The Daily Diamond – 6.17 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST on DraftKings and  FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST on both sites, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

Top Pitchers
Chris Flexen/Doosan Starting P ($8,600/$23): Oddsmakers are giving Samsung a slate low 3.2 Implied Team total in this spot. Doosan is a -235 favorite here and given his price, Flexen is easily one of my favorite options on this entire slate. Flexen comes into this start with a solid 3.78 FIP and a serviceable 7.30 K/9. He’s not the type of SP to totally blow a team away, but he’s generally efficient with his pitches and does an excellent job limiting damage. I expect he can ring up enough Ks here against this line-up to easily exceed value tonight. He’s a strong play everywhere.

Chan-Gyu Lim/LG Starting P ($8,000/$24): Lim is coming off his worst start of the season, but I’m fine going back to him here against Hanwha. Hanwha sent a bunch of their starters down to the minors earlier in the week, so their line-up has been a general hodge-podge of mediocrity lately. Lim carries a shaky 5.24 ERA in this start, but it’s reassuring his FIP sits almost a full point lower at 4.31. It’s also very appealing that Lim has an 8.91 K/9 on the season, the best number on the slate. It comes with some risk, but Lim’s upside is excellent at his price here. I like him everywhere.

Mike Wright/NC Starting P ($10,300/$29): He’s about as expensive as a KBO SP can get, but it’s tough not to like Mike Wright here. His K/9 is north of 8 on the season and oddsmakers are only giving KIA a meager 3.6 Implied Team total in this spot. Given his price, he’s not a total lock for me against a good KIA line-up. Still, he’s got a solid floor – which is a rarity in this league in 2020. He’s viable everywhere you can afford him.
 
Also Consider: Won Tae Choi/Kiwoom Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

LG Twins (LGT): Same deal as last night… if Roberto Ramos (1B) is in, he has to be your anchor for any LG Twins stack. He leads the KBO in homers and remains overlooked on more slates than he should be. He missed the bulk of last week with ankle/back pain. I don’t expect him to return tonight, but if he does and you want to stack LGT – get him into your line-ups. Tonight, the Twins face a mediocre pitcher in American-born SP, Chad Bell. Bell has been awful this season, carrying a comical 7.72 FIP and a 2.35 HR/9 into this start. After Ramos, Hyun-Soo Kim (OF) and Chun-Woong Lee (OF) are my top priorities at the top of this order. Kim is expensive, but both of these guys have been tearing the cover off the ball. The price on Lee makes him a borderline Core play on DraftKings. Another guy that’s just way too cheap, especially on DraftKings is Eun-sung Chae (OF). He’s looked great so far this season (he homered last night) and he’s still reasonably priced everywhere. I’d round out LGT stacks with Keun-Woo Jeong (2B), and Catcher Kang Nam Yoo (C) as they’re both priced favorably. Chang gi-Hong (OF) and Ji-Hwan Oh (SS) would both make nice value options on both sites but there’s no guarantee they crack the line-up. If they’re in, they’re valuable pieces as a means to open up some salary. I usually don’t get to much Ju-Hyeon Jung (3B), but I’ll go back to him here if he’s in the line-up after an outstanding 4 RBI performance last night in a similar spot.

Kiwoom Heroes (KIW): They burnt us bad last night, but I don’t see a way around getting back on Kiwoom here. They’re set to square off against Jun-Won Seo, whose 3.72 ERA is nearly two full points lower than his 5.71 FIP. Seo is absolutely due for some serious regression – I expect we can capitalize on that here. I’m hoping their off-night last night keeps ownership down on them as well.  Byung-Ho Park (1B) is once again one of my favorite bats on the slate.  It seems he has finally turned a corner after coming out ice cold to start the season. He’s my favorite piece of any Kiwoom stack given his price (especially on FanDuel), but after that I’m excited to get some exposure to Jung-Hoo Lee (OF) and Dong-won Park (C).  Lee is expensive, but both of these guys have an OPS over 1.000 on the season, and both have multi-HR upside – which is extremely rare in this league.  Ha-Seong Kim (SS) is another quality option here if you can afford the hefty price on him.  Keon-Chang Seo (OF) and Taek-Keun Lee (OF) are both serviceable OF options if you’re looking for value to make things fit. Neither has the upside of the expensive Kim, but point-per-dollar they’re quality options. If you’re digging for additional value, I’m fine with Hye-Sung Kim (2B/SS) or Joon-Tae Park (OF). Just be sure they’re in the line-up prior to lock. Kim has been outstanding lately and is actually a core play for me on both sites here given his point-per-dollar upside. These guys have let us down a few times already this season, but the spot here feels too good to pass on here. I’ll have a lot on both sites.

NC Dinos (NCD):
The Dinos have been the most consistent hitting team in the KBO this season, and tonight they have a monstrous 6.5 Run Implied team total against Min-Woo Lee of the Kia Tigers. Lee started off the season strong, but he’s allowed a total of 12 ER across his last two starts and seems to have fallen out of form. You’re going to have to wake up and check, but Eui-ji Yang (C) is my favorite bat in this stack as long as he’s in here. He has been nursing multiple injuries, so be sure to confirm he’s starting before lock, but he fills a void at a weak Catcher position on DraftKings, and he’s truly one of the best bats in the KBO when he’s in. After Yang (or if Yang is out), Sung Bum Na (OF) and Suk-min Park (3B) are my second and 3rd favorite options from this team. Na is one of the premier bats in this league, and Park has looked excellent this season as a starter as his price remains reasonable everywhere. Fourth (and perhaps even higher if you’re chasing upside) Aaron Altherr (OF) is a strong OF option tonight. I like him much better his DraftKings price still feels a bit too high, but after watching him start to lock-in his last few games, I’m happy to get to him on either site. After that, I like Jin-Sung Kang (OF) as lower-owned outfield play if he’s starting.  Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting.

Also Consider: Doosan Bears, KT WIz

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Chris Flexen (DOO) $8,600
SP2 – Chan-Gyu Lim (LGT) $7,600
1B – Jae-Il Oh (DOO) $4,000
1B/2B – Keon-Chang Seo (KIW) $3,900
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,000
OF – Eun-Sung Chae (LGT) $3,300

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – Doosan Starting P (DOO) $23
IF –  Dong-Won Park (KIW) $10
IF – Eu-Ji Yang (NCD) $14
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD)$9
OF – Eun-Sung Chae (LGT) $11

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
3B – Min-Sung Kim (LGT) $3,900
SS – Woo-Jun Sim (KTW) $3,600
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $3,700
OF – Eun-Sung Chae (LGT) $3,300
OF – Chun-Woong Lee (LGT) $3,500

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Min-Sung Kim (LG) $8
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $12
IF – Jin-Hyuk No (NCD) $9
IF – Dae-Ho Lee (LOT) $10
OF – Woo Jun-Sim (KTW) $8

BONUS BEST BETS:     (48-39)
NC Dinos RL -1.5 (-130)
LG Twins RL -1.5 (-140)
Doosan Bears RL -1.5 (-115)

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.