The Daily Diamond – 6.16 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST on DraftKings and  FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST on both sites, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

Top Pitchers
Eric Jokisch/Kiwoom Starting P ($9,700/$25): Jokisch has been outstanding this season, carrying a 2.86 FIP into this start against Lotte. The main reason to back him tonight is the fact he’s been a far better pitcher at home in 2020, allowing 0 ER and Striking out 16 batters across his two outstanding performances in the Kiwoom dome. Lotte’s line-up is decent, but they aren’t worth avoiding when you have a quality arm like Jokisch on the other side. Lotte has been good lately, but Jokisch is my favorite SP on this slate.

Drew Rucinski/NC Starting P ($9,800/$27):
It’s not the easiest match-up for Rucinski here. Still, he’s been very solid this season so I’m comfortable running him out in this spot against KIA. He comes into this start with a solid 3.71 FIP and an impressive 1.13 WHIP. His upside is boosted this season has he’s carrying a 22.8% K-Rate and have the Tigers implied total at a meager 3.7 Runs. There is a bit of risk in rostering anyone against a hot KIA line-up, but I’m more than comfortable landing on Rucinski on either site in any format.

Raul Alcantara/Doosan Starting P ($7,900/$26): Alcantara bounced back nicely in his last start against the NC Dinos. He’ll face a much softer test tonight when he squares off against Samsung, and he’s priced favorably on both sites here. He makes sense as an SP2 on DraftKings paired with your choice of Rucinski or Jokisch. Oddsmakers are only giving Samsung a 3.6 Implied Team total against him in this spot. His struggles this season have mostly come against the league’s best hitting teams – Samsung isn’t one of them.

Chan-Heon Jung/LG Starting P ($6,500/$28): He’s over-priced on FanDuel, but Jung has been very solid of late. I like him on DraftKings, but he warrants at least slight consideration on both sites in this spot. He’s carrying a decent 3.93 FIP into this start but more impressively he’s sporting a slate best 9.78 K/9. He should benefit greatly from a match-up against a soft Hanwha line-up in this spot. He’s a great value option on DraftKings, but his K upside makes him an interesting GPP pivot everywhere.
 
Also Consider
: Aaron Brooks/KIA Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

Kiwoom Heroes (KIW): Kiwoom should absolutely feast here in this spot against Lotte’s Kyng-eun Noh. Noh has been mediocre at best this season, carrying a shaky 4.71 FIP into this start. His numbers aren’t very likely to improve anytime soon as they’re greatly inflated by two strong starts against aterrible Hanwha Eagles line-up.  Byung-Ho Park (1B) is once again one of my favorite bats on the slate.  It seems he has finally turned a corner after coming out ice cold to start the season. He’s my favorite piece of any Kiwoom stack given his price (especially on FanDuel), but after that I’m excited to get some exposure to Jung-Hoo Lee (OF) and Dong-won Park (C).  Lee is expensive, but both of these guys have an OPS over 1.000 on the season, and both have multi-HR upside – which is extremely rare in this league.  Ha-Seong Kim (SS) is another quality option here if you can afford the hefty price on him.  Keon-Chang Seo (OF) and Taek-Keun Lee (OF) are both serviceable OF options if you’re looking for value to make things fit. Neither has the upside of the expensive Kim, but point-per-dollar they’re quality options. If you’re digging for additional value, I’m fine with Hye-Sung Kim (2B/SS) or Joon-Tae Park (OF). Just be sure they’re in the line-up prior to lock. Kim has been outstanding lately and is actually a core play for me on both sites here given his point-per-dollar upside. These guys have let us down a few times already this season, but the spot here feels too good to pass on here. I’ll have a lot on both sites.

Doosan Bears (DOO):  They’ve burnt us before, but I’m ready to get back on Doosan tonight. Jung-Hyun Baek is coming off an outstanding start against Kiwoom, but it seems like a total outlier. He comes into this one with a terrible 6.52 FIP and a brutal 2.70 HR/9. As is usually the case, Jose Fernandez (1B) is the top bat to own on this team. His price is climbing, but he continuously produces as one of the best hitters in this league. He’s a top priority for me everywhere tonight. After Fernandez, Jae-Hwan Kim (OF) and Jae-Il Oh (1B) are both starting to look 100%. After Fernandez these are the highest upside bats on this team. Oh is far too cheap on DraftKings, but I’m happy to prioritize either or both of these guys wherever I can afford them. Joo-Hwan Choi (1B/2B) is still too cheap on DraftKings with a potent bat in his own right. I’m fine getting to him on FanDuel as well. Kun-woo Park (OF) and Soo-Bin Jung (OF) are solid plays here as well and both worth prioritizing. I prefer whoever is hitting higher up in the batting order. If Jae-Won Oh (2B) or Jae-Ho Kim (SS) make the line-up they’ll excellent value options near minimum price. There’s really no wrong way to go when stacking this team. If a guy is in the Starting line-up for DOO, he’s in consideration for me everywhere. If you go this route it’s probably going to be worth waking up early and checking the line-ups. Catcher Se-Hyuk Park (C) is also viable everywhere if you need to fill that position on DK.

LG Twins (LGT): I’ll start off by stating the obvious… if Roberto Ramos (1B) is in, he has to be your anchor for any LG Twins stack. He leads the KBO in homers and remains overlooked on more slates than he should be. He missed the bulk of last week with ankle/back pain. I don’t expect him to return tonight, but if he does and you want to stack LGT – get him into your line-ups. Tonight the Twins face a mediocre Min-Jae Jang for a few innings, then the rest of this terrible Hanwha bullpen. Oddsmakers have set their implied team total over 6 Runs here. Hyun-Soo Kim (OF) and Chun-Woong Lee (OF) are my top priorities at the top of this order. Kim is expensive, but both of these guys have been tearing the cover off the ball. The price on Lee makes him a borderline Core play on DraftKings. Another guy that’s just way too cheap on DraftKings is Eun-sung Chae (OF). He’s looked great so far this season and he’s still reasonably priced. I’d round out LGT stacks with Keun-Woo Jeong (2B), and Catcher Kang Nam Yo (C) as they’re both priced reasonably. One more guy I like you’ll need to check on, Ji-Hwan Oh (SS) is a nice value option on both sites but only if he cracks the line-up. I feel really good about these Twins tonight as a potentially lower owned option with as much upside as the more popular ones.

Also Consider: SK Wyverns, NC Dinos

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Eric Jokisch (KIW) $9,700
SP2 – Raul Alcantara (DOO) $7,900
1B – Byng-Ho Park (KIW) $4,900
2B/SS – Hye-Sung Kim (KIW) $2,600
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $3,600
OF – Chung-Woo Lee (LGT) $3,600

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – Kiwoom Starting P (KIW) $25
IF –  Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $13
IF – Hye-Sung Kim (KIW) $9
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $12
OF – Chung-Woo Lee (LGT) $9

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B – Jae-Il Oh (DOO) $3,800
SS – Jae-Ho Kim (DOO) $2,600
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $2,500
2B/SS – Hye-Sung Kim (KIW) $2,600
OF – Keon-Chang Seo (KIW) $3,900

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Min-Sung Kim (LG) $8
OF – Min-Hyeok Kim (KTW) $8
IF – Tyler Sladino (SAM) $8
IF – Hye-Sung Kim (KIW) $9
OF – Eun-Son Chae (LGT) $11

BONUS BEST BETS:     (47-37)
LG Twins RL -1.5 (-135)
Kiwoom Heroes RL -1.5 (-130)
Doosan Bears RL -1.5 (-105)

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.