The Daily Diamond – 6.25 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

115

Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 2:00 AM EST on DraftKings and  FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 2:00 AM EST on both sites, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

**SLATE NOTE**: This slate locks early at 2am EST as 8 of the 10 teams in the league are playing double-headers here. There is still some rain across Korea, but it looks like all of the games on the slate should be able to go. Keep an eye on the weather, and check-into our VIP slack for updates as we get closer to lock.

***ANOTHER UPDATE***:I wasn’t aware that the HAN@SAM was on the FanDuel slate. DraftKings emitted this game, but since it’s on FanDuel I’m comfortable rostering David Buchanan (Samsung SP) for $28 or running out some Samsung stacks. Samsung is my 2nd favorite stack here behind NCD. Tyler Saladino is OUT with a back injury – I’d focus on , Won-Seok Lee, Jae-Woo Koo, Hae-Min Park, Hak-Ju Lee, Min-Ho Kang, and Sang-su Kim in that order.

Top Pitchers
Dan Straily/Lotte Starting P ($9,500/$23): We’re going to have to keep an eye on the weather here, but if this one goes – Straily is easily my favorite Pitching option on this slate. KIA has some pop at the top of their order, but overall they haven’t been nearly as good as public perception would suggest (.350 OBP). Straily has an outstanding 2.78 FIP and an excellent 10.02 K/9 on the season coming into this one. He’ll be a heavy favorite here. He’s reasonably priced on DraftKings and way too cheap on FanDuel. Again, monitor the weather, but as long as things look clear – Straily is my favorite option on this slate.

Tyler Wilson/LG Starting P ($8,200/$25):
Wilson has been decent this season, sporting a 3.92 FIP and a 6.6 K/9 heading into this start. He seems to give up a run or two each time he’s out there, but he generally does a good enough job limiting damage to keep himself DFS relevant. Kiwoom can pack a lot of power, but they also K as much as any other team in this league. If we had better options on this slate I’m not sure I get here, but we don’t. Wilson is viable everywhere this evening.

Mike Wright/NC Starting P ($9,000/ $31): I really didn’t even want to write up Wright here, but we have very few options on this slate so here we are. While Wright has looked great at times this season, overall he hasn’t really found the type of success that the Dinos were hoping he would. For starters, his 4.75 FIP leaves a lot to be desired. He’s averaging nearly 4 BBs per start and his K% still sits below 20%. He’s got a tough match-up here against these Wiz, but he’s certainly one of the better pitchers on this slate. He’s viable here by default.

Also Consider: Hee-Kwan Yoo/Doosan Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

NC Dinos (NCD): The Dinos have been the most consistent hitting team in the KBO this season, and tonight they have the highest implied total on the slate against Je Seong Bae and the KT Wiz. Bae is coming off the worst start of his 2020 in which he allowed 8 ER and 3 HR to Lotte. He’s carrying a spotty 5.13 FIP into this one and I’m more than comfortable loading up on them here. It isn’t guaranteed, but Eui-ji Yang (C) is my favorite bat in this stack as long as he’s starting. He has been nursing multiple injuries, so be sure to confirm he’s in before lock, but he fills a void at a weak Catcher position on DraftKings, and he’s truly one of the best bats in the KBO when he’s on. After Yang (or if Yang is out), Sung Bum Na (OF) and Suk-min Park (3B) are my second and third favorite options from this team. Na is one of the premier bats in this league (albeit an expensive one) and a future MLB guy, Park has looked excellent this season and his price remains reasonable everywhere. Fourth (and perhaps even higher if you’re chasing upside) Aaron Altherr (OF) is a strong OF option tonight. He’s shown that no matter where he hits in this order he can rack up fantasy points. I’m happy to get to him on either site. After that, I like Jin-Sung Kang (OF) as lower-owned but still high-upside play if he’s starting.  Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting. This is an expensive stack, but on a limited slate they feel head and shoulders above the other options we have tonight.

Lotte Giants (LOT):  Min-Woo Lee has been decent for Kia this season, but he’s in poor form right now. He allowed 15 ER across his last 3 starts and 3+ Runs in each of his last 4 Road starts. He’ll be on the Road here again tonight against a tough Lotte line-up that always seems to come in a bit underowned.  My favorite bat from this stack tonight is Dae-Hoe Lee (1B). He’s an underrated power bat, and given his upside in this spot, he’s far too cheap on both sites. After Lee, I’m likely to be heavy on a streaking Ah-Seop Son (OF) who seems to reach base almost every AB. He has that rare power/speed combo we love for DFS and fantasy purposes. Power-hitting Jun-Woo Jeon (OF) has yet to really get going in 2020, but I expect he turns a corner soon. I’m fine with him here as well. Dixon Machado (2B/SS) is a fine option, but if he’s batting 8th or 9th again here I’d have trouble paying his DK price. Regardless, his upside is as good as anyone’s on this slate. Chi-Hong An (2B) and Dong-Hee Han (2B/3B) are affordable on both sites and should serve as secondary options once you load up on Jeon, Son, Lee, and Machado (if he’s in the middle/top of the order). If An is batting 3rd again tonight, he’s one of the better value plays on the entire slate. I’ve seen some sites projecting Hoon Jung (2B) leading off tonight. If he is, he’s one of the better value options on this team.

Doosan Bears (DOO):  While they aren’t a top priority for me tonight, I’m still fine getting to some Doosan bats against Jong-Hoon Park. While it’s true Park’s FIP is borderline impressive at 3.84, he’s also coming off his two worst starts of the season against KTW and KIA, allowing a combined 9 ER. Even when Park struggles he doesn’t allow a ton of HRs, but there’s no denying Doosan’s upside is as good as anyone’s on this slate when you consider just how good they’ve been on the Road this season. He has cooled off a bit lately, but Jose Fernandez (1B) is still the top bat to own on this team. His price is climbing, but he continuously produces as one of the best hitters in this league. He’s a top priority for me everywhere tonight. After Fernandez, Jae-Hwan Kim (OF) has the next best upside. Both of these guys are expensive, but they could legitimately break this slate if they’re locked in. I doubt he’s back tonight, but Jae-Il Oh (1B) would be viable if he returns here.  Joo-Hwan Choi (1B/2B) is still WAY too cheap on DraftKings with a potent bat in his own right. He’s been on fire lately and I’m fine getting to him on FanDuel as well. Kun-woo Park (OF) and Soo-Bin Jung (OF) are solid plays here as well and both worth prioritizing (if you’re stacking) at the top of the order. If Jae-Won Oh (2B) or Jae-Ho Kim (SS) make the line-up they’ll excellent value options near minimum price. Kyoung-Min Hur (3B) has officially been activated off the IL. If he’s in, he’s viable here as well. Catcher Se-Hyuk Park (C) is also viable everywhere if you need to fill that position on DK.

Also Consider: LG Twins

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Dan Straily (LOT) $9,500
SP2 – Tyler Wilson (LGT) $8,200
C – Eui-Ji Yang (NCD) $6,100
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $2,600
OF – Ah-Seop Song (LOT) $3,900
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,700

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – Lotte Starting P (LOT) $23
IF –  Eui-Ji Yang (NCD) $14
IF – Dae-Ho Lee (LOT) $10
OF – Sung-Bum Na (NCD) $17
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $9

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $2,600
SS – Jae-Ho Kim (DOO) $2,900
OF – Eun-Sung Chae (LGT) $3,100
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $3,500
OF – Bung-Hun Min (LOT) $3,400

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF –  Chi-Hong An (LOT) $9
IF – Suk-Min Park (NCD) $10
IF – Jin-Hyuk No (NCD) $9
OF – Ji-Hoon Choi (SKW) $5
OF – Bung-Hun Min (LOT) $9

BONUS BEST BETS:     (56-43) *all bets are for 2am EST games
NC Dinos RL -1.5 (-125)
Doosan Bears ML -165
LG Twins ML -130

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.