Hello Playmakers! Today we only have 4 games on tonights MLB DFS slate over on DraftKings so there aren’t a whole lot of options to choose from. Despite the fact that I will personally be sitting this slate out I have done my best to highlight the core 5 plays who are in the best spot for tonights games. Good luck tonight and be on the lookout for the Playmaker Podcast tomorrow covering all 14 games featuring myself and Nick Marro.
P | Lance McCullers Jr | HOU | $11,100
Lance McCullers looks for a solid outing outside of Houston.
The Astros are moving from one dome to another tonight facing the Tampa Bay Rays at the Trop. The Rays come into this slate with by far the lowest run total on the board at 3.3 implied runs. Although McCullers typically does a lot better when pitching at home due to the sheer lack of options McCullers profiles as the best one tonight. The Rays strike out roughly 22% against RHP with a wOBA of .308 which isnt great. Despite having an ERA over 2 runs higher on the road, McCullers xFIP is only slightly higher than at home due to the lack of hard contact and fly balls that he surrenders. McCullers generates a lot of ground balls as well regardless of where he is pitching so in a park that is this pitcher friendly I expect him to be the chalk tonight.
1B | Eric Thames | MIL | $5100
Eric Thames owns Cincinnati.
The Brewers are going from one hitter friendly park to another tonight travelling to Great American BallPark to face Anthony DeSclafani and the Reds. DeSclafani has really struggled against left handed bats in his first few starts this season with lefties boasting a .378 wOBA against him and a 40% hard contact rate. Thames has hit all 9 of his home runs off right handed pitching this season and has a .330 ISO against RHP. He is expensive but he absolutely mashes the Reds and love hitting at GAB. In 17 games against the Reds last season Eric Thames hit 10 homeruns and 5 of those came at Great American BallPark in just 7 starts.
2B | Eduardo Nunez | BOS | $3300
Going back to the Red Sox tonight after another big outing last night. This time we’re looking at righty Eduardo Nunez facing fellow righty Jamie Barria. Nunez has some pretty significant reverse splits while facing right handed pitching. He is batting .275 against righties while against lefties he is hitting just .197. Nunez comes in at a very affordable price tag and is a cheap way to get exposure to the Red Sox if you choose not to stack them. He has hit 3 of his 5 home runs at Fenway facing right handers along with a .316 wOBA. Nunez profiles as a great value play at a position without many other options to allow you to fit bigger bats in elsewhere.
OF | J.D Martinez | BOS | $5600
Continuing with the Red Sox theme we’re going to be looking at reverse split righty and current AL home run leader, Just Dingers Martinez. Martinez hits well against whatever handedness he faces. However against righties his power this season has been absolutely mental. 22 of his 25 home runs have come facing right handed pitching. Against righties he has a .366 ISO and a .452 wOBA. He does even better when he is at Fenway with that number jumping up to .520 with an .860 SLG. He is likely going to be very popular tonight due to recency bias and the upside that comes with this matchup.
OF | Nick Williams | PHI | $3300
The Phillies are at Citizens Bank Park tonight facing Tanner Roark and the Nationals. Roark has been struggling mightily as of late scoring a total of 4 DKFP in his last 2 outings combined. In his last four outings he has given up at least one home run in each of the four. Most of his struggles with the home run ball have come against lefties with a 1.52 HR/9 to lefties and a .341 wOBA. Coincidentally, Nick Williams swings the bat from the left side of the plate. Williams is a guy with a lot of pop in his bat and tends to swing for the fences. At just $3300 he is a great value play in the outfield and should be considered for cash or tournament formats.