way into the tournament and actually may have already done so. This team is tired though, playing their fourth day in a row and coming off of an overtime win last night. Tired legs will not do well against this defense
  • Washington is trying to finish this season by securing the Pac-12 championship and this team deserves to do so. Keep in mind five of their seven losses this season were against Quadrant 1 opponents. This team is absolutely stacked and their seniors have earned this
  • Speaking of seniors Washington has the most continuity of any team in the country. Players on the team can represent 91.8% of their minutes played last season which is miles ahead of any other team. Right after solid coaching, it is experience wins games in March
  • In conference games Washington has had an average margin of victory of 7.3 points. This line is so low because of the hot streak of Oregon and the public’s perpetual recency bias. There is too much value here for me to consider fading this one

I play every game I post so you should not be afraid to tail, but never go too heavy on any one game. These few weeks of hoops are a marathon not a sprint, so manage your bankroll appropriately. That being said scared money is lost money! Let’s win today Playmakers!

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