The Daily Diamond – 6.12 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST on FanDuel and DraftKings.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST on FanDuel and DraftKings, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

SLATE NOTE: The KTW @ SAM game looks like it has about a 30% chance of Rain. Keep an eye on the weather if you use any players from this one. I would have been high on KT Wiz bats, but chose to skip over them due to these weather concerns. 

Top Pitchers
Chang-Mo Koo/NC Starting P ($9,600/$30): I think it’s safe to say that Chang-Mo Koo is the best Pitcher in the KBO. He’s carrying an excellent 2.11 FIP and an impressive 9.66 K/9 into this one. He hasn’t allowed more than 1 ER in any of his 6 Starts this season. Additionally, oddsmakers are giving the Kiwoom Heroes a very meager 3.10 Implied Run Total here. While Kiwoom’s line-up does feature several strong power bats, they also Strike out as much as any team in this league. The price makes it tough on FanDuel, but Koo is easily my favorite SP option on this slate. I’ll be using him on both sites here this evening.

Drew Gagnon/Kia Starting P ($7,400/$27): Gagnon should benefit here against a terrible SK Wyverns line-up. He’s a -150 favorite in this spot, and his 10.69 K/9 is the best of any SP on this slate.  He has been inconsistent at times this season, but he’s still carrying a very impressive 2.49 FIP and should continue to see his numbers improve as he’s also holding a .322 BABIP against – a number much higher than his .287 across 18 Appearances in the MLB last season. He’s much cheaper than Koo here, but he has similar upside. I’m liking him a lot on both sites tonight and I plan to have significant exposure.

Dan Straily/Lotte Starting P ($7,600/$26):
It seems Oddsmakers aren’t really behind Straily here, but I’m more than happy to get to him on either site in this spot. He comes into this one with an impressive 3.22 FIP and an even more impressive 9.60 K/9 across his first 7 Starts. He has been an Ace so far for these Giants, allowing only 1 ER across his last 3 GS. The LG Twins have a decent line-up, but Straily has shown a serious ceiling in this league and he’s priced favorably on both sites here this evening. He comes with some risk, but he’s an outstanding point-per-dollar play everywhere.
 
Also Consider
: Tyler Wilson/LG Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

NC Dinos (NCD): They’re going to be popular, they’re going to be expensive – but it’s unwise to ignore the Dinos on this slate. Oddsmakers have them just shy of an 8 Run Implied Total (7.90) and tonight they’re facing off against a struggling Seung-ho Lee. Lee was decent in 2019, but he’s been awful in 2020 – carrying a brutal 6.31 FIP and allowing 1.6 HR/9. As is often the case Eui-Ji Yang (C) and Sung Bum Na (OF) are the top options to own on this team.  Na already has 10 HR on the season, and Eu-ji Yang has a ridiculous 91+ % Contact rate this season. Both of these guys are expensive, but they’re worth prioritizing if you can afford them. After Yang and Na, Suk-min Park (3B) and Jin-Sung Kang (OF/1B) are my other main targets. They both come in reasonably priced on both sites with excellent upside in their own right. Fifth (and perhaps even higher if you’re chasing upside) Aaron Altherr (OF) is a quality play. I don’t like how low he’s been hitting in this batting order, but he’s starting to see the ball well after a several week slump. Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting. They should have no issues running up the score here.

Doosan Bears (DOO):  They’ve burnt us before, but I’m ready to get back on Doosan tonight. Chad Bell has been awful so far this season. He’s carrying a brutal 8.59 FIP into this start and he’s just as bad against lefties as he is against righties. This is important as Doosan features a lefty heavy line-up that all hit LHP fairly well. No surprise here, Jose Fernandez (1B) is the top bat to own on this team. His price is climbing, but he continuously produces as one of the best hitters in this league. He’s a top priority for me everywhere tonight. After Fernandez, Jae-Hwan Kim (OF) and Jae-Il Oh (1B) are both worth prioritizing. After Fernandez these are the highest upside bats on this team. Oh is far too cheap on DraftKings, but I’m happy to prioritize either or both of these guys wherever I can afford them . Joo-Hwan Choi (1B/2B) is still too cheap on DraftKings with a potent bat in his own right. I’m fine getting to him on FanDuel as well. Kun-woo Park (OF) and Soo-Bin Jung (OF) are solid plays here as well and both worth prioritizing. I prefer whoever is hitting higher up in the batting order. If Jae-Won Oh (2B) or Jae-Ho Kim (SS) make the line-up they’ll excellent value options near minimum price. If either doesn’t that likely means we see Kyoung-Min Hur (3B) has been hot lately, but he’s not an everyday player. If he’s in I’m happy getting to him everywhere as well. There’s really no wrong way to go when stacking this team. If a guy is in the Starting line-up for DOO, he’s in consideration for me everywhere. If you go this route it’s probably going to be worth waking up early and checking the line-ups. Catcher Se-Hyuk Park (C) is also viable everywhere if you need to fill that position on DK.

KIA Tigers (KIA): After the Dinos and Bears, there aren’t a ton of great stacking spots on this slate. I also really like KTW, but I’m settling on KIA for the sake of this article as that game seems to have some weather concerns. Jong-Hoon Park has walked 6 batters over 12 IP across his last two starts. He’s been doing a decent job limiting damage this season, but I expect his recent success to end here tonight against these Kia Tigers. My favorite bats to target here are the outfielders, Preston Tucker (OF) and Ji-Wan Na (OF). I like Tucker as he’s one of the best hitters in the KBO, and Na as he’s the most egregiously priced. They’re going to take up your OF positions, but I’m comfortable prioritizing both of them as part of any KIA stack. Hyung-woo Choi (1B/OF) is another quality anchor for any KIA stack and another favorite option (albeit an expensive one). He’s one of the premier power bats in this league and he’s actually priced extremely reasonably on FanDuel. He’s more expensive on DraftKings, but I’m fine rostering him on either site tonight has he brings serious upside. Min-Sang Yoo (1B) and Seung-Taek Han (C) are both cheap considering their respective upside(s). Chan-Ho Park (3B/SS) has been better lately after coming out ice cold this season, but he’s a strong addition to this stack especially if he’s hitting towards the top of the order. If Ho-Ryeong Kim (OF) makes the line-up, I’d me fine turning to him as a value play here as well.

Also Consider: KT Wiz, Hanwha Eagles

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Chang-Mo Koo (NCD) $9,600
SP2 – Drew Gagnon (KIA) $7,400
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $2,500
SS–  Jae Ho Kim (DOO) $2,600
1B/OF – Jin-sung Kang (NCD) $4,200
OF – Aaron Altherr (NCD) $4,800

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – NC Starting P (NCD) $30
IF –  Eui-Ji Yang (NCD) $14
IF – Jae-Ho Kim (DOO) $9
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $10
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $9

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B – Jae-Il Oh (DOO) $4,000
OF – Min-Hyeok Kim (KTW $4,400
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $2,500
SS–  Jae Ho Kim (DOO) $2,600
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,000

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
OF – Jared Hoying (HAN) $9
IF – Jae-Ho Kim (DOO) $9
OF – Eun-Won Jung (HAN) $8
OF – Min-Hyeok Kim (KTW) $8
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $9

BONUS BEST BETS:     (44-34)
NC Dinos RL -1.5 (-155)
KIA Tigers ML -160
Doosan Bears RL -1.5 (-165)

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.