Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST.
It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!
Chang-Mo Koo/NC Starting P ($9,600/$26): Chang-mo Koo may be the best Pitcher in the KBO. Through his first 3 starts, he has an outstanding 1.96 FIP, an impressive 32.9% K Rate as well as an extremely low 0.55 WHIP. Tonight he’ll be facing a tough line-up in Kiwoom, but the Heroes are actually Striking Out more than any other team in the league this season (140). Additionally, oddsmakers are only giving them a meager 3.50 Implied Team total. The DraftKings price feels high, but it’s reasonable. He’s underpriced on FanDuel. Koo is my favorite pitcher on this slate, and I expect to have significant exposure on both sites here. The upside is rare in this league.
Chris Flexen/Doosan Starting P($8,700/$27): Three starts into his KBO Career, Flexen seems to be finding his groove. While he has allowed at least 1 ER in each of his 3 starts to begin the season, he’s maintaining a solid 9+ K/9 and limiting damage effectively. In his last start against a KBO-best Dinos line-up, he managed 10 Ks and only allowed 1 ER across 8 IP. Tonight he’ll look to continue to build on this excellent start against a porous SK Wyverns offense. The Wyverns OBP sits at a pathetic .297 so far this season. I expect Flexen to dominate in this spot on his way to a victory. While I don’t think he has quite the same upside as Koo here, it’s close. He’s one of my favorite pitchers on this slate by any estimation. I like him everywhere.
Tyler Wilson/LG Starting P($7,600/$26): There’s no denying that Wilson’s 5.71 ERA is cause for some concern, but his 4.67 FIP tells me he’s been a victim of bad luck so far this season. Additionally, oddsmakers are backing him here as a -170 favorite, giving Hanwha a meager 3.49 Implied Run total. He’s by no means a top priority for me tonight, but he’s priced favorably on DraftKings and a quality option if you’re playing multiple line-ups and looking to expand your Pitching pool.
Dan Straily/Lotte Starting P ($7,300/$24): He’s a bit more volatile than our other options tonight, but Straily is also a whole lot cheaper. Through 4 GS in 2020, he’s maintaining an impressive 10.23 K/9 and a decent 3.96 FIP. Samsung has been hitting the ball better of late, but they should still be considered a bottom-tier offense in this league. Oddsmakers has their Implied Run total sitting just below 4 in this spot so while I don’t think he’s as safe as a guy like Flexen or Koo here, the discount puts him firmly in play as a value option if you’re looking to load up on bats. He’s viable everywhere.
Also Consider: Drew Gagnon/KIA Starting P, Je-Seong Bae/KT Starting P
Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys were raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.
Doosan Bears (DOO): Once again, Doosan has the highest Implied Total on the slate (6.5 Runs). They let us down in a big way the other night, but I have trouble not going back to the well with them here. Tonight, they face off against Jong-Hoon Park. Park has looked decent to start he season (4.35 FIP), but he’s a mediocre SP by most estimations, the type Doosan has consistently feasted on to start the season. It should come as no surprise, but Jose Fernandez (1B) is the top bat to own on this team. His price is climbing, but he continuously produces as one of the best hitters in this league. He’s a top priority for me everywhere tonight. After Fernandez, Jae-Hwan Kim (OF) appears to be healthy after an injury scare a few nights ago. Keep an eye on the line-up, but as long as he’s in he’s a strong play everywhere and the clear-cut #2 option on this team. Jae-Il Oh (1B) has missed his last four games, if he’s back tonight I’d prioritize him here as well (although I’m not too confident in that shaking out). Joo-Hwan Choi (1B/2B) is still too cheap on DraftKings with a potent bat in his own right. Kun-woo Park (OF) and Soo-Bin Jung (OF) are solid plays here as well and both worth prioritizing. If Jae-Won Oh (2B) or Jae-Ho Kim (SS) make the line-up (they both should) they’re excellent value options near minimum price. There’s really no wrong way to go when stacking this team. If a guy is in the Starting line-up for DOO, he’s in consideration for me everywhere. If you go this route it’s probably going to be worth waking up early and checking the line-ups. Catcher Se-Hyuk Park (C) is also viable everywhere.
NC Dinos (NCD): The Dinos’ Implied Run Total sits at 5.5 Runs tonight as they’ll be facing off against a shaky arm in KIW’s Seung-ho Lee. As long as he’s starting, Eui-ji Yang (C) is my favorite bat in this stack. He has been resting more often lately, so be sure to confirm he’s starting before lock. He’s expensive, but he fills a void at a weak Catcher position and he’s truly one of the best bats in the KBO when he’s in. After Yang, Sung Bum Na (OF) and Suk-min Park (3B) are my top priorities. Na is one of the premier bats in this league, and Park has looked excellent this season as a starter. Both are affordable and viable everywhere, and both present considerable upsides. I’m happy to land on Aaron Altherr (OF) here as well, but he’s been slumping in a bad way lately. I like him much better on FanDuel as his DraftKings price still feels too high. I like Jin-Sung Kang (OF) as lower-owned outfield play if he’s starting. Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting. This is one of my favorite teams to stack on this slate. I’ll have plenty on both sites.
LG Twins (LGT): Chad Bell will make his 2020 KBO Debut tonight for Hanwha. He had a decent 2019, posting a 4.11 FIP across 29 GS. However, with the balls allegedly juiced and flying out of the park at a much greater rate this season, I have trouble buying into Bell’s outlook for 2020. He generally pitches to contact, which will play to the strengths of the LG Twins here. The DraftKings price on Roberto Ramos (1B) continues to be the joke of the industry. He’s one of the best Power Hitters in this league and he’s totally locked in right now. I have trouble building line-ups on this slate without leaning on him in this spot, even against a lefty. He’s better against opposite hand-pitching, but he has no issues against lefties. He has a ridiculous 202 wRC+ on the season. He’s one of the highest priced guys on FanDuel, but I’m fine getting to him there as well. After Ramos, Hyun-Soo Kim (OF) and Chun-Woong Lee (OF) are my top priorities at the top of this order. Kim is expensive, but both of these guys have been tearing the cover off the ball. The price on Lee makes him a borderline Core play on DraftKings. Another guy that’s just way too cheap on DraftKings is Eun-sung Chae (OF). He’s looked great so far this season. He’s viable on FanDuel as well, as are Min-Sung Kim (OF) and Catcher Kang Nam Yo (C). This is a guy you’ll need to check on, but if Ji-Hwan Oh (SS) is starting here, he’s a nice value option on both sites. While it’s going to be tough for these to match Doosan or NC, they’re significantly cheaper and likely to come in at lower ownership.
Also Consider: Lotte Giants, KT Wiz
DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Chang-Mo Koo (NCD) $9,600
SP2 – Chris Flexen (DOO) $8,700
1B – Roberto Ramos (LGT) $3,600
SS- Jae-Ho Kim (DOO) $2,500
OF – Eun-sung Chae (LGT) $2,700
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $3,800
FanDuel Cash Core
SP – NC Starting P (NCD) $26
IF – Eui-ji Yang (NCD) $13
IF- Jae-Won Oh (DOO) $7
OF – Byung-Hun Min (LOT) $11
OF – Sung-Bum Na (NCD) $14
Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B/2B- Joo-hwan Choi (DOO) $2,300
1B – Roberto Ramos (LGT) $3,600
SS – Jae-Ho Kim (DOO) $2,500
C – Jin-sung Kang (NCD) $2,700
OF – Eun-sung Chae (LGT) $2,700
Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Jae-Ho Kim (DOO) $9
IF – Jae-won Oh (DOO) $7
IF – Kang-nam Yoo (LGT) $8
OF – Aaron Altherr (NCD) $10
OF – Jin-Sung Kang (NCD) $10
BONUS BEST BETS: (24-19)
NC Dinos RL -1.5 (-100)
Doosan RL -1.5 (-110)
LG Twins RL -1.5 (-110)
Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.