The Daily Diamond – 6.30 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST on DraftKings and  FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST on both sites, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

**SLATE NOTE**: It looks extremely likely that the KTW @ LGT game will be rained out. I mostly excluded those teams from the write-up. If it were to go, I’d be on LGT bats as well as their SP, Min-Ho Lee.

Top Pitchers
Ki-Young Im/Kia Starting P ($7,800/$28): Overall, Im has been solid all season. He comes into this start with a 2.98 FIP and a very solid 8.10 K/9. He’s allowing a .331 BABIP which suggest it wouldn’t be surprising if his numbers continued to improve. He gets to face a soft Hanwha line-up in this spot, and they have a slate low 3.5 Implied Run total here.  He has won 3 of his last 4 starts and I think he scores another one here. He’s my favorite option on both sites here this evening.

Mike Wright/NC Starting P ($9,500/$28): He’s going to be popular on this slate, but Wright hasn’t really been as good as his numbers may appear on the surface. He has a shaky 4.73 FIP and he’s walking more than 4 batters per 9 IP. While I have trouble labeling him as a safe play against this Lotte team, I do think he’s a viable addition to your pitcher pool on a slate like this one with limited options. He has above average K-upside in this spot and since he’s backed by that Dinos offense, he has a good shot at the Win Bonus as well. He’s borderline Cash viable for me here, only because we’re lacking other quality options. I’ll have exposure on both sites tonight in spite of my reservations.

**MONITOR WEATHER** Min-Ho Lee/LG Starting P ($7,200/$26): It looks like this game is going to get rained out, but if it doesn’t – Lee would leapfrog Wright for me here as my 2nd favorite option on the slate. It’s a tough spot, but he’s carrying a solid 3.32 FIP and a decent 6.7 K/9 into this start. I doubt things clear up, but if they do I like Lee everywhere.

Chae-Heung Choi/Samsung Starting P ($7,400/$26): Normally Choi would not be someone I’d consider, but this slate is starving for viable options. He’s been mediocre this season, but I’m at least somewhat encouraged by the 3.94 FIP and 7.5 K/9 he posted in 2019. He was hit around by these same Wyverns on June 6th, but that was on the Road and he’s been much better at Home this season (where he’ll be pitching tonight). I’m not excited to get to him here, but he’s in play on this slate.

Also Consider: Shi-Hwan Jang/Hanwha Starting P **GPP Only**

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

Kiwoom Heroes (KIW): Tonight, the Heroes are set to square off against a shaky SP in Doosan’s Hui-Kwan Yu. Yu allowed 6 ER against a bad SK line-up in his last start. He’s carrying an ugly 5.44 FIP into this one and I expect him to struggle. I also like Kiwoom here as Doosan has one of the worst bullpens in the KBO. Oddsmakers are giving Kiwoom a healthy 5.7 Implied Run Total in this spot.I fully expect them to meet and exceed this number. Byung-Ho Park (1B) is once again one of my favorite bats on the slate.  It seems he has finally turned a corner after coming out ice cold to start the season. He’s my favorite piece of any Kiwoom stack given his price, but after that I’m excited to get some exposure to Jung-Hoo Lee (OF) and Dong-won Park (C).  Lee is expensive, but both of these guys have an OPS over 1.000 on the season, and both have multi-HR upside – which is extremely rare in this league.  Ha-Seong Kim (SS) is another quality option here if you can afford the hefty price on him.  Keon-Chang Seo (OF) and with Hye-Sung Kim (2B/SS) are both serviceable value options if you’re having trouble making things fit. Neither has the upside of the expensive Kim, but point-per-dollar they’re both excellent. If you’re digging for additional value, I’m fine with Byung-Woo Jeon (3B) or Joon-Tae Park (OF). Just be sure they’re in the line-up prior to lock. These guys have let us down a few times already this season, but the spot here feels too good to pass on here. I’ll have a lot on both sites.

Samsung Lions (SAM): Jong-Hoon Park has been truly terrible of late. He has allowed a brutal 18 ERs across his last three starts. Oddsmakers are giving Samsung a solid 5.2 Implied team total in this spot and given their early season struggles, they are still lower owned than they should be in most good spots like this one. Tyler Saladino (3B/SS) is still out on the IL. If he were to return tonight (I don’t expect him to) he’d be viable. We can’t rely on him here though. Instead, Seong-Gon Lee (OF/IF) and Hae-Min Park (OF) are my favorite options when stacking these guys. Park has Hits and Runs in 6 of his last 7 games played. Lee has been on absolute fire lately, transitioning to an everyday role. Both of these guys are way too cheap on both sites and priorities for me on this slate as long as they’re in the line-up.  Sang-Su Kim (2B/3B), Ja-Wook Koo (1B/OF) and Won-Seok Lee (3B) are more familiar names I like towards the top of the order here. You’ll have to check in on Lee as he missed the last two games, but all three of these guys are constantly on base. Koo has the best power upside of the group. Dong-Yeop Kim (OF) has been called back up to the big league squad and is always a solid play he’s available. Sang-Gyu Lee (2B/3B) and Hak-Ju Lee (SS) have both under-performed this season, but they’re fine if you’re looking for affordable filler.

NC Dinos (NCD): We need to be somewhat cautious here as this is a bullpen game for Lotte. Lotte surprisingly has one of the better bullpens in the KBO which could create match-up problems for these Dinos. Still, oddsmakers have NCD scoring over 6 Runs in this spot, so there’s no denying their viability on this slate.  Eui-ji Yang (C) is my favorite bat in this stack as long as he’s starting. He has been nursing multiple injuries, so be sure to confirm he’s in before lock, but he fills a void at a weak Catcher position on DraftKings. Additionally, he’s too cheap for his upside on FanDuel. He’s one of the best bats in KBO when he’s on. Sung Bum Na (OF) and Suk-min Park (3B) are my second and third favorite options from this team. Na is one of the premier bats in this league (albeit an expensive one) and a future MLB guy. As for Park, he has looked excellent this season and his price remains reasonable everywhere. Fourth (and perhaps even higher if you’re chasing upside) Aaron Altherr (OF) is a strong OF option tonight. He’s shown that no matter where he hits in this order he can rack up fantasy points. I’m happy to get to him on either site. After that, I like Jin-Sung Kang (OF) as lower-owned but still high-upside play if he’s starting.  The rise in his price has mostly kept his ownership down. Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting. Facing a decent bullpen like this does give me some pause as the manager can pick and choose match-ups, but ultimately they still project as good as any other team on this slate.

Also Consider: KIA Tigers, Doosan Bears

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Ki-Young Im (KIA) $7,800
SP2 – Mike Wright (NCD) $9,500
1B – Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $4,300
2B/SS – Jin-Hyuk No (NCD) $4,300
OF – Jin-Sung Kang (NCD) $4,900
OF – Sung-Gon Lee (SAM) $2,700

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – Kia Starting P (KIA) $28
IF –  Eui-Ji Yang (NCD) $14
IF – Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $14
OF – Ja-Wook Koo (SAM) $9
OF – Sun-Gon Lee (SAM) $5

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $3,100
2B/3B – Sun-Gyu Lee (SAM) $3,200
OF – Dong-Yeop Kim (SAM) $3,300
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $3,800
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,700

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Kyoung-Min Hur (DOO) $8
IF – Hak-Ju Lee (SAM) $7
IF – Dong-Won Park (KIW) $10
OF – Ji-Wan Na (KIA) $9
OF – Ja-Wook Ko (SAM) $9

BONUS BEST BETS:     (58-44)
Kia Tigers RL -1.5 (-125)
Doosan @ Kiwoom OVER 10.5 (-120)
Samsung Lions ML -150

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.