The Daily Diamond – 7.10 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST on DraftKings and  FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST on both sites, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

***SLATE NOTE***: Almost all of these games have some sort of Rain in the forecast. I expect all games on this slate to get in without delay, but we’ll have to monitor the weather across the league leading up until lock.

Top Pitchers
Drew Rucinski/NC Starting P ($9,400/$29): Rucinski is pretty clearly the best option we have on this slate. He hasn’t been perfect, but he comes into this start with a solid 3.78 FIP and a very impressive 8.32 K/9. LG bats have been hot, but oddsmakers are giving them a slate low 4.0 Runs. Rucisnski hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in any of his starts since 5/12. He does a good job limiting damage and should be able to pitch around the bigger bats in this LG order. He’s a bit risky in this match-up, but his floor still feels considerably higher than anyone else on this slate. He’s my favorite option on this slate, I like him everywhere.

William Cuevas/KT Starting P ($7,500/$25): Cuevas has been mostly mediocre in 2020, but his 4.39 FIP is almost a full point lower than his ERA. This means that he’s likely been a victim of bad luck and things should get better for him moving forward. Samsung has been decent this season, but they’re still in the bottom half of the league in most hitting categories. It’s tough to fully trust Cuevas, but he’s the 2nd biggest favorite on the slate behind Rucinski.  I like him everywhere.

Min-Woo Kim/Hanwha Starting P ($7,100/$24): Kim hasn’t really looked great this season, but he’s coming off two solid outings in which he Struck Out 14 batters across 10 IP of 3 ER ball. If we had more options on this slate I probably wouldn’t look to him, but he’s in a favorable match-up with SK and his 9.66 K/9 is easily the best number on the slate. His floor is low, but his upside is very high here. At this price I plan to have exposure on both sites.

Also Consider: Hyun-Jong Yang/Kia Starting P, Chris Flexen/Doosan Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

Doosan Bears (DOO):  Doosan bats have been hot lately. I’m more than happy to get on them again here tonight as they’re set to square off against Lotte’s Jun-Won Seo. We’ll have to monitor the weather, but if this one goes I fully expect Doosan to take advantage of Seo’s 5.67 FIP. His 3.99 ERA is a total mirage, as is also evident by the uncharacteristically low .274 BABIP he’s allowed so far this season. No surprise here, Jose Fernandez (1B) is the top bat to own on this team. His price is climbing, but he continuously produces as one of the best hitters in this league. He’s a top priority for me everywhere tonight. After Fernandez, Jae-Hwan Kim (OF) and Jae-Il Oh (1B) are both finally healthy. After Fernandez these are the highest upside bats on this team. Oh is far too cheap on DraftKings, but I’m happy to prioritize either or both of these guys wherever I can afford them . Joo-Hwan Choi (1B/2B) is still too cheap on DraftKings with a potent bat in his own right. I’m fine getting to him on FanDuel as well. Kyoung-Min Hur (3B) is still too cheap everywhere given his new everyday role. I like him in any format. Kun-woo Park (OF) and Soo-Bin Jung (OF) are solid plays here as well and both worth targeting. I prefer whoever (of the two) is hitting higher up in the batting order. If Jae-Won Oh (2B) or Jae-Ho Kim (SS) make the line-up they’ll excellent value options near minimum price. There’s really no wrong way to go when stacking this team. If a guy is in the Starting line-up for DOO, he’s in consideration for me everywhere. If you go this route it’s probably going to be worth waking up early and checking the line-ups. Catcher Se-Hyuk Park (C) is also viable everywhere if you need to fill that position on DK.

KT Wiz (KTW):  Yoong-Dong Heo is not very good. He comes into this start with a terrible 6.14 FIP and a shaky 1.60 WHIP.  He has looked alright at times this season, but against a tough lineup like this one I expect him to struggle. KTW has a lot of upside in their line-up starting with monster bats like Mel Rojas Jr. (OF), Baek-Ho Kang (1B/OF) and Jae-Gyn Hwang (3B). Any stack I build of KTW will start with all three of these guys. All three have true multi-HR potential, which is a rarity in this league. Rojas and Kang’s ISOs both sit over .280 and Hwang is finally heating up after a cold start to the season. Kyung-Soo Park (2B) and Jeong-Dae Bae (OF) comprise a second-tier of KTW bats I’m targeting. Both of these guys are far too cheap given their upside if this stack goes off. If I need additional value here I’m targeting Han-Joon Yoo (1B) and Young-Ho Jo (OF) who should both be in the line-up and affordable on both sites. Secondary value targets here include Catcher Sung-Woo Jang (C) at the bottom of this order. I don’t expect these Wiz to be as chalky as some of the other options we have on this slate, but their upside is exceptional.

NC Dinos (NCD): Chan-Gyu Lim has been pretty solid this season, but the Dinos have shown an ability to put up Runs on pretty much anyone. Lim has a respectable 3.90 FIP coming into this start, but his numbers are greatly inflated by the fact that he’s faced the league’s worst lineups in SK, Hanwha, and Samsung in 6 of his 9 total starts this season. Additionally, the Dinos have the 2nd highest Implied Team Total on the slate at 5.5 Runs. It’s not the best match-up on paper, but there’s a chance these guys come in lower owned than they should be tonight. Their upside is easily as good as the other top options on this slate. They’re expensive, but I like them everywhere. Eui-ji Yang (C) and Sung Bum Na (OF) are my two favorite bats to target here. They’re both on the pricey end, but they’re two of the best hitters in the entire league. Each of these guys has enough talent/ability to make an MLB roster if they were given the chance. I’ll squeeze in as much of them as possible here. Suk-min Park (3B) and Aaron Altherr (OF) are my third and fourth favorite options from this team. Park has consistently produced all season towards the top of this order and remains one of the more reasonably priced parts of this stack. Altherr has shown that no matter where he hits in this order, he can rack up fantasy points. He leads the Dinos in RBIs, and I’m happy to get to him on either site. After that, I like Jin-Sung Kang (OF) as lower-owned but still high-upside play and another outfielder in Hee-Dong Kwon (OF). Kwon has recently been utilized as an everyday player and at his current price point, he’s one of the better plays on this team. He provides a lot of power upside at an extreme discount. Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) hasn’t down much for us lately, but he is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting. After KTW and Doosan there really aren’t any “smash” spots, so I expect to have plenty of NCD here.

Also Consider: 
KIA Tigers, Kiwoom Heroes, Hanwha Eagles

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Drew Rucinski (NCD) $9,400
SP2 – William Cuevas (KTW) $7,500
1B – Jae-Il Oh (DOO) $4,700
1B/2B – Jose Fernandez (DOO) $6,400
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $3,000
OF – Jeong-Dae Bae (KTW) $3,400

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – NC Starting P (NCD) $29
IF – Kyoung-Min Hur (DOO) $10
IF – Jose Fernandez (DOO) $17
OF – Jeong-Dae Bae (KTW) $10
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $9

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B – Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $4,300
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $3,900
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $3,000
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,300
OF – Young-Ho Jo (KTW) $2,900

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Kyoung-Min Hur (DOO) $10
IF – Eu-Ji Yang (NCD) $13
IF – Suk-Min Park (NCD) $10
OF – Young-Ho Jo (KTW) $8
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $9

BONUS BEST BETS:     (66-44)
NC Dinos RL -1.5 (-120)
KT Wiz RL -1.5 (+110)
Doosan Bears RL -1.5 (-125)

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.