The Daily Diamond – 6.18 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST on DraftKings and  FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST on both sites, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

SLATE NOTE: The KIA/NCD game seems VERY likely to rainout. If you’re interested in rostering this game, check the weather prior to lock. I’ve mostly excluded this game in my write-up as I don’t expect it to run.

Top Pitchers
Tyler Wilson/LG Starting P ($8,200/$26): Wilson has been very inconsistent this season, but his 3.99 FIP suggests he’s been more good than bad. I’m liking him a lot here tonight as he’s set to square off against a spotty Hanwha Eagles squad. It’s a very small sample, but Wilson’s best start of the season came against an even healthier Hanwha squad on 5/26. He went 6 IP with 3 Ks in that one and I expect him to have an even easier time here tonight as Hanwha’s line-up now features a bunch of minor leaguers. His K upside isn’t all that great, but his floor feels very high here. Good Cash game play.

Dan Straily/Lotte Starting P ($7,600/$28): Straily has looked outstanding of late. He has gone 7+ IP in each of his last two starts, combining for 13 Ks and allowing only one earned run.  He draws a tough match-up here against a power-hitting Kiwoom line-up, but as we know – this is also a Kiwoom team that can Strike Out in bunches. There’s no denying the risk involved in rostering him here, but at this price – it’s one I’m more than willing to take. His upside is outstanding, and his recent form is about as good as we’ve ever seen him at any level.

**RAINOUT POTENTIAL, CHECK THE WEATHER** Chang-Mo Koo/NC Starting P ($9,400/$30): This game seems VERY likely to rainout. If things miraculously clear, Koo would be in my Core for both sites. The way I see it, Koo as the best pitcher in the KBO. He has an outstanding 2.39 FIP on the season and a slate high 9.75 K/9.  He hasn’t allowed more than a single ER in any start this season and he’s shown that he can rack up Ks no matter the match-up. KIA has a pretty tough line-up, but Koo has a higher floor AND ceiling than any other SP on this slate. He’s going to be chalky, but I’m happy to eat it. I’ll have a lot of Koo on both sites here this evening. He’s my favorite arm on this slate.

Odrisamer Despaigne/KT Starting P ($8,600/$24): Despaigne hasn’t looked great lately, but he’s still maintaining a very solid 3.41 FIP on the season. He also has a solid 7.47 K/9, and tonight he’ll see a nice boost as he’s set to square off against a mostly soft SK Wyverns line-up.  He’s cheap enough for me on this slate that I’m fine taking a risk and rostering him here. The match-up combined with his quality advanced metrics make him one of the more intriguing mid-range options at SP on this slate.
 
Also Consider: Jong-Hoon Park/SK Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

LG Twins (LGT): Tonight, the Twins face a struggling Shi-Hwan Jang. Jang has allowed 3+ ER in each of his last 5 starts. This is an easy match-up they should absolutely take advantage of here. Same deal as last night… if Roberto Ramos (1B) is in, he has to be your anchor for any LG Twins stack. He leads the KBO in homers and remains overlooked on more slates than he should be. He missed the bulk of last week (and now this week) with ankle/back pain. I don’t expect him to return tonight, but if he does and you want to stack LGT – get him into your line-ups. After Ramos, Hyun-Soo Kim (OF) and Chun-Woong Lee (OF) are my top priorities at the top of this order. Kim is expensive, but both of these guys have been tearing the cover off the ball. They each had 2 Hits last night. The price on Lee makes him a borderline Core play on DraftKings. Another guy that’s just way too cheap, especially on DraftKings is Eun-sung Chae (OF). He’s looked great so far this season and he’s still reasonably priced everywhere. I’d round out LGT stacks with Keun-Woo Jeong (2B), and Catcher Kang Nam Yoo (C) as they’re both priced favorably. Chang gi-Hong (OF) and Ji-Hwan Oh (SS) would both make nice value options on both sites but there’s no guarantee they crack the line-up. If they’re in, they’re valuable pieces as a means to open up some salary. I usually don’t get to much Ju-Hyeon Jung (3B), but he seems locked in right now so I’m fine with him here as well. 

Doosan Bears (DOO):  It pains me to keep recommending these guys as they keep letting us down, but once again I’m going to be on Doosan here tonight. They’ll be squaring off against Samsung’s Yoon-Dong Heo, an SP I consider to be due for major regression. Heo’s ERA is nearly 4 full points lower than his current FIP of 6.30. Additionally, he doesn’t strike out anyone – which suggests he’s not going to be missing any bats here. Against a strong line-up like Doosan – that should spell trouble for the 18-year-old Heo. No surprise here, Jose Fernandez (1B) is the top bat to own on this team. His price is climbing, but he continuously produces as one of the best hitters in this league. He’s a top priority for me everywhere tonight. After Fernandez, Jae-Hwan Kim (OF) and Jae-Il Oh (1B) are both finally healthy. After Fernandez these are the highest upside bats on this team. Oh was out last night with an injury – so be sure to check the line-up prior to lock if you’re targeting him here. Joo-Hwan Choi (1B/2B) is still WAY too cheap on DraftKings with a potent bat in his own right. I’m fine getting to him on FanDuel as well. Kun-woo Park (OF) and Soo-Bin Jung (OF) are solid plays here as well and both worth prioritizing at the top of the order. Park missed last nights start with an apparent injury. I expect he’s back tonight, but again, check prior to lock.  If Jae-Won Oh (2B) or Jae-Ho Kim (SS) make the line-up they’ll excellent value options near minimum price. There’s really no wrong way to go when stacking this team. If a guy is in the Starting line-up for DOO, he’s in consideration for me everywhere. If you go this route it’s probably going to be worth waking up early and checking the line-ups. Catcher Se-Hyuk Park (C) is also viable everywhere if you need to fill that position on DK.

Samsung Lions (SAM): It’s not often I write up Samsung as a viable hitting stack, but tonight is one of those nights. Tonight, they’ll be facing off against Doosan’s Hui-kwan Yu, a mediocre SP who has allowed 9 ER across his last three starts (15 IP). The main reason I like Samsung here though is how terrible the Doosan bullpen is. They have an ERA north of 6, and they seem to get tagged by EVERYONE they face on a nightly basis. Tyler Saladino (3B/SS) is my favorite option if I target these guys here. Saladino has looked great since returning from injury. He scored Runs in 3 straight games and 2 of his 6 HRs on the season came across his last 5 games. He’s affordable on both sites and a priority for me on this slate. After Saladino, Sang-Su Kim (2B/3B) and Ja-Wook Ko (1B/OF) are my favorite options here. Kim has 6 Hits across his last 3 starts and while he does lack power, he’s almost always on base and scoring Runs. Ko has plenty of pop and is quickly evolving into one of the better hitters on this team. I’m also fine with Won-Seok Lee (3B) here as he’s been hitting the ball well, with 8 Hits across his last 5 games. This is one of the easier teams to fit so I prefer to rely on the guys I’ve listed over any dirt cheap value.  Other guys I’d be fine stacking here include Sung-Gyu Lee (2B/3B) and Outfielder Dong-Yeop Kim (OF). This isn’t an elite hitting team by any stretch, but in a match-up like this I’ll roll the dice on them. I’m also fine rolling out Hak-Ju Lee (SS) if cracks the line-up.

Also Consider: KT WIZ, Lotte Giants

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Tyler Wilson (LGT) $8,200
SP2 – Dan Straily (LOT) $7,600
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $2,400
3B/OF – Tyler Saladino (SAM) $4,600
OF – Hyun-Soo Kim (LGT) $5,400
OF – Eun-Sung Chae (LGT) $3,3000

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – LG Starting P (LGT) $26
IF –  Jose Fernandez (DOO) $17
IF – Tyler Saladino (SAM) $9
OF – Chun-Woong Lee (LGT) $9
OF – Hyun-Soo Kim (LGT) $14

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B – Jae-Il Oh (DOO) $3,900
3B – Min-Sung Kim (LGT) $4,000
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $3,700
OF – Eun-Sung Chae (LGT) $3,300
OF – Chun-Woong Lee (LGT) $3,400

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Won-Seok Lee (SAM) $8
IF – Min-Sung Kim (LGT) $8
IF – Tyler Saladino (SAM) $9
OF – Eun-Sung Chae (LGT) $12
OF – Chun-Woong Lee (LGT) $9

BONUS BEST BETS:     (49-41)
Samsung v. Doosan OVER 9.5 Runs (-125)
Lotte Giants ML -135
LG Twins RL -2.5 (-120)

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.