The Daily Diamond – 6.19 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST on DraftKings and  FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST on both sites, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

Top Pitchers
Chang-Mo Koo/NC Starting P ($9,400/$26): The way I see it, Koo as the best pitcher in the KBO. He has an outstanding 2.39 FIP on the season and an excellent 9.75 K/9.  He hasn’t allowed more than a single ER in any start this season and he’s shown that he can rack up Ks no matter the match-up. Since his start against KIA was rained out last night, he gets an easier match-up here against Hanwha. He’s underpriced, as I don’t think either site expected him to pitch today. I’m going to include him in almost all of my line-ups tonight. He’s my favorite pitcher on this slate by a wide margin.

Drew Gangnon/KIA Starting P ($7,800/$26): Gagnon has been pretty inconsistent this season, but his underlying statistics are outstanding. He comes into this start with an excellent 2.43 FIP as well has a very healthy 10.04 K/9. Samsung has been hitting the ball better lately, but Gagnon has already shown he can dominate the better lineups in this league. He’s definitely too cheap on DraftKings here. He’s my ideal SP2 and my favorite pitcher on this slate after Koo.

Hyun-Hee Han/Kiwoom Starting P ($7,800/$23): Han hasn’t fully found his form yet this season, but he has been serviceable and should continue to be here against a spotty SK line-up. Outside a couple of guys, these Wyverns are certainly beatable, as is indicated by their 4.3 Implied total in this spot. Han has a decent 4.09 FIP heading into this one and a decent 6.5 K/9. I’m not sure how much I get to him on this slate with Koo and Gagnon available, but he’s a viable option if you’re looking to expand your pitcher pool.
 
Also Consider: David Buchanan/Samsung Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

NC Dinos (NCD): Bum-Soo Kim is overdue for some major regression as his 6.439FIP since more than 2 points higher than his ERA. This will be his toughest test so far this season, and oddsmakers are giving these Dinos close a 7 Run Implied total in this spot.  As is often the case Eui-Ji Yang (C) and Sung Bum Na (OF) are the top options to own on this team.  Na already has 11 HR on the season, and Eu-ji Yang has a ridiculous 92 % Contact rate. Both of these guys are expensive, but they’re worth prioritizing if you can afford them. After Yang and Na, Suk-min Park (3B) and Jin-Sung Kang (OF/1B) are my other main targets. They both come in reasonably priced on both sites with excellent upside in their own right. Fifth (and perhaps even higher if you’re chasing upside) Aaron Altherr (OF) is a quality play. I don’t like how low he’s been hitting in this batting order, but he’s actually leading this team in RBIs from the 7-8 hole(s). Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting. They should have no issues running up the score here.

LG Twins (LGT): Young-Ha Lee has looked decent this season, but all of his struggles have come on the Road. Tonight, he’ll be away from home, facing one of the hottest hitting teams in the league in thee LG Twins. I also like the Twins here as Doosan boasts one of the worst bullpens in the league. This is a match-up they should find success in. Roberto Ramos (1B) is back in the line-up and my favorite play from this line-up. His price is finally up, but he leads the KBO in HRs and his upside is as good as anyone else on the entire slate. After Ramos, Hyun-Soo Kim (OF) and Chun-Woong Lee (OF) are my top priorities at the top of this order. Kim is expensive, but both of these guys have been tearing the cover off the ball. They each had 2 Hits last night. The price on Lee makes him a borderline Core play on DraftKings. Another guy that’s just way too cheap, especially on DraftKings is Eun-sung Chae (OF). He’s looked great so far this season and he’s still reasonably priced everywhere. I’d round out LGT stacks with Keun-Woo Jeong (2B), and Catcher Kang Nam Yoo (C) as they’re both priced favorably. Yoo has been on fire of late and remains a bit underpriced everywhere. Chang gi-Hong (OF) and Ji-Hwan Oh (SS) would both make nice value options on both sites but there’s no guarantee they crack the line-up. If they’re in, they’re valuable pieces as a means to open up some salary. I usually don’t get to much Ju-Hyeon Jung (3B), but he seems locked in right now so I’m fine with him here as well.

KT WIZ (KTW): Simply put, Se-Woong Park isn’t very good. He comes into this start with an ugly 5.22 FIP on the season having allowed 4+ ER in 4 of his last 5 starts.  KTW has a lot of upside in their line-up starting with monster bats like Mel Rojas Jr. (OF), Baek-Ho Kang (1B/OF) and Jeong-Dae Bae (OF). Rojas has a ridiculous 1.114 OPS so far in 2020 and comes with a true multi-HR ceiling. Bae’s upside doesn’t quite match Rojas’ as he’s lacking some power, but he has a solid .926 OPS of his own and he managed to collect an SB in back to back games. Kang, like Rojas, comes with multi-HR upside and he’s hot right now with 13 Hits across his last 7 Games played. Any stack I build of KTW will start with all three of these guys. Kyung-Soo Park (2B) and Jae-Gyn Hwang (3B) comprise a second-tier of KTW bats I’m targeting. Park is too cheap everywhere and Hwang is underpriced on FanDuel. If I want value here I’m targeting Yong ho Jo (OF) and Woo-jun Sim (SS), who should both be in the line-up and are dirt cheap on both sites. Secondary value targets here include Catcher Sung-Woo Jang (C) at the bottom of this order. I don’t expect these Wiz to be as chalky as some of the other options we have on this slate, but their upside is exceptional.

Also Consider: Doosan, Kiwoom

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Chang-Mo Koo (NCD) $9,400
SP2 – Drew Gagnon (KIA) $7,800
1B – Roberto Ramos (LGT) $5,000
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $2,100
OF – Hyun-Soo Kim (LGT) $5,200
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,200

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – NC Starting P (NCD) $26
IF –  Eu-Ji Yang (NCD) $14
IF – Keon-Chang Seo (KIW) $11
OF – Mel Rojas Jr. (KTW) $16
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $9

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $2,100
2B/SS – Hye-Sung Kim (KIW) $2,800
SS – Woo-Jun Sim (KTW) $3,700
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,200
OF – Yung-Ho Jo (KTW) $2,800

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Hye-Sung Kim (KIW) $9
IF – Min-Sung Kim (LGT) $8
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $9
OF – Jeong-Dae Bae (KTW) $9
OF – Chun-Woong Lee (LGT) $9

BONUS BEST BETS:     (51-42)
NC Dinos RL -2.5 (-140)
LG Twins v. Doosan Bears OVER 10 (-120)
Kiwoom Heroes ML -150

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.