The Daily Diamond – 7.1 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST on DraftKings and  FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST on both sites, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

Top Pitchers
Chang-Mo Koo/NC Starting P ($11,000/$29): Koo is the best Pitcher in the KBO. He’s coming off a shaky start on the Road against the KT Wiz, but his numbers on the season remain excellent. He comes into this start with an outstanding 2.44 FIP as well as a very healthy 9.92 K/9. Koo hasn’t allowed more than 1 ER in any Home start this season and oddsmakers are giving Lotte only a meager 3.2 Implied Run Total here. He’s expensive for sure, but he projects much better point-per-dollar than any other option on this slate. I’ll have a lot of exposure to him on both sites, he’s my favorite pitcher on the slate regardless of format. There are more than enough value bats available to justify paying up for him here.

Ki-Young Im/Kia Starting P ($8,000/$24): Overall, Im has been solid all season. He comes into this start with a 2.98 FIP and a very solid 8.10 K/9. He’s allowing a .331 BABIP which suggest it wouldn’t be surprising if his numbers continued to improve. He gets to face a soft Hanwha line-up in this spot, and they have a slate low 3.5 Implied Run total here.  He has won 3 of his last 4 starts and I think he scores another one here. He’s a solid option on both sites here this evening.

Seung-Won Moon/SK Starting P ($7,700/$27):
Moon is one of the more underrated Pitchers in this league. He’s carrying an impressive 3.33 FIP on the season and a solid 8.83 K/9. He’s often overlooked as he plays on a terrible SK Wyverns squad, but he should not be overlooked here. Samsung has been hitting better lately but they’re still missing some key bats and Striking Out frequently. Moon hasn’t allowed an ER since 6/13. I’m happy to get to him on either site in any format here this evening.

Also Consider: Hyun-Hee Han/Kiwoom Starting P, David Buchanan/Samsung Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

Kiwoom Heroes (KIW): Tonight, the Heroes are set to square off against a struggling SP in Doosan’s Young-Ha Lee. Lee has allowed 18 ER over his last three starts, he’s in terrible form and his numbers on the full season aren’t much better.  Byung-Ho Park (1B) is once again one of my favorite bats on the slate.  It seems he has finally turned a corner after coming out ice cold to start the season. He’s my favorite piece of any Kiwoom stack given his price, but after that I’m excited to get some exposure to Jung-Hoo Lee (OF) and Dong-won Park (C).  Lee is expensive, but both of these guys have an OPS over 1.000 on the season, and both have multi-HR upside – which is extremely rare in this league. Dong-won Park is way too cheap on FanDuel and a borderline Core play.  He may still be on the IL, but if Ha-Seong Kim (SS) returns tonight he’s an excellent (but expensive) option here as well.  Keon-Chang Seo (OF) and with Hye-Sung Kim (2B/SS) are both serviceable value options if you’re having trouble making things fit. Neither has the upside of the expensive guys, but point-per-dollar they’re both excellent. If you’re digging for additional value, I’m fine with Byung-Woo Jeon (3B) or Joon-Tae Park (OF). Just be sure they’re in the line-up prior to lock. These guys have let us down a few times already this season, but the spot here feels too good to pass on here. I’ll have a lot on both sites.

NC Dinos (NCD): Tonight, the best hitting team in the KBO is set to square off against one of the worst Pitchers on the slate. Lotte is missing a few key SP, so enter Won Sam Jang. Jang has only pitched in one start this season, in which he allowed 10 Hits and 5 ER across only 3 IP against Doosan on 5/12. Oddsmakers are giving the Dinos a slate high 6.3 Implied Runs in this spot. So, it should come as no surprise that the they are one of my favorite stacks on this slate. Eui-ji Yang (C) and Sung Bum Na (OF) are my two favorite bats to target here. They’re both expensive, but they’re two of the best hitters in the entire league. (Be careful with Yang as he left last night’s game with back discomfort). Each of these guys has enough talent/ability to make an MLB roster if they were given the chance. I’ll squeeze in as much of them as possible here. Suk-min Park (3B) and Aaron Altherr (OF) are my third and fourth favorite options from this team. Park has consistently produced all season towards the top of this order and remains one of the more reasonably priced parts of this stack. Altherr has shown that no matter where he hits in this order, he can rack up fantasy points. He leads the Dinos in RBIs, and I’m happy to get to him on either site. After that, I like Jin-Sung Kang (OF) as lower-owned but still high-upside play and another outfielder in Hee-Dong Kwon (OF). Kwon has recently been utilized as an everyday player and at his current price point, he’s one of the better plays on this team. He provides a lot of power upside at an extreme discount. Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) did nothing for us last night, but he is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting. Facing a decent bullpen like this does give me some pause as the manager can pick and choose match-ups, but ultimately they still project as good as any other team on this slate.

KIA Tigers (KIA): Shi-Hwan Jang has quality K upside, but he doesn’t limit damage well enough to sustain any real success at this level. He comes into this start with a spotty 4.98 FIP, walking nearly 6 batters per 9 Innings. This isn’t exactly a smash spot for KIA against Jang, but it is a strong one. Additionally, Jang hasn’t pitched more than 5 IP in a start since 5/13. If the Tigers can tag him early, they should feast on a terrible Hanwha bullpen.  My favorite bats to target here are the outfielders, Preston Tucker (OF) and Ji-Wan Na (OF). I like Tucker as he’s one of the best hitters in the KBO, and Na as he’s the most egregiously priced. They’re going to take up your OF positions, but I’m comfortable prioritizing both of them as part of any KIA stack. Hyung-woo Choi (1B/OF) is another quality anchor for any KIA stack and another favorite option (albeit an expensive one). He’s one of the premier power bats in this league and he’s priced extremely reasonably on FanDuel. He’s more expensive on DraftKings, but I’m fine rostering him on either site tonight has he brings serious upside. Min-Sang Yoo (1B) and Seung-Taek Han (C) are both cheap considering their respective upside(s). They help open up salary for the more expensive bats listed prior. Chan-Ho Park (3B/SS) has been better lately after coming out ice cold this season, but he’s a strong addition to this stack especially if he’s hitting towards the top of the order. As long as Ho-Ryeong Kim (OF) and/or Sun-Bin Kim (2B) make the line-up, I’d be fine turning to them as a value plays here as well. Of these two guys and Park, I prefer whoever is leading off.

Also Consider: KT Wiz, Doosan Bears

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Chang-Mo Koo (NCD) $11,000
SP2 – Ki-Young Im (KIA) $8,000
1B – Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $4,200
3B – Suk-Min Park (NCD) $4,300
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $2,400
OF – Jung-Hoo Lee (KIW) $4,500

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – NC Starting P (NCD) $29
IF – Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $14
IF – Dong-Won Park (KIW) $9
OF – Aaron Altherr (NCD) $16
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $7

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B/2B – Keon-Chang Seo (KIW) $4,100
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $3,100
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $2,400
OF – Kun-Woo Park (DOO) $3,900
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,300

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Kyoung-Min Hur (DOO) $8
IF – Jin-Hyuk No (NCD) $9
IF – Dong-Won Park (KIW) $9
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $7
OF – Kang-Min Kim (SKW) $7

BONUS BEST BETS:     (60-44)
Kia Tigers RL -1.5 (-125)
NC Dinos RL -1.5 (-150)
Doosan Bears @ Kiwoom Heroes OVER 10.5 Runs (-120)

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.