The Pop Fly – Core Picks 8.10.18 – DraftKings MLB

147

Hey Playmakers, thanks for joining me for todays edition of The Pop Fly. Today I will be outlining my favorite picks for tonights 14 Game MLB Main Slate on DraftKings. Things are starting to heat up for the playoff race and we now have a large sample size on the season, so lets get right into it.

P | Zach Eflin | Philadelphia Phillies | $8,500
Opponent: San Diego Padres
  1. Eflin has been very good this year as he has increased his velocity and started using his slider more effectively while also raising his swinging strike rate to 10.1%.
  2. The Phillies are largely favored on the road in a very pitcher friendly ballpark.
  3. San Diego has a 23.5% K Rate and only a .273 wOBA vs. RHP.
  4. Over his last 10 games Eflin has averaged 17.9 DK points where only 3 bad games have brought his average down under 20. 
  5. Projected ownership is in the single digits to get you some separation from the field when he has the outing I expect.
Also Consider: Blake Snell | TB | $9,900 (may be on a pitch count), Jon Gray | COL | $7,700, Nathan Eovaldi | BOS | $9,700.

Infield:

3B | Mike Moustakas | Milwaukee Brewers | $4,500
Opponent: Kevin Gausman (ATL) 
  1. I’ll be looking to stack up some Milwaukee LHB vs. Kevin Gausamn tonight. The Brewers have a .321 wOBA & .188 ISO vs. RHP.
  2. Gausman has also been giving up 29.9% hard contact over the last month so look for Moustakas to go yard with his new team tonight. 
  3. Over his last 20 starts vs. Gausman, Moustakas has a .230 AVG, .335 wOBA, and .157 ISO.
  4. R/L splits to consider over the last 150 games: 20 HR, 55 RBI, .215 ISO, .327 wOBA, and .047 HR/ PA. 
3B/SS | Eduardo Escobar | Arizona Diamondbacks | $4,400
Opponent: Anthony DeSclafani (CIN) 
  1. Batting 5th in a good game to stack with a 5 run implied total.
  2. DeSclafani Is 249th in the league vs. LHB, giving up 2.22 points per plate appearance.
  3. Escobar is a top 10% hitter vs RHP.
  4. Top 85% in barreled balls in the last 10 days with 3. 
  5. Splits over the last 150 games: 23 HR, 75 RBI, .309 ISO, .384 wOBA, and .054 HR/PA.
1B/3B Miguel Sano | Minnesota Twins | $4,100
Opponent: Jordan Zimmerman (DET)
  1. Sano is batting clean up tonight in the #4 most hitter friendly park: Comerica Park.
  2. Zimmerman, as well as the Detroit bullpen, struggle vs RHB. Zimmerman gives up 2.14 points per PA.
  3. Sano has a top 95% exit velocity vs. RHP over the last 14 days at 94.4 Mph.
  4. Over his last 20 starts vs. Zimmerman, Sano has a .302 AVG, .359 wOBA, .203 ISO, and .042 HR/ PA.
Also Consider: Eugenio Suarez | CIN | 3B | $4,600, Eduardo Nunez | BOS | 2B/3B | $3,900, Jesus Aguilar | MIL | 1B | $5,200.

Outfield: 

Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers | $5,700
Opponent: Kevin Gausman (ATL) 
  1. I’m loving a mini LHB brewers stack tonight and Yelich is batting 2nd as a top 10% batter vs. RHP with 2.21 points per PA this season.
  2. Top 85% batter in barreled balls and top 90% avg. exit velocity vs. RHP  over the last 14 days. ( 3 barreled balls/ 93.4 Mph)
  3. R/L splits over the last 150 games: .304 AVG, 15 SB, 18 HR, 61 RBI, .208 ISO, & .388 wOBA.
David Peralta | Arizona Diamondbacks | $5,500 
Opponent: Anthony DeScalfini (CIN)
  1. Arizona is another preferred stack of mine tonight and Peralta is my favorite bat of the Diamondbacks. 
  2. Peralta is batting 3rd as a top 10% batter vs RH pitchers with a 5 run implied total; I expect Peralta to get on base and drive in runs tonight. 
  3. Splits vs. Pitcher over his last 20 games: .257 AVG, .371 wOBA, .249 ISO, and .061 HR/PA.
Also Consider: J.D. Martinez | BOS | $5,900, Rhys Hoskins | PHI | $4,500, Eddie Rosario | MIN | $4,400.
Joey Zanette writes for Daily Play Action, and shares his player projections for DraftKings. Joey plays DraftKings himself as these are his own views. He also reserves the right to deviate from these plays and strategies without notice.