NCAA BASKETBALL – 12.3.2019 – Best Bets for Tuesday’s College Hoops (Free)

31

ello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here, back to share my NCAA Men’s Basketball picks for the entire college season. Last year I was happy to supply over 300 picks against the spread and finish the season cashing at a rate of just about 59%. As March Madness approached and I was brought on to write for DPA, readers were treated to a 45-27-2 record of sides and totals over the final month of the season. This season, betting write-ups will posted exclusively on DPA almost every day but be sure to follow my Twitter too so you won’t miss a pick on days with abbreviated slates.

  • Current Season ATS Record: 37-40-1
  • Current Season Totals Record: 24-24-0
  • Previous Season ATS Record: 180-127-9

Butler +1.5 at Mississippi

  • It looks like Sean McDermott will be playing for Butler and even if he does not this should be a game the Bulldogs can cover. I think with how efficiently their offense has started the season they will have no problem scoring close to 70 which should be plenty
  • This is the first true road game for Butler this season but The Pavilion at Ole Miss it not the most intimidating of road atmospheres. With some recent shifts in the Big East now LaVall Jordan has a legitimate shot at winning a conference championship this season
  • Mississippi was absolutely smothered by Oklahoma State on Friday as they were held to a mere 37 points. This was no shock as the Cowboys were the best defense the Rebels faced to that point and now, they must compete with another strong defense in Butler

Austin Peay vs Arkansas, Under 137.5

  • Here is a good one, Arkansas has gone under in every game so far this season. They really looked incredible so far and are only allowing an average of 51 points per game to opponents. Eric Musselman turned the team around and now leads a Top 10 defense
  • Austin Peay has looked good on offense to start off the season, but I think facing a more experienced Arkansas team that can really defend the three will stifle them. I think this game is closer to 70-50 than the line is indicating so I will be playing this one heavy
  • For how complete Arkansas has looked they really struggle to shoot beyond the arc. Nearly ever point we see from the Razorbacks will be from inside the paint and with how slowly they like to operate I have trouble imagining them scoring more than 75

Charleston Southern vs Missouri, Under 133

  • It is not as good a mark as Arkansas, but Missouri has gone under in six of their first seven games. Meanwhile, Charleston Southern has gone under in five of six. It is not the perfect situation at such a low total, but I think we still get a great price for the under
  • Scoring just 67 points per game is a good sign for Missouri especially as an over 20-point favorite. There defense is going to be able to completely shut down the Buccaneers, but I doubt the Tigers score much more themselves than they really allow. This should be a slow tempo game
  • Statistically the offense of Charleston Southern ranks in the bottom 25 in the country. They have scored under 50 points in four games this year and are going to have an uphill battle to match that today. The only team with a worst effective field goal percentage is 0-6 Kennesaw State

Florida State +1.5 at Indiana

  • Indiana looks to be without Rob Phinisee today who is one of the best players they have. I think the biggest team in the country with their Top 5 defense is going to have no problem containing Indiana even on the tough road court in Bloomington
  • Florida State has covered their last three games and already have a road win as underdogs when they won outright in Gainesville. At the absolute worst this game would come down to the final possessions and I like the Seminoles plus the points
  • This is the first game for Indiana against legitimate competition this season. The best team the Hoosiers have beaten is Louisiana Tech who still is not all that great. They really are going to have a hard time scoring, especially inside the paint

Duke vs Michigan State, Over 144

  • Duke has gone over in their last four games and in the past ten meetings of these two the over has hit eight times. Both average over 80 points per game and I think even while they allow much fewer they will be close enough to their season averages tonight
  • Cassius Stanley being out for Duke is not as critical a loss as odds makers make it seem. He is only averaging about 12 points per game and Duke has enough talent elsewhere to score. It is scary to think about Vernon Carey playing close to 35 minutes in this one
  • I do not need to hype up the Spartans too much as they are clearly the best offense in the country. I think too much weight is on the shoulders of Cassius Winston and Tom Izzo will need to get his other players to carry some of the load in this game today and upcoming Big Ten play

Let’s win today Playmakers! I am confident in every pick that I provide and play them myself. College basketball is unpredictable and that’s why we love it, so always bet smart!