The Daily Diamond – 7.9 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST on DraftKings and  FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST on both sites, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

Top Pitchers
Eric Jokisch/Kiwoom Starting P ($9,500/$30): Jokisch has been great for Kiwoom lately. He’s coming off back to back starts in which he allowed 0 ER and he comes into this one with a very impressive 3.06 FIP. He does an excellent job limiting damage and pitching deep into games. While his 6.36 K/9 certainly leaves a lot to be desired, he has flashed serious K upside with as many as 9 in a game this season. Samsung has been hitting the ball well lately, but they remain one of the more impatient teams in the KBO and they are certainly a line-up that top-tier pitching should be able to handle. He’s priced reasonably on both sites for this match-up. He’s my favorite pitcher on this slate and a priority for me everywhere tonight.

Drew Gagnon/Kia Starting P ($8,100/$25): He’s looked a bit shaky of late, but Gangon comes into this start with an extremely impressive 2.83 FIP as well as a healthy 8.95 K/9. There’s certainly a degree of risk involved in rostering any SP against these KT Wiz, but Gagnon has already shown he can handle them – striking out 8 Wiz batters on his way to a 7 IP 0 ER victory against them on 5/26. I wouldn’t be shocked if he got tagged for a couple runs here, but his K upside should outweigh any Runs allowed. He’s priced reasonably on both sites tonight as one of my preferred options on this slate.

Raul Alcantara/Doosan Starting P ($9,200/$28): Alcantara has a tough draw here against the LG Twins, but I have reason to believe he thrives in this spot. For starters, he twirled 8 Innings against this same line-up on 6/21 allowing only 1 ER and Striking Out 5. He comes into this start sporting a respectable 3.78 FIP as well as a very healthy 7.81 K/9. He feels a bit over-priced on both sites tonight, but he’s a viable option and a quality addition to any Pitcher Pool. He’s not a top priority for me tonight, but I plan to have some exposure.

Also Consider: Adrian Sampson/Lotte Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

Kiwoom Heroes (KIW): Tonight, the Heroes are set to square off against a struggling SP in Samsung’s Jung-Hyun Baek. Baek has had a few decent starts this season, but he comes into this one with a very ugly 5.75 FIP allowing 2.09 HR per 9.  Oddsmakers are only giving the Heroes 5.25 Implied Runs here, but I’m pretty confident they can get over that number. Byung-Ho Park (1B) is once again one of my favorite bats on the slate.  He’s hot right now, hitting 4 HRs across his last 6 Games. He’s my favorite piece of any Kiwoom stack given his price, but after that I’m excited to get some exposure to Jung-Hoo Lee (OF) and Dong-won Park (C).  Lee is expensive, but both of these guys  have multi-HR upside – which is extremely rare in this league. Dong-won Park is way too cheap on FanDuel and a borderline Core play.  Finally healthy, Ha-Seong Kim (SS) is an excellent (but expensive) option here as well. He has a lot of power and in terms of raw point potential he’s one of the best shortstops in the KBO. Keon-Chang Seo (OF) and with Hye-Sung Kim (2B/SS) are both serviceable value options if you’re having trouble making things fit. Neither has the upside of the expensive guys, but point-per-dollar they’re both excellent. If you’re digging for additional value, I’m fine with Byung-Woo Jeon (3B) or Joon-Tae Park (OF). Just be sure they’re in the line-up prior to lock. These guys have let us down a few times already this season, but the spot here feels too good to pass on here. I’ll have a lot on both sites.

Lotte Giants (LOT):  Bum-Soo Kim has looked decent for Hanwha so far this season, but he’s overdue for some serious regression. His 5.47 FIP sits nearly 2 full points higher than his 3.70 ERA and he’s walking more than 6 batters per 9 IP.   I don’t expect the former reliever to pitch too deep into this game, so once he’s out we also get a nice boost against Hanwha as they have one of the league’s worst bullpens. My favorite bat from this stack tonight is Dae-Hoe Lee (1B). He’s an underrated power bat, and given his upside in this spot, he’s far too cheap on both sites. After Lee, I’m likely to be heavy on a streaking Ah-Seop Son (OF) who seems to reach base almost every AB. He has that rare power/speed combo we love for DFS and fantasy purposes. Power-hitting Jun-Woo Jeon (OF) has yet to really get going in 2020, but he HR’d last night and I expect he turns a corner soon. I’m high on him here as well. Dixon Machado (2B/SS) is a fine option, but if he’s batting 8th or 9th again here I’d have trouble paying his DK price. Regardless, his upside is as good as anyone’s on this slate. Chi-Hong An (2B) and Dong-Hee Han (2B/3B) are affordable on both sites and should serve as secondary options once you load up on Jeon, Son, Lee, and Machado (if he’s in the middle/top of the order). If An is batting 3rd again tonight, he’s one of the better value plays on the entire slate. I’ve seen some sites projecting Hoon Jung (2B) leading off tonight. If he is, he’s one of the better value options on this team. Sooner or later, Bum-Soo Kim is going to fall back to earth. I expect that here in this match-up tonight.

NC Dinos (NCD):
Ricardo Pinto has looked decent at times this season, but you have to think these Dinos are the type of team that could give him some trouble. While his 4.34 FIP is decent enough, he’s walking nearly 5 batters per 9 IP and he has allowed 4+ ER in 2 of his last three starts. This is far from a “smash” spot for NC here, but they have the most talented lineup in the league so I’m always fine turning to them against mediocre pitching.  Eui-ji Yang (C) and Sung Bum Na (OF) are my two favorite bats to target here. They’re both expensive, but they’re two of the best hitters in the entire league. Each of these guys has enough talent/ability to make an MLB roster if they were given the chance. I’ll squeeze in as much of them as possible here. Suk-min Park (3B) and Aaron Altherr (OF) are my third and fourth favorite options from this team. Park has consistently produced all season towards the top of this order and remains one of the more reasonably priced parts of this stack. Altherr has shown that no matter where he hits in this order, he can rack up fantasy points. He leads the Dinos in RBIs, and I’m happy to get to him on either site. After that, I like Jin-Sung Kang (OF) as lower-owned but still high-upside play and another outfielder in Hee-Dong Kwon (OF). Kwon has recently been utilized as an everyday player and at his current price point, he’s one of the better plays on this team. He provides a lot of power upside at an extreme discount. Myung-Gi Lee (3B) and Min-woo Park (2B) both appeal to me here IF they’re hitting at the top of the order. Jin-Hyuk No (SS) hasn’t down much for us lately, but he is viable shortstop option if he makes the line-up. There are a lot of moving parts here so be sure whoever you select for this stack is indeed starting.

Also Consider: Doosan Bears, Kia Tigers

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Eric Jokisch (KIW) $9,500
SP2 – Drew Gagnon (KIA) $8,100
1B – Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $4,600
2B – Hoon Jung (LOT) $4,100
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $2,900
OF – Jun-Woo Jeon (LOT) $4,500

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – Kiwoom Starting P (KIW) $30
IF – Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $14
IF – Dae-Ho Lee (LOT) $10
OF – Byung-Hun Min (LOT) $9
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $9

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
1B – Dae-Ho Lee (LOT) $4,100
1B/2B – Joo-Hwan Choi (DOO) $2,600
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $2,900
OF – Ah-Seop Song (LOT) $4,200
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $3,100

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Kyoung-Min Hur (DOO) $10
IF – Jin-Hyuk No (NCD) $9
IF – Dong-Won Park (KIW) $9
OF – Hoon Jung (LOT) $9
OF – Myung-Gi Lee (NCD) $9

BONUS BEST BETS:     (63-44)
Kiwoom Heroes RL -1.5 (-130)
Kia Tigers ML -160
NC Dinos RL -1.5 (-110)

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.