UFC 255: Figueiredo vs Perez – 11.21.2020 – Staff Predictions, Picks, and DFS Analysis (FREE)

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Hello Daily Play Action! Welcome to our collaborative coverage of UFC 255: Figueiredo vs Perez. This should be a fun slate of fights culminating with two flyweight title bouts on pay per view. Our analysis includes a pick for every bout from Anthony Marro, Nicholas Marro and GB. We also feature write-ups that will provide consideration for building lineups on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

When building your lineups here are a few things to consider. Pricing differs for most fighters making some better value on one site over the other. Scoring is important as well. On FanDuel a first-round finish scores 5x the points as a decision, where on DraftKings it scores 3x as many. Grappling is also scored drastically different as FanDuel awards points for takedown defense and submission attempts. DraftKings neglects those two stats and instead values advances (such as to half guard, to mount…) and reversals. Lastly, you will only want to take two fighters from the same fight if you think it goes into the late rounds and expect both to reach value.

As coverage continues, we will keep our Daily Play Action records up to date. Be sure to check out our reasoning though as records will not reflect confidence, we will be picking all fights regardless of if we are betting on them. I highly recommend using Bovada for their user-friendly format and awesome deposit bonuses if you want to tail us and bet on any of these picks!

If you are looking for even more UFC content, be sure to also check out Daily Play Action on YouTube where we have begun streaming breakdowns of each card.

Nick: 208-109-5   Anthony: 196-121-5   GB: 187-130-5

Fight odds are as listed from Bovada and last updated 10:15 AM EST 11-21-2020

Early Prelims- Starts 6:30pm EST

Louis Cosce -500 (DK $9300, FD $22) vs Sasha Palatnikov +350 (DK $6900, FD $8)

  • Anthony: Our card opens with a welterweight bout between Louis Cosce and Sasha Palatnikov. This is the UFC debut for both fighters and I anticipate an action-packed fight to kick off the evening. Cosce started his career going 7-0 with every win coming by first round finish. The level of competition that Cosce has faced makes him a little difficult to trust but against a fighter like Palatnikov I am expecting more of the same. He will likely come out with very high volume and a goal of putting Palatnikov away early. The fighter representing Hong Kong has effective overall striking and an above average ground game, it is just a question of whether he can survive in this one. If we were to see a third round in this fight Cosce could get gassed and put away after chasing finishes early. However, the far more likely outcome is Cosce connecting and getting the knockout win. He is a target for me on both DraftKings and FanDuel as he would score extremely well with a victory. Louis Cosce by Round One KO
  • Nick: Coming off an impressive Contender Series win over Victor Reyna. He is making his UFC debut here. Cosce is primarily a kickboxer. He uses kicks well to set up his punches which are very powerful and a lot crisper than we’d generally see from a guy at his level of experience. From what we’ve seen from him so far, he’s explosive and athletic. However, all of his fights have all ended early so there are still questions around the quality of his conditioning. The line might be a bit too wide here, as he hasn’t really faced a high level of competition. However, his opponent Sasha Palatnikov really hasn’t either. Palatnikov is fighting out of an excellent camp in Syndicate MMA, but he’s only been there briefly. He has decent footwork and pushes a good pace, but he seems very willing to get into striking exchanges and he seems very hittable when you watch him on film. It’s note-worthy that Palatnikov is the first Hong Kong born fighter in the UFC. It’s a nice story, but Cosce seems to have the much higher ceiling as a prospect. He could win this on the feet or lean on his wrestling and ground-and-pound. The price is a bit too juiced to go too heavy on Cosce, but he’s definitely the pick in this one. Louis Cosce by Round One KO
  • GB: Louis Cosce by Round Two KO

Kyle Daukaus -325 (DK $8800, FD $20) vs Dustin Stoltzfus +250 (DK $7400, FD $10)

  • Anthony: Next up is a middleweight bout between Kyle Daukaus and Dustin Stoltzfus. The Daukaus brothers have done nothing but impress thus far in the UFC and clearly Kyle poses an issue for a lot of fighters in the division. The best aspect of his game clearly comes on the mat where he has tallied eight wins by submission in just ten professional fights. Notching another one tonight would be telling because Stoltzfus has above average grappling as well. It will be interesting to see how much of this fight takes place on the feet given their grappling acumen. Daukaus has improved his striking a lot and likely has the advantage against Stoltzfus, especially as this fight wears on. Neither has been finished in their career so the safe bet is that we will see the judges’ scorecards. Daukaus will be able to control where this fight goes, grind Stoltzfus against the cage and likely get in a few submission attempts. I am picking him confidently here. Kyle Daukaus by Decision
  • Nick: We have a battle with two of Pennsylvania’s top prospects here. Daukaus had an impressive debut in his last fight against Brendon Allen. He lost via decision, but it was an extremely close match-up in which Daukaus showed an outstanding ground game and more impressive striking ability than anyone really expected to see. He showed improved head movement and a solid jab in that fight. While he took a lot of damage, he showed an outstanding chin and if he continues to improve his striking, he could be a serious problem in this division. Stoltzfus hasn’t seen the same level of competition that Daukaus has, but he does look well-rounded when you watch him. He has a somewhat surprisingly effective kicking game which he uses to keep his opponents at range. As good as his kicking can look, Stoltzfus is primarily a grappler. He has a strong wrestling base and while his BJJ is still very much developing, he’s already shown an ability to find creative submissions with wins via both kneebar and twister. As impressive as this may seem, he’s been dominating on the ground against far inferior grapplers. Daukaus is a black belt in BJJ and a serious step up in terms of opponent for Stotzfus here. No matter where this fight goes, Daukaus should be better. Stotzfus’ one edge may be the power in his strikes, but I don’t see him finding a window for it. I’m not crazy about this fight for DFS as neither of these guys has been finished. If this fight were to finish, I’d expect it’s Daukaus by submission. This fight should look be closer than the line suggests, but I’m siding with the favorite here. Kyle Daukaus by Round Three Submission
  • GB: Kyle Daukaus by Decision

Alan Jouban -155 (DK $8300, FD $16) vs Jared Gooden +125 (DK $7900, FD $15)

  • Anthony: This welterweight bout between Alan Jouban and Jared Gooden feels like the most difficult to predict on the card. Neither one of these fighters have the highest ceilings but Jouban is the younger prospect with far more room to grow. He is well rounded but does not bring anything particularly impressive into the cage. He throws a lot of volume in combinations and can really pour it on opponents fighting in the clinch or further at range. However, Gooden often makes sacrifices defensively when searching for the finish. I think a guy with the power of Jouban can really make Gooden pay in this fight for as long as things stay on the feet. If it were to go fifteen minutes I think Jouban gets the victory, but I think it is more likely we see a win inside the distance here. It is hard to be overly confident in either side of this one. Alan Jouban by Round Two KO
  • Nick: This welterweight match-up is one of the tougher fights on the card to predict. Jouban is past his prime, but he’s still a well-rounded fighter with solid striking both in the clinch and in open space. He’s a muy thai style fighter who is fairly well rounded and generally does a good job staying out of his opponents’ striking range. Gooden has shown knockout power, but he’s relatively untested against this level of competition. He’ll be making his UFC debut here after running through two low level opponents. He looks good when you watch him on film, but he’s not as dominant as you’d hope he’d be against these lower-level fighters. Jouban is 12 years older than Gooden, but he only has two more professional fights. There’s buzz around about Jouban’s chin being in question here, but Gooden is similarly weathered in terms of cage time. Jouban has faced a higher level of competition, but it’s notable Gooden is the far more active of the two with Jouban is coming off a near two-year layoff. Jouban has lost a lot of speed over the past few years, but he still has outstanding footwork and most of the strikes he throws are meaningful. In a fight that I expect to take place on the feet, I see Jouban avoiding Gooden’s power and picking him apart at range. He has lost three of his last five fights, but Gooden represents a considerable drop in competition for him in this spot. Gooden has enough power to be considered a live underdog, but I’m siding with the more experienced Jouban here. Alan Jouban by Decision
  • GB: Alan Jouban by Round Two KO

Preliminary Card- Starts 8:00pm EST

Daniel Rodriguez -340 (DK $9100, FD $20) vs Nicolas Dalby +260 (DK $7100, FD $9)

  • Anthony: The preliminary card begins on ESPN2 with a great fight between Daniel Rodrigue and Nicholas Dalby. This year has been extremely good to Rodriguez who has been victorious in his first three UFC bouts. I was particularly impressed in his last performance this August against Dwight Grant. After getting clipped early, Rodriguez was able to recover and get a knockout of his own in the very first round. He has phenomenal boxing and should have a significant advantage on the feet in this fight. Dalby is coming off a tough loss to Jesse Ronson that had me extremely down on him, but just this week news came out that Ronson tested positive for steroids after that bout. I still think Rodriguez is the superior athlete and fighter but would not be surprised if Dalby really turns this into a scrap. However, I think the striking of Rodriguez adds up and eventually he finds the opening to finish Dalby. Daniel Rodriguez by Round Two KO
  • Nick: Dalby has never been KO’d, but he does get hit hard in many of his fights. Ronson dropped him in his last fight before he was choked out, so there are certainly questions around his chin in this spot as he’s definitely in the latter part of his career. Rodriguez has very sharp boxing, which isn’t surprising is currently coached by Joe Schilling. Dalby is 2-4-1 against southpaws and Rodriguez should have enough of a striking advantage to get things done in this spot. He has shown outstanding boxing at the UFC level and he holds a BJJ brown belt from 10th Planet Jiu Jitsu. Dalby has faced the tougher competition and is certainly more proven, but I’m siding with the favorite here regardless. Rodriguez has more power and the crisper boxing, and I expect his BJJ is effective enough that he should be able to get back to his feet in Dalby manages to ground him. Rodriguez has shown upside, but he’s likely too heavily favored here against the veteran Dalby. It wouldn’t shock me if he pulled out a decision, but I think it’s more likely Rodriguez extends his winning streak. Daniel Rodriguez by Round Two KO
  • GB: Daniel Rodriguez by Round Two Submission

Antonina Shevchenko -160 (DK $8400, FD $16) vs Ariane Lipski +130 (DK $7800, FD $12)

  • Anthony: This is the first of many flyweight bouts in a night full of them as Ariane Lipski will step into the cage to face Antonina Shevchenko. The primary matchup here is a striker versus a grappler but this fight is a difficult one to predict. Shevchenko is obviously sister of the champion but lacks the dominance and power that Valentina has shown. She has good kickboxing and throws higher volume than the champ, but with a lot less power. In this fight she should be able to out strike Lipski on the feet, but the fight will more than likely be decided in grappling exchanges. If Lipski is able to bring Shevchenko onto the mat, I believe her top pressure will be enough to win this fight. She has excellent ground and pound as well as submissions that will pose a major problem for Shevchenko who seems to struggle off her back. This is a very close fight, but I lean slightly to the side of the underdog. Ariane Lipski by Decision
  • Nick: Lipski has solid BJJ, but she doesn’t really have the takedown entries to get the fight to the ground. She’s coming off a nice submission victory over a decent opponent in Luana Carolina, but Schevchenko is a considerable step up for her here. If this fight stays on the feet, Shevchenko definitely has the advantage. Fighting out of Tiger Muy Thai, she has outstanding striking ability. She’s nowhere near her sisters’ level, but she’s going to have a technical advantage on the feet in this match-up. Lipski absorbs nearly twice as many strikes as she lands per minute. Her best bet in this one will be to try to get the fight to the mat. Schevchenko’s grappling hasn’t looked great, so there’s an off chance the underdog pulls off a submission here. That being said, Shevchenko has faced Top 10 flyweights in two of her last three fights. This is a serious step down for her in terms of competition and while Lipski still does have some upside, she hasn’t improved enough for me to back her in this spot. There are worse underdog shots to take on the card, but Shevchenko should get the win pretty easily. Antonina Shevchenko by Decision
  • GB: Ariane Lipski by Round Three Submission

Joaquin Buckley -260 (DK $8900, FD $19) vs Jordan Wright +200 (DK $7300, FD $10)

  • Anthony: Don’t blink for this middleweight fight between Joaquin Buckley and Jordan Wright. Of course, you likely have seen the viral knockout by Buckley in his win against Impa Kasanganay. That knockout is likely the reason for this wide betting line, even though Jordan Wright is an extremely live opponent. He has great power, a wide arsenal of strikes, sneaky takedowns and a very active ground game. Both of these fighters like to fight aggressively so this fight more than likely ends in the first or second round. Buckley has really looked good in both UFC appearances but in my eyes this is the perfect spot to fade him. Wright is much bigger and could win this fight in a lot of different ways. The safest path to victory may be taking Buckley to the mat, but I trust Wright’s striking too and expect him to get the victory tonight one way or another. Jordan Wright by Round One KO
  • Nick: Buckley is coming off one of the greatest knockouts in UFC history. He landed an impressive spinning wheel kick against and up-and-comer in Impa Kasanagay and all signs indicate the UFC is going to back him as a marketing opportunity moving forward. Wright’s combined opponent’s records are 41-55. He really hasn’t faced much high-level competition and while he may upside in terms of career trajectory, he really hasn’t seen any adversity. He does have knockout power, but he’s very hittable. Against a far more technical striker in Buckley, I just don’t see him having any success. He was completely shut down against Anthony ‘Fluffy’ Hernandez on the Contender Series, so there are questions about his chin as well. I really like how good Buckley looked against Kevin Holland on short notice. He’s on a full camp here against a far worse opponent. I expect him to close down the distance early here and gets things done as a favorite. He looked outstanding against Impa Kasaganay for the extent of their match-up, not just his highlight reel KO. He’s knockout upside makes him one of my preferred GPP plays for DFS. Joaquin Buckley by Round One KO
  • GB: Joaquin Buckley by Round Two KO

Brandon Moreno -180 (DK $8600, FD $18) vs Brandon Royval +150 (DK $7600, FD $14)

  • Anthony: On a night full of flyweight bouts this one may end up being the best as Brandon Royval takes on Brandon Moreno. You can always expect an exciting fight when one of these guys steps into the octagon. Royval notched his fourth consecutive win in September when he put on a great performance against Kai Kara-France. At this weight class are not many that can handle the size of Royval. His striking can punish opponents and on the mat he is as dangerous a grappler as there is. Moreno on the other side has also gone undefeated thus far in the UFC. He can do a lot of things well, but I find it hard to imagine him winning by finish in this one. We will likely see a balanced fight here where neither guy holds dominant position for very long. I like the upside betting on Royval here as will likely be the more aggressive fighter. I know I can trust Royval to fight for my money and if either one is going to win inside of the distance I think it has to be him. Brandon Royval by Round Three Submission
  • Nick: This is an outstanding match-up between two top contenders at flyweight. Royval is extremely aggressive. He’s coming off an impressive upset victory over Kai Kara-France, and his length, pressure and creative BJJ make him a serious contender in this division.  Moreno is the more experienced of the two fighters here, he’s extremely well-rounded with an outstanding gas tank. He won’t quite match Royval in terms of pace and pressure, but he’s going to pack more power in his punches, and he’s also the more technical striker of the two with lower and stronger grappling base. While Moreno will likely have the better technical boxing here, Royval has a serious chin on him. He throws a ton of volume, and he’s so aggressive that it makes it tough for opponents to get into a rhythm. He has outstanding cardio and pushes a ridiculous pace. I really like that Royval is fighting out of and excellent camp in Factory X. He’s going to come in with an outstanding game-plan and I expect him to find ways to avoid Moreno’s strengths and expose his weaknesses. I also like that Royval is really tall and long for this division. Moreno could score takedowns if he wants them, and he’s also the more technical striker by a decent margin. Still, I’m siding with the underdog. I just can’t bet against Royval’s hyper-aggressive style. In a lot of ways, it’s similar to that of flyweight champion and card headliner Deiveson Figueredo. Brandon Royval by Decision
  • GB: Brandon Moreno by Decision

Main Card- Starts 10:00pm EST

Paul Craig -175 (DK $8500, FD $18) vs Mauricio Rua +145 (DK $7700, FD $13)

  • Anthony: The main card opens with a rematch at light heavyweight between Paul Craig and Mauricio Shogun Rua. This fight comes a year after their first clash which was ruled a split draw. In that fight, Craig had Shogun hurt in the first round but gassed himself out in search of that finish. He is a guy that usually fishes for triangle chokes off of his back but clearly he is sharper than Shogun on the feet at this point in his legendary career. Craig is not often the better striker of the two in the cage, but I expect he tries to keep the fight standing in this spot. While I think Craig may be successful putting Shogun away early in this fight, it also may end up being another low volume decision. This could be the last time we see Shogun in the octagon and after his last fight there is no way I can back him here. I like Craig a lot in this one. Paul Craig by Decision
  • Nick: This fight is a rematch between two veterans at light heavyweight after Craig and Rua fought to a Draw back in 2019. Craig started out strong in that one, but he spent too much time in his guard and his poor conditioning allowed Rua to get back into the fight. Rua has wins over several legends such as Alistair Overeem, Antonio Noguiera, Rampage Jackson, Lyoto Machida. As we see with all fighters though, time is undefeated. I feel that Paul Craig has improved over the course of the past year and Rua has regressed. He didn’t look as on good on the scales as he did against Noguiera and that fight took place only four months ago. It pains me to write, but Rua is truly a shell of his former self. He still has decent power in the clinch, but his gas tank is continuously shrinking and he looks more hittable than ever. Craig has the more advanced grappling at this point in their careers’, the more powerful striking as well as the more aggressive overall attack. Rua won his last fight against Noguiera, but he really didn’t look good. In interviews, Craig said he’s been having better camps than he was before the pandemic. He’s enjoying the individual attention it affords him and he feels he’s been developing a lot since the last time these guys squared off. Rua is a Hall-of-Famer and deserves to be respected as such. However, I expect Craig can get the better of him in this spot. Paul Craig by Round One KO
  • GB: Paul Craig by Round Two Submission

Cynthia Calvillo -270 (DK $8700, FD $19) vs Katlyn Chookagian +210 (DK $7500, FD $11)

  • Anthony: Next up is another women’s flyweight bout between Cynthia Calvillo and Katlyn Chookagian. It is a little surprising to see Chookagian jumping back into the octagon so fast after her loss by body shot against Andrade a month ago. Facing Calvillo likely won’t hurt as much but she does pose a major challenge in this division. Wrestling and top control is how Calvillo thrives and she will likely be shooting early and often in this one. Chookagian displayed good grappling against Antonina Shevchenko in her last win but it is hard to imagine she replicates that against somebody as proficient on the mat as Calvillo. If Chookagian has any chance in this fight she will need to keep things standing for as long as she can. The odds have gotten a little wide for this one, but I still am comfortable betting on Calvillo in this spot. Cynthia Calvillo by Decision
  • Nick: Calvillo could be fighting for a title shot here. She’s coming off an impressive victory against Jessica Eye and she seems to finally be in the proper weight class now fighting as a flyweight. She spoke frequently in interviews leading up to this fight about how much more comfortable she feels at this weight. Her gas tank has vastly improved and she’s more explosive as she no longer has problems cutting weight. Chookagian is well-rounded with formidable grappling and a solid point-striking style. She doesn’t cause a ton of damage, but she fights smart – peppering opponents and letting the fight come to her. Chookagian was knocked out via body-shot just over a month ago against Jessica Andrade, but this has to be considered a more favorable match-up for her here. I’m not liking the fact that she’s back fighting so quickly, but she looked fine on the scales and in interviews. This is a much closer fight than the line here indicates, but I’m siding with the favorite in Calvillo. Calvillo’s grappling looked to be truly evolved against Jessica Eye and I like that she’s the more prepared fighter here as Chookagian is stepping in on a shorter notice. My confidence level isn’t as high as the line here might suggest, but I expect the favorite gets it done. Cynthia Calvillo by Decision
  • GB: Cynthia Calvillo by Decision

Mike Perry -115 (DK $8200, FD $17) vs Tim Means -115 (DK $8000, FD $15)

  • Anthony: When Mike Perry fights there are a lot of headlines before he even steps into the octagon, and that is no different tonight as he faces Tim Means. Perry struggled with his weight cut as he tipped the scales at 175.5 pounds for this welterweight bout. Obviously, with no professional corner and no nutritionist it is tough to imagine Perry making a run to the title anytime soon. He still has put together an excellent resume and carries some of the best punching power in the entire division. Tim Means has good boxing and often does pose a significant threat to his opponents, but it is hard to imagine him finding a way to finish Perry here. He is a lot more durable than Means and likely will be the one pouring on the pressure, whether that be while striking or wrestling. The weight cut should not have a major impact on this fight, and I see Perry cruising his way to a victory here against Means. Mike Perry by Round Two KO
  • Nick: This should be a really fun scrap between two gritty veterans. Perry’s stock has fallen a lot lately, mostly due to his out-of-the-cage antics. He missed weight badly for this one and he’s dealing with legal troubles as he constantly seems to be in the news for the wrong reasons. Means is a seasoned vet, but his cardio seems to be deteriorating and for the first time in his career his chin is a bit of a question as well. When this fight is on the feet, it’s really a match-up between Means’ technical advantages against Perry’s power advantage. Perry is usually his best on the counterattack. Means is likely to strike from range as long as he can here which could be for a while as he should be able to significantly outclass Perry’s boxing. He knows he needs to avoid Perry’s power for as long as possible, so I expect him to use his length to hit Perry off his back foot. Perry should eventually find a way to either rush Means and catch him with a shot or shoot in for a takedown to control position. One thing Perry has done right this camp is training with heavy grapplers in Yoel Romero and Jacare Souza. After losing 30% of his purse for the missed weight cut, I expect Perry to go for the win even if it means making this fight more boring than it should be. While the fans are going to want a stand-up battle, Perry would be wise to shoot for a takedown or two. He’s bigger and stronger than Means so he should be able to control him long enough to hit some ground-and-pound. Means’ is decent off his back, but his defensive grappling has proven mostly ineffective against bigger and stronger opponents like Perry. I’ll have exposure to Means for DFS purposes as he’s one of the more live underdogs on this card. However, I’m going against my better judgement and siding with the slight favorite here. If Means is out-boxing Perry, I see Perry taking this fight to the ground. Mike Perry by Round Two KO
  • GB: Tim Means by Round Two Submission

Valentina Shevchenko -1800 (DK $9600, FD $23) vs Jennifer Maia +850 (DK $6600, FD $8)

  • Anthony: Our first of two flyweight titles is up for grabs in the main event as Valentina Shevchenko looks to defend the belt against Jennifer Maia. Shevchenko’s only losses this past decade have come against Amanda Nunes while she’s done nothing but demolish opponents in every other fight. She is in the conversation for best fighter in the entire world and as the line indicates, she will not be losing today. This is a mismatch for Maia who is one of very few contenders left in a division that has been cleared out. She does not have the power to even stun Shevchenko and is not going to be strong enough to lock up any submission attempts. And Still, champion. The only question is whether or not you roster Shevchenko at this price tag. I think my exposure will be low on both sites, mainly because her floor is far below what you will need to hit value. Valentina Shevchenko by Round Two KO
  • Nick: The line looks pretty ridiculous here, but it’s mostly warranted. Jennifer Maia really hasn’t done enough to deserve this title shot but the UFC is forced to slide her in here as Shevchenko has already cleaned out the division. Shevchenko is too strong for Maia to put any sort of grappling on her, and Shevchenko is one of the best female strikers to ever step in a cage. No matter where this fight goes, I expect Valentina will have her way with Maia. It’s not so much a matter of if she’ll win, but how. She’s expensive on both DFS sites, but her floor feels as safe as anyone on this card. And still. Valentina Shevchenko by Round One KO
  • GB: Valentina Shevchenko by Round Three KO

Deiveson Figueredo -285 (DK $9000, FD $21) vs Alex Perez +225 (DK $7200, FD $18)

  • Anthony: The main event puts the men’s flyweight belt on the line as Deiveson Figueredo makes his first defense against Alex Perez. There are a lot of guys at 125 pounds that deserve a title shot but right now it seems Figueredo may be an unstoppable champion. The wins on his way to a title shot were vicious, but his two performances against Joseph Benavidez this year were downright scary. He has some of the best power in this division’s history and a BJJ black belt we have seen put to very good use in his fights. Alex Perez is a live opponent but this fight is going to be too much, too soon. The wins that he stacked so far are impressive, but not nearly the level of competition as the champion. Perez can spam the leg kicks and put together some good combinations, but I do not see him being overly competitive today. You can run some exposure to Perez on DraftKings given his price tag but I am very confident that Figueredo wins this fight. And still. Deiveson Figueredo by Round Two Submission
  • Nick: Perez is getting a title shot here after Cody Garbrandt was forced to withdraw due to injury. He has excellent footwork, throws a lot of volume and keeps an excellent pace. Additionally, his calf-kicking ability is as impressive as anyone in this division. He’s a solid grappler that isn’t afraid to shoot for takedowns. He also does a good job staying out of trouble and finding favorable positions in the scramble. Figueredo is an outstanding striker with a violent approach. He’s extremely aggressive and he has a tight squeeze if he manages to find his opponent’s back. He did exactly that in his last fight, a dominant performance against Joseph Benavidez in which he captured the flyweight title. He’s finally paying a nutritionist, and at weigh-ins for this fight he looked better than he ever has before. He’s very big for this division, so seeing him make weight comfortably he should be able to fully use his strength to an advantage. The one path for Perez here is likely via his leg kicks. The only success Benavidez had against Figueredo in their last match-up came attacking the leg. Perez has found massive success with them of, including a KO via calf kicks against longtime contender Jussier Formiga. However, Figueredo knows this too and I expect him to either come out checking Perez’s kicks, or using them as entries for takedowns and control. Figueredo can be a slow starter, but I don’t think Perez can pour it on him before Figueredo finds momentum of his own. It may not happen right away, but I expect Fig to find that third gear and finish Perez in impressive fashion. The leg kicks are a minor concern, but I’m fairly confident backing the favorite here. I expect Figueredo’s size and strength to just be too much for Perez in this one. And still. Deiveson Figueredo by Round Two Submission
  • GB: Deiveson Figueredo by Round Two KO

*Anthony, Nick and GB play on both FanDuel and DraftKings, and although they express their opinions, they may also implement other plays and strategies without notice