Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST.
It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!
Drew Rucinski/NC Starting P ($9,300/$28): Rucinski really started to look like himself his last start, Striking Out 9 Hanwha Eagles over 8 scoreless Innings Pitched. He’s got a solid 3.63 FIP so far on the season, which should continue to shrink as his .315 BABIP reflects a bit of bad luck so far. Oddsmakers are giving his opponent tonight, the Samsung Lions, a meager 3.07 Implied Run total here. He does an excellent job limiting damage, and his Ks are climbing this season. He’s one of my favorite options on this slate, I plan to have plenty on both sites here.
Eric Jokisch/Kiwoom Starting P ($9,000/$24): Jokisch is in a tough spot against the KT Wiz tonight, but oddsmakers are only giving them a 3.5 Implied team total. It’s understandable when we look into his numbers so far this season, as he’s carrying an excellent 2.54 FIP. Additionally, his Ks are up this season as he’s averaging a solid 7.05 K/9 which makes him more appealing for DFS purposes than he’s ever been before. Given the price on him here compared to Rucinski, he’s tough to prioritize on this slate. Still, I’m happy to get to him on either site tonight at (what figures to be) much lower ownership. He’s not a top priority for me here, but he’s a quality addition to any Pitcher Pool. I plan to have significant exposure.
Tae-Hoon Kim/SK Starting P ($7,300/$25): Kim often goes over-looked as he’s on one of the worst teams in the league, but he really shouldn’t be – especially on this slate. The SK righty has bounced between SP and Relief duty for much of his career, but he’s mostly been finding success as a starter this season. Through 3 starts, he’s maintaining a decent 4.32 FIP. On May 16th he was outstanding against the Dinos, Striking Out 6 of them over 7 scoreless IP. He can be volatile at times, so be sure to consider the risk involved with rostering him in this spot. Still, he had a 9.82 K/9 and a 3.22 FIP last season which suggests his ceiling is a lot higher than most would give him credit for. Hanwha isn’t exactly an intimidating match-up, I’m happy to get to him on both sites tonight.
Min-Woo Kim/Hanwha Starting P($7,100/$26): Kim has been one of the lone bright spots for the Eagles this season. He has recorded 6+ Ks in each of his last three starts, allowing 2+ ER only once – which happened against the league’s best offense, the NC Dinos. Kim gets a much easier match-up here against the SK Wyverns and I expect him to continue to pitch well, limiting damage and recording enough Ks to remain fantasy relevant. He’s due for some regression as his 2.25 ERA should probably be closer to his 4.50 FIP, but the match-up suggests he may be able to put it off for at least another start. I prefer him on DraftKings where he’s an excellent value, but he has enough upside to warrant consideration on either site this evening.
Also Consider: Aaron Brooks/KIA Starting P, Raul Alcantara/Doosan Starting P
Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.
NC Dinos (NCD): Samsung’s Dae-woo Kim is coming off a tough outing against Doosan, in which he allowed 2 HR across 4 IP. Tonight, he’ll face an even tougher test against these NC Dinos, and I expect he gets obliterated here. Kim hasn’t looked great so far this season, and that’s with luck on his side. His 4.09 ERA sits more than 2 full points lower than his 6.86 FIP. Additionally, his .229 BABIP is absolutely unsustainable when you consider he’s allowed a BABIP north of .320 in 6 of his 7 seasons in the KBO. Another reason to like NC here is the fact that after Kim, the Samsung bullpen entirely beatable. No matter who is on the hill, I expect the Dinos to pour it on. You’re going to have to wake up and check, but Eui-ji Yang (C) is my favorite bat in this stack if he makes the lineup here. He has been nursing multiple injuries, so be sure to confirm he’s starting before lock, but he fills a void at a weak Catcher position on DraftKings, and he’s truly one of the best bats in the KBO when he’s in. He knocked out 2 HRs last night, as did After Yang Sung Bum Na (OF) my 2nd favorite bat on this team. Na is one of the premier bats in this league, and Park has looked excellent this season as a starter as his price remains reasonable everywhere. After Yang and Na, Suk-min Park (3B) and Aaron Altherr (OF) are next line for me here. Park has been great all season, and Altherr seems to be turning a corner after slumping for most of the month. I like Altherr much better on FanDuel as his DraftKings price still feels a bit too high, but he’s solid on both sites – and even better if he moves back up in the batting order. After what I’ll call my “Big 4” here, I like Jin-Sung Kang (OF) as lower-owned outfield play if he’s starting. Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting. Yang has been a killer when he’s in, but he’s sitting more often than not lately. Regardless, this is one of my favorite teams to stack on this slate. I’ll have plenty on both sites. They’ve been printing money for us all week.
Kiwoom Heroes (KIW): Min Kim (and his 6.20 FIP) is one of the worst pitchers on the slate. He’s never had a K% over 14, which suggests he’s going to be pitching to contact here tonight. Oddsmakers are giving Kiwoom a healthy 6.30 Implied Run Total, and I’m more than happy to get bunch of exposure to them on both sites in this spot. Byung-Ho Park (1B) is once again one of my favorite bats on the slate. He hit another HR last night, as he’s fully turned a corner after coming out somewhat cold to start the season. He’s my favorite piece of any Kiwoom stack, but after that I’m excited to get some exposure to Jung-Hoo Lee (OF) and Dong-won Park (C). Lee is expensive, but both of these have an OPS over 1.000 on the season, and both have multi-HR upside – which is extremely rare in this league. Ha-Seong Kim (SS) is another quality option here, but the price is a bit heavy on both sites. Keon-Chang Seo (OF) and Taek-Keun Lee (OF) are both serviceable OF options if you’re looking for better value. Neither have the upside of Kim, but point-per-dollar they’re excellent. If you’re digging for additional value, I’m fine withTaylor Motter (SS/OF),Hye-Sung Kim (2B/SS) or Joon-Tae Park (OF). Just be sure they’re in the line-up prior to lock. These guys have let us down a few times already this season, but the spot is simply too good here to pass on.
Doosan Bears (DOO): They let us down again last night… but alas, I’m back on Doosan tonight. Kyung-eun Noh has looked awful to start the season, allowing 10 ER across only 15 IP. Noh is a guy that has been in this league for more than a decade, so we should know what we’re getting when he’s on the hill. He hasn’t posted a FIP below 4.99 since 2013 and he generally allows a lot of power. Doosan has a 6.8 Implied Run total in this spot. So although it does feel like we’re bashing our heads into a wall going after them again here – it’s the right play on this slate. Jose Fernandez (1B) is the top bat to own on this team. His price is climbing, but he continuously produces as one of the best hitters in this league. He’s a top priority for me everywhere tonight. After Fernandez, Jae-Hwan Kim (OF) appears to be fully healthy after an injury scare last week. Keep an eye on the line-up, but as long as he’s in he’s a strong play everywhere and the clear-cut #2 option on this team. Jae-Il Oh (1B) has missed his last seven games now, if he’s back tonight I’d prioritize him here as well (although I’m not too confident in that shaking out). Joo-Hwan Choi (1B/2B) is still too cheap on DraftKings with a potent bat in his own right. Kun-woo Park (OF) and Soo-Bin Jung (OF) are solid plays here as well and both worth prioritizing. If Jae-Won Oh (2B) or Jae-Ho Kim (SS) make the line-up (they both should) they’re excellent value options near minimum price. There’s really no wrong way to go when stacking this team. If a guy is in the Starting line-up for DOO, he’s in consideration for me everywhere. If you go this route it’s probably going to be worth waking up early and checking the line-ups. Catcher Se-Hyuk Park (C) is also viable everywhere. This slump has to end at some point… why not tonight?!
Also Consider: KIA Tigers
DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Drew Rucinski (NCD) $9,300
SP2 – Tae-Hoon Kim (SKW) $7,300
C – Eui-ji Yang (NCD) $4,800
1B/2B- Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $2,500
OF – Taek-keun Lee (KIW) $2,100
OF – Sung-Bum Na (NCD) $4,200
FanDuel Cash Core
SP – NC Starting P (NC) $28
IF – Eui-ji Yang (NCD) $13
IF – Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $12
OF – Aaron Altherr (NCD) $10
OF – Ji-Wan Na (KIA) $7
Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B/2B- Joo-hwan Choi (DOO) $2,500
1B – Roberto Ramos (LGT) $3,700
2B/SS- Jin-hyuk No (NCD) $2,800
OF – Taek-keun Lee (KIW) $2,100
3B – Suk-Min Park (NCD) $3,800
Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Suk-Min Park (NCD) $10
IF – Taylor Motter (KIW) $7
IF – Dong-won Park (KIW) $9
OF – Taek-keun Lee (KIW) $8
OF – Ji-Wan Na (KIA) $7
BONUS BEST BETS: (31-21)
NC Dinos RL -1.5 (-155)
Kiwoom RL -1.5 (-105)
Doosan RL -1.5 (-110)
Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.