The Daily Diamond – 6.14 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 4:00 AM EST on DraftKings and now 3am EST on FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 3:00 AM EST on FanDuel and 4:00 am EST on DraftKings, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

SLATE NOTE: The DOO @ HAN game is NOT on the DraftKings slate. FanDuel has moved their lock time up to 3am in order to include this game. Again, players from DOO and HAN are ONLY eligible on FanDuel.

Top Pitchers
Hyun-Jong Yang/KIA Starting P ($9,800/$25): Yang is my favorite option on this slate. He has allowed 1 ER of fewer in back to back starts and tonight he faces off against a terrible Wyverns lineup. Oddsmakers are only giving SK a 3.8 Implied total in this spot. He’s more than reasonably priced on both sites tonight with the highest floor on the board. I’ll have plenty of exposure on both sites here this evening.

Casey Kelly/LG Starting P ($8,900/$27): Kelly is a bit riskier than Yang tonight as he’s in the tougher spot, but I’m more than happy to land on him on either site on this slate. We’re lacking a lot of quality options at the position on this slate, but I’m content riding Kellys 3.79 FIP and 7.6 K/9 against an inconsistent Lotte Giants team. Lotte has a few intimidating bats in the middle of their order, but Kelly has allowed one ER or fewer in 3 of his last 4. I like that he seems to be finding form, he’s a quality play on both sites in this spot.

Adrian Sampson/Lotte Starting P ($8,500/$22): Adrian Sampson hasn’t been great since arriving in the KBO. Still, he has flashed K-upside at the MLB level so he’s tough not to at least consider here on a slate with limited pitching options. Not only has he allowed a terribly unlucky .400 BABIP so far this season, but his FIP is more than 2 points lower than his ERA. This tells me he’s been the victim of some bad luck and things are likely going to turn around for him soon. Why not tonight? He’s a fine addition to any player pool if you’re playing multiple line-ups.
 
Also Consider
: Tae-In Won/Samsung Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

NC Dinos (NCD): Young-Gun Jo is overdue for some major regression as his 5.83 FIP since nearly 2 points higher than his ERA. This will be his toughest test so far this season, and oddsmakers are giving these Dinos a healthy 6.8 Implied Run total in this spot. All signs point to another big night for the Dinos. As is often the case Eui-Ji Yang (C) and Sung Bum Na (OF) are the top options to own on this team.  Na already has 10 HR on the season, and Eu-ji Yang has a ridiculous 92 % Contact rate this season. Both of these guys are expensive, but they’re worth prioritizing if you can afford them. After Yang and Na, Suk-min Park (3B) and Jin-Sung Kang (OF/1B) are my other main targets. They both come in reasonably priced on both sites with excellent upside in their own right. Fifth (and perhaps even higher if you’re chasing upside) Aaron Altherr (OF) is a quality play. I don’t like how low he’s been hitting in this batting order, but he’s starting to see the ball well after a several week slump. Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting. They should have no issues running up the score here.

**FANDUEL ONLY** Doosan Bears (DOO):  They’ve burnt us before, but I’m ready to get back on Doosan tonight. Warwick Saupold has looked awful lately – allowing 3+ ER in each of his last 4 starts, including a brutal 7 ER allowed against Lotte his last time through the rotation.  No surprise here, Jose Fernandez (1B) is the top bat to own on this team. His price is climbing, but he continuously produces as one of the best hitters in this league. He’s a top priority for me everywhere tonight. After Fernandez, Jae-Hwan Kim (OF) and Jae-Il Oh (1B) are both finally healthy. After Fernandez these are the highest upside bats on this team. Oh is far too cheap on DraftKings, but I’m happy to prioritize either or both of these guys wherever I can afford them. Joo-Hwan Choi (1B/2B) is still too cheap on DraftKings with a potent bat in his own right. I’m fine getting to him on FanDuel as well. Kun-woo Park (OF) and Soo-Bin Jung (OF) are solid plays here as well and both worth prioritizing. I prefer whoever is hitting higher up in the batting order. If Jae-Won Oh (2B) or Jae-Ho Kim (SS) make the line-up they’ll excellent value options near minimum price. There’s really no wrong way to go when stacking this team. If a guy is in the Starting line-up for DOO, he’s in consideration for me everywhere. If you go this route it’s probably going to be worth waking up early and checking the line-ups. Catcher Se-Hyuk Park (C) is also viable everywhere if you need to fill that position on DK.

KIA Tigers (KIA):
Geon-Wook Lee comes into this start with a very shaky 5.04 FIP. He’s looked decent at times this season, but I don’t see him having much success here against this beefy Tigers line-up. My favorite bats to target here are the outfielders, Preston Tucker (OF) and Ji-Wan Na (OF). I like Tucker as he’s one of the best hitters in the KBO, and Na as he’s the most egregiously priced. They’re going to take up your OF positions, but I’m comfortable prioritizing both of them as part of any KIA stack. Hyung-woo Choi (1B/OF) is another quality anchor for any KIA stack and another favorite option (albeit an expensive one). He’s one of the premier power bats in this league and he’s actually priced extremely reasonably on FanDuel. He’s more expensive on DraftKings, but I’m fine rostering him on either site tonight has he brings serious upside. Min-Sang Yoo (1B) and Seung-Taek Han (C) are both cheap considering their respective upside(s). Chan-Ho Park (3B/SS) has been better lately after coming out ice cold this season, but he’s a strong addition to this stack especially if he’s hitting towards the top of the order. As long as Ho-Ryeong Kim (OF) makes the line-up, I’d me fine turning to him as a value play here as well.

Samsung Lions (SAM): It’s not often I write up Samsung as a viable hitting stack, but tonight is one of those nights. Tonight, they’ll be facing off against KT’s Hyeong-Hun So. So has not been good in 2020, carrying a 5.18 FIP into this start.The Lions haven’t been great this season, but guys like Sang-Su Kim (2B/3B), Ja-Wook Ko (1B/OF), and Won-Seok Lee (3B) have all been hitting the ball well, and they all have the ability to rack up DFS points against Lee here. Tyler Saladino (3B/SS) is finally back and healthy for these guys. He’s too cheap on both sites and one of my favorite point-per-dollar bats on this entire slate. Of these first four guys mentioned, only Kim is expensive – and he’s only pricey on DraftKings. This is one of the easier teams to fit so I prefer to rely on them over others.  Other guys I’d be fine stacking here include Sung-Gyu Lee (2B/3B) and Outfielder Dong-Yeop Kim (OF). This isn’t an elite hitting team by any stretch, but in a match-up like this I’ll roll the dice on them. I’m also fine rolling out Hak-Ju Lee (SS) if cracks the line-up.

Also Consider: Kiwoom Heroes, LG Twins

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Hyun-Jong Yang (KIA) $9,800
SP2 – Casey Kelly (LGT) $8,900
1B/OF – Jin-sung Kang (NCD) $4,500
3B/OF – Tyler Saladino (SAM) $4,600
OF – Ji-Wan Na (KIA) $3,800
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,300

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – KIA Starting P (KIA) $25
IF –  Eui-Ji Yang (NCD) $14
IF – Jae-Ho Kim (DOO) $9
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $11
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $9

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $2,400
OF – Ji-Wan Na (KIA) $3,800
SS – Hak-Ju Lee (SAM) $3,800
OF–  Ho-ryeong Kim (KIA) $3,700
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,200

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
OF – Ji-Wan Na (KIA) $9
IF – Min-sang Yoo (KIA) $7
IF – Tyler Sladino (SAM) $8
IF – Jin-Hyuk No (NCD) $9
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $9

BONUS BEST BETS:     (46-35)
LG Twins ML -145
KIA Tigers RL -1.5(-105)
Doosan RL -1.5 (-135)

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.