The Daily Diamond – 6.11 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 2:00 AM EST on FanDuel and DraftKings.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 2:00 AM EST on FanDuel and DraftKings, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

SLATE NOTE: The (SK @ LG) game from yesterday is being made up at 2:00a EST. This game, not the 5:30 SK/LG game is included on both the DraftKings and FanDuel slates. The slate locks at 2:00am but both sites have late swap for the remaining games, which all start at 5:30am.  

Top Pitchers
Won-Tae Choi/Kiwoom Starting P ($9,300/$26): Choi has quietly been very good this season. He carries a solid 3.48 FIP into this start and his 17.3% K-Rate is the best number he’s posted in this category since 2018. Samsung has been decent lately, but they’re still in the bottom half of the league in terms of hitting. Choi faced this same Lions squad on 5/13 – tossing 7.1 solid Innings of 2 ER ball with a season high 6 Ks. He’s priced reasonably on both sites here this evening. I’m comfortable declaring him my favorite SP option on this slate.

Min-Ho Lee/LG Starting P ($7,100/$23): The 19-year-old Lee is finally stretched out enough to start regularly. He’s coming off an impressive 7 IP 7 K performance in which he allowed 2 ER against Samsung. His K metrics don’t exactly jump off the page, but he’s simply too cheap here (especially on DraftKings) in a cake match-up against the SK Wyverns. There is some risk in rostering him as he is only 19 and we don’t have a very large sample size on him yet, statistically. Still, I’m happy to take some shots on this slate as a means to pay up for bats.

Jun-Won Seo/Lotte Starting P ($6,500/$22): Seo really hasn’t been all that great this season, but Hanwha just sent half their roster down to the minors and called up a bunch of guys without all that much ability. Even though Seo is mostly mediocre, the match-up is too good here to ignore. He’s very cheap on both sites and Oddsmakers are giving Hanwha a slate low 3.8 Implied Team Total in this spot. He’s not going to offer much in terms of a ceiling, but he is viable here if you’re looking for value.

Mike Wright/NC Starting P ($10,000/$28):
I don’t really consider Wright to be a viable Cash play tonight. He’s expensive, in a tough match-up, and his numbers suggest he’s due for some regression (4.82 FIP). However, giving his 8+ K/9 and the general inconsistency of Doosan’s bats – he’s a worthy GPP flier if you’re playing multiple lineups. He’s far from a priority for me on this slate, but his upside makes him viable in tournaments.

Also Consider: Min-Woo Lee/KIA SP

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

Kiwoom Heroes (KIW): They burnt us last night, but I’m more than comfortable going back to Kiwoom here against Samsung’s  Dae-Woo Kim. Kim’s numbers look decent on the surface, but he’s carrying a terrible 6.36 FIP this season and his .225 BABIP against suggests he’s due for some serious regression. Byung-Ho Park (1B) is once again one of my favorite bats on the slate.  It seems he has finally turned a corner after coming out ice cold to start the season. He’s my favorite piece of any Kiwoom stack given his price (especially on FanDuel), but after that I’m excited to get some exposure to Jung-Hoo Lee (OF) and Dong-won Park (C).  Lee is expensive, but both of these guys have an OPS over 1.000 on the season, and both have multi-HR upside – which is extremely rare in this league.  Ha-Seong Kim (SS) is another quality option here if you can afford the hefty price on him.  Keon-Chang Seo (OF) and Taek-Keun Lee (OF) are both serviceable OF options if you’re looking for value to make things fit. Neither has the upside of the expensive Kim, but point-per-dollar they’re quality options. If you’re digging for additional value, I’m fine with Hye-Sung Kim (2B/SS) or Joon-Tae Park (OF). Just be sure they’re in the line-up prior to lock. These guys have let us down a few times already this season, but the spot here feels too good to pass on here. I’ll have a lot on both sites.

Lotte Giants (LOT):  Min-Jae Jang will be on the hill for Hanwha tonight. He has allowed 6 ER in each of his last two starts, and all signs point to that trend continuing here in this spot. Additionally, Hanwha’s bullpen comes into this one with a terrible 6.62 ERA. My favorite bat from this stack tonight is Dae-Hoe Lee (1B). Four of Lee’s 5 HRs on the season have come across his last 8 games. Given his upside in this spot, he’s far too cheap on both sites. After Lee, I’m likely to be heavy on a streaking Ah-Seop Son (OF) who seems to reach base almost every AB. He has that rare power/speed combo we love for DFS and fantasy purposes. It’s also obviously a good sign that he had a HR last night. Power-hitting Jun-Woo Jeon (OF) has yet to really get going in 2020, but I expect he turns a corner soon. I’m fine with him here as well. Dixon Machado (2B/SS) is a fine option, but if he’s batting 8th or 9th again here I’d have trouble paying his DK price. Regardless, his upside is as good as anyone’s on this slate. Chi-Hong An (2B) and Dong-Hee Han (2B/3B) are affordable on both sites and should serve as secondary options once you load up on Jeon, Son, Lee, and Machado (if he’s in the middle/top of the order). If An is batting 3rd again tonight, he’s one of the better value plays on the entire slate.

KIA Tigers (KIA): Min-Soo Kim brings a terrible 7.03 FIP into this one, and I have no doubt the Heroes tag him in this spot. Kim isn’t likely to pitch more than 3 Innings, but once he’s out – the KT Wiz have a KBO worst 7.53 bullpen ERA. Regardless of who is in for KT here, these Heroes should eat. My favorite bats to target here are the outfielders, Preston Tucker (OF) and Ji-Wan Na (OF). I like Tucker as he’s one of the best hitters in the KBO, and Na as he’s the most egregiously priced. They’re going to take up your OF positions, but I’m comfortable prioritizing both of them as part of any KIA stack. Hyung-woo Choi (1B/OF) is another quality anchor for any KIA stack and another favorite option (albeit an expensive one). He’s one of the premier power bats in this league and he’s actually priced extremely reasonably on FanDuel. He’s more expensive on DraftKings, but I’m fine rostering him on either site tonight has he brings serious upside. Min-Sang Yoo (1B) and Seung-Taek Han (C) are both cheap considering their respective upside(s). Chan-Ho Park (3B/SS) has been better lately after coming out ice cold this season, but he’s a strong addition to this stack especially if he’s hitting towards the top of the order. If Ho-Ryeong Kim (OF) makes the line-up, I’d me fine turning to him as a value play here as well.

NC Dinos (NCD): Young-Ha Lee has been decent this season, but he’s running into a Buzzsaw here against these NC Dinos. Lee allowed 4 ER across just 4 IP when these teams met on 5/19, and I’m expecting more of the same tonight. Another reason to like the Dinos here is that after Lee, this Doosan bullpen is terrible. As is often the case Eui-Ji Yang (C) and Sung Bum Na (OF) are the top options to own on this team.  Na already has 10 HR on the season, and Eu-ji Yang has a ridiculous 91+ % Contact rate this season. Both of these guys are expensive, but they’re worth prioritizing if you can afford them. After Yang and Na, Suk-min Park (3B) and Jin-Sung Kang (OF/1B) are my other main targets. They both come in reasonably priced on both sites with excellent upside in their own right. Fifth (and perhaps even higher if you’re chasing upside) Aaron Altherr (OF) is a quality play. I don’t like how low he’s been hitting in this batting order, but he’s starting to see the ball well after a several week slump. Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting.

Also Consider: LG Twins

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Won-Tae Choi (KIW) $9,300
SP2 – Min-Ho Lee (LGT) $7,100
1B – Dae-Ho Lee (LOT) $3,800
SS–  Ha-Seong Kim (KIW) $6,100
1B/OF – Jin-sung Kang (NCD) $4,000
OF – Ah-Seop Song (LOT) $3,400

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – Kiwoom Starting P (KIW) $26
IF –  Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $12
IF – Dae-Ho Lee (LOT) $10
OF – Jun-woo Jeon (LOT) $13
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $9

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
2B/SS -Dixon Machado (LOT) $4,000
OF – Ah-Seop Song (LOT) $3,400
2B –  Chi-Hong An (LOT) $3,000
2B/SS – Jin-hyuk No (NCD) $3,600
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $2,900

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Jin-hyuk No (NCD) $9
IF – Chi-Hong An (LOT) $9
IF – Dixon Machado (LOT) $10
OF – Taek-keun Lee (KIW) $8
OF – Myung-gi Lee (NCD) $9

BONUS BEST BETS:     (43-32)
Lotte Giants RL -1.5 (-105)
KIA Tigers ML -165
Kiwoom Heroes RL -1.5 (-120)

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.